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VA-Gov: Deeds 47, McDonnell 41 (Rasmussen-6/10)


Rasmussen Reports
6/10/09; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: IVR

Virginia

Approval / Disapproval
Obama: 52 / 46 (chart)
Gov. Kaine (D): 62 / 45 (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
McDonnell (R): 52 / 28
Deeds (D): 59 / 27

2009 Governor
Deeds 47, McDonnell 41 (chart)

Which gubernatorial candidate do you trust more on taxes....Robert McDonnell or Creigh Deeds?

    44% McDonnell
    36% Deeds

Which candidate is more likely to confront Virginia's transportation problems?

    43% Deeds
    29% McDonnell

(source)

 

Comments
BobinOakland:

Deeds is looking pretty good, but we'll see how long his bump lasts. It's gonna be a close one - the last contest between these to was decided by 392 votes.

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Inkan1969:

Hooray for Deeds. Now he's got to show more of that brilliant campaign skill to turn this primary bump into a permanent lead.

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Stillow:

He didn't exactly have top tier competition...

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BobinOakland:

@ Stillow

They did have considerable sums of money, and Mac, for all of his unfavorables, was still the favorite to win excluding the last week.

Moran was the smart choice until the mini-scandal with his brother's contractor friends.

Deeds keeps a lot of the social issues off of the table, given his position on gun rights and such.

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4xfloor:

Stillow's right. McDonnell is third tier at best, and that's why he couldn't even win a Rasmussen poll.

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Stillow:

@4xfloor

Have you thought about maybe some type of medication or soemthing?

McDonnell beat him once already...Deeds was goign to wi nthe primary, the other two just weren't going to cut it. Should be a close race, probably a win one way or another by 2 or 3 points.

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cjk002:

@4xfloor:

If McDonnel is a "third tier" candidate, then why did he beat Deeds in the Attorney General race? Why did every poll before the primary show McDonnel beating Deeds?

You guys will come up with any excuse for why the Republicans are failing, except for the one that makes the most sense: The public doesn't know what they stand for except opposing the Democrats.

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conspiracy:

Come on Stillow, that isn't what you were saying last week. I thought whoever the Dems nominated was destined to lose whatever since McDonnell had been leading them in all the polls?

That being said, I agree with your new position - it will be close down to the wire and either could win.

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conspiracy:

cjk002

McDonnell is the best Republican nominee for Virginia governor in years. He beat Deeds in the AG race in '05 because he outspent him by something like 4-1. He beat Deeds in all the pre-primary polls because McAuliffe and Moran voters wouldn't say they would vote for anybody else. Remember this phenonomen from Obama/Clinton? The public knows exactly what Repubs stand for - see the last 8 years.

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Stillow:

You guys slay me. While I am no longer a member of the GOP, you keep saying no one knows what they stand for? Sur ehtey do, big g'ment, big spending, they love debt and deficits, they now love entitlements....oh but wait a minute, that is the same thing the Dems stand for, hmmmmm! That's why myself and many others have left the GOP....the leaders of the Dems in Congress, Pelosi and Reid are both hugely unpopular. Obama is enjoying his oneymoon, but that is going to end, they always do...The Dems are a bunch of corrupt yippie's just liek the Repubs, there is no difference between the two parties with the exception of some social issues.

I llove watching you libs bash Bush for spending and deficits and Obama spends even more and has run up 4x the deficit and you praise him for it. You repubs and Dems are all the same...you love it when your guy does and hate it when the other guy does it. Partisan nonsense, all of it!

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cjk002:

@Stillow:

You just proved my point. The Republicans claim to be opposed to the everything the Democrats want to do, but when they have control they do everything they said they weren't going to do, which means the public doesn't know what they stand for. Thanks for the assist!

What I love is watching you spew inaccurate information. When Bush left office, the deficit was 1.3 trillion. At the end of this year, the deficit will be 1.8 trillion. How does that equal a deficit that is 4x what Bush's was?

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polls_apart:

@Stillow:
Regarding 4xfloor, you said:
Have you thought about maybe some type of medication or soemthing?

McDonnell beat him [Deeds] once already...

I guess your humor antennae weren't fully extended. 4xfloor knew you meant that Moran and McAuliffe were third-tier candidates. He was pulling your leg when he brought up McDonnell.

As far as McDonnell beating Deeds once already, it was by less than 400 votes in the VA AG race in 2005, a year in which the Republican fortunes had not yet turned sour (although Katrina and the pre-Surge disintegation of Iraq were about to do so). Add in McDonnell's 4-1 spending advantage in the AG race, and the fact that 40,000 of those who voted for Governor (Kaine vs. Kilgore) failed to vote in the AG race, and you have a recipe for a different dynamic this year.

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VA Dem:

"@ Stillow
What I love is watching you spew inaccurate information. When Bush left office, the deficit was 1.3 trillion. At the end of this year, the deficit will be 1.8 trillion. How does that equal a deficit that is 4x what Bush's was? "

Because those are the numbers that Rush and Sean continue to feed him. Who needs factw when you have solid principles. Stillow's just a conservative hand-wringer who will say he's left the GOP, but will continue to vote for them at the end of the day - because in his mind they're the lesser of two evils. Didn't Regean triple the deficit?

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VA Dem:

"@ Stillow
What I love is watching you spew inaccurate information. When Bush left office, the deficit was 1.3 trillion. At the end of this year, the deficit will be 1.8 trillion. How does that equal a deficit that is 4x what Bush's was? "

Because those are the numbers that Rush and Sean continue to feed him. Who needs factw when you have solid principles. Stillow's just a conservative hand-wringer who will say he's left the GOP, but will continue to vote for them at the end of the day - because in his mind they're the lesser of two evils. Didn't Regean triple the deficit?

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Viperlord:

Why listen to facts when you can listen to right-wing radio? (Hi, it's me from the Presidential election, you guys probably won't remember me)

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