Pollster.com

Who know what to believe with this race? Rasmussen says it is too close to call, Kos says it is a sizable McDonnell lead. I say we have a long way to go yet.

I think it's likely that McDonnell has a lead, but not as large as it might have been a few weeks ago. We need to see more polls before the trajectory of the race can be mapped out, but it's probably reasonable to guess that McDonnell has the edge by around 5-6 points.

Not enough people know Creigh Deeds, but I'm not sure that would make much of a difference here, maybe a point or two if those with no opinion are liberal to moderate.

McDonnell has led pretty much wire to wire. It's a little closer now. I think that the next phase will come when the candidates debate. If there's an effective way to use McDonnell's previous extreme statements to break through the veneer of moderation he's successfully manufactured that may also serve to tighten things up.

VA is no longer a conservative state but they're comfortable with a Republican moderate, and McDonnell's done a great job playing one.

I'd be fairly comfortable if I were McDonnell right now, but it's still a long way from being over. Looking for Warner and Webb to help out down the homestretch. Not sure Obama can do all that much except in NOVA and Richmond, maybe.