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WA: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 2/11)

Topics: poll

Rasmussen
2/11/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Washington State

2010 Senate
48% Rossi (R), 46% Murray (D)
50% Murray (D), 38% Benton (R)
49% Murray (D), 345 Didier (R)
48% Murray (D), 33% Widener (D)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Dino Rossi: 54 / 41
Don Benton: 33 / 48
Patty Murray: 51 / 45
Clint Didier: 28 / 28
Chris Widener: 2 / 26

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 51 / 48
Gov. Gregoire: 41 / 57

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Seattle area is quite Democratic. If Murray loses than the US voters clearly have lost their marbles. It seemed like when Bush was president states like Washington were moving in the left wing direction, but after all the complaining about Bush, and having brains back in Washington, the voters want to take us back to a direction of failure. If there is no bipartisanship now, how could we believe there would ever be Bipartisanship if Mitch Mcconnel were majority leader. I smell even more anarchy and protests from the left and right wing fringes.

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Farleftandproud:

Rossi sort of is like Romney always trying to challenge female candidates like he did in Mass. for governor.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Oregon is more of a center/left state than Washington. Rural Washington and areas not near Seattle are not unlike central and western PA. You've got San Fran on one side and Utah and Idaho on the other demographically.

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Stillow:

I heard rumors Rossi is thinking of running? Anyone know for sure what is goign on up in Seahawk land? If Rossi does run this race becomes an instant toss up. Rossi is popular i nthe state....he actaully wo nthe governorship last time until some votes were "found" suddenly for the Dem.

Rossi would be very competitive and this state would definately go in the to close to call slot.

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moheroy:

Farleftandproud,

Washington used to be a more conservative state, but for the past ten-fifteen years it has been trending left rapidly because of the growth of the SeaTac area and the huge influx of lefty Californians who have caused much of that growth. The Californians who move to Seattle are self selecting for left politics, otherwise they would have gone into the interior like Arizona or Idaho.

I really dislike Murray a lot and hope she loses, but Rossi is the only Republican with a chance, but I think the Eastern part of the state is now so outnumbered that the Republicans are headed for oblivion state wide. Even in wave election years.

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Stillow:

Not if the Indy's keep doing what they are doing and voting 2 to 1 and 3 to 1 in favor of the GOP...............if Rossi does jump in, I would give hi mthe slight edge i nthis race.

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Xenobion:

I'm from Washington State. Rossi has been a popular Republican figure in the state despite having held no public office. He ran for gov 2 times and almost won the first but lost in the recount by like 50 votes. He ran again and lost by a more decent margin. Chris Gregoire is pretty unpopular despite all this and Rossi can't do much even with this advantage. Rossi is probably close to bankrupt after 2 Gov runs and now being essentially a consultant. Patty Murray is our most popular Senator. Cantwell would be the better matchup IMO but still Rossi would have major problems.

The major problem with this poll is most of these republicans are not people in office, not that that is a problem in itself, its just that they lack the party networking to get campaigns on the ground and decent funding. Rossi had the Bellevue crowd and was probably the best bet. But Senate races are brutal on the pocket book and I doubt Rossi has the fortitude to come up with the funds... Think Norm Coleman without experience and money.

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Lou-NH:

So if the republicans win control of the house and senate, then what?

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Farleftandproud:

I like Cantwell and Murray. I like the fact that they are at least true to their party and don't act like Republicans the way Evan Bayh and Blanche Lincoln have. I think the GOP's bubble of good fortune will burst. I am not saying they won't pick up some giveaways like Ark, DE and now Indiana, but a lot can happen between now and November. Until each candidate is revealed, it is all speculation. I don't think

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Farleftandproud:

Than we are in huge trouble and Obama better get to work and show him whose boss. The GOP has such a radical agenda when they have a Democratic president, that people soon become fed up with it.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"So if the republicans win control of the house and senate, then what?"

Who knows? They certainly don't have a coherent program like they did in 1994. Mainly what they seem to want is whatever Obama doesn't want.

If republicans win, they're likely to only have a small majority in both houses. In the senate it will likely be at the expense of moderate democrats like Bayh so what will be left are the people who are less willing to deal.

I feel that republican takeovers would help Obama, since he would be forced to craft "bi-partisan" legislation and could contrast himself with the republicans on a regular basis, thus making him look more like a leader. It would be a terrible outcome for health care, though, since it would likely be tabled until the subsequent administration, more likely the one after next, given the amount of time it took democrats to get over the Clinton failure. Obama says he's "not giving up" but I don't believe that for a second.

Basically, I don't think the republicans would change much. Change is easy to talk about but difficult once you get in office. Obama has made mostly aesthetic changes and changes in tone but not substance regarding foreign policy. Republicans will find that complaining about the deficit and spending is easier than doing something about it, because there are so many interests and factors involved in whatever you cut.

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moheroy:

The best thing about the Republicans is they don't have a program, a program would be scary, not doing anything, creating gridlock would be heaven for lots of voters.

The thing is that not changing anything may be exactly what the public wants. I mean since Clinton left office in January 2001, all this country has gotten is tons of change. With the whole recount debacle in Florida in November 2000, partisan apocalypse will have been constant for a decade.

Even during the impeachment fiasco, it was clear the public wanted things to just motor along without drama. That is why "No Drama" Obama came into office with such high hopes. Bush was elected because people weren't too thrilled with Gore, I know but that is why the margin was so close, they reelected Bush because they didn't want to lose a war, which is what Kerry basically offered, but they weren't all that happy. Ands so they were convinced for some reason to vote for Obama because they hoped he would be a better version of Bill Clinton. A Republican victory in both houses in 2010 will give them the closest they can get to that.

I bet if people were polled about if they could have back the Congress and president they had in the summer of 1999, they would say, both parties, that they would take it in heart beat.

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Aaron_in_TX:

" The thing is that not changing anything may be exactly what the public want"

True, but business as usual is unsustainable. Republicans have a point about the deficit and spending, and democrats have a point about health care. There will be a day of reckoning for both if nothing whatsoever is done.

Obviously people would like to bring 1999 back, which was so good economically.

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