Pollster.com

Sen. Murray will end up with about 54%. No problem in this state. If you look at Rasmussen's website, he acknowledges that, while he was accurate in the Presidential polling just prior to the 2004 & 2008 elections, in statewide races relating to Sen. Cantwell, Sen. Murray and Gov. Gregoire, he underpolled the Democrat by an average of 4-6 points each time.

And that was his final polling. He also did not poll the GOP primary race, saying he assumed Rossi would win the Aug. 17 race. But here in southeastern WA, the heart of the GOP sector of the State, you don't see any evidence of a Rossi race at all. Two years ago, when he ran for Governor, you only saw Rossi signs and heard or saw Rossi ads on the radio and TV. Now, there are none. All of the signs are for Didier here and further east, in Spokane, the signs were 80-20 Didier vs. Akers. Also none for Rossi. He won't win the primary.

Not sure how Murray's favorability can be higher, Dems registration can be MUCH higher, and Rossi can still be tied with her.

I guess with only a 500 person sample size, maybe it's not actually representative this time?

The only Rossi signs I see around here are ones people didn't pick up from his governor's race.

Actually, in Washington, primaries are similar to what California just approved. So as long as Rossi can get enough independents and Republicans (and he is well known enough to so so), he'll likely be at least 2nd place in the top 2 primary and move onto the general election.

I am so tired of Rasmussen he makes me sick to my stomach,this guy thinks every single State is going to vote for the Republicans.Wakeup people you think the Republicans would forced BP to give 20 billion dollars to the gulf? America you have a choice come November,you can vote for a party who cares about the people in this Country or you can vote for a party who is going to throw you under the bus just to help the corporations become more richer.The Republican party donot care about people unless they have money,its just so sad the American people cant see this.the Republicans showed me yesterday how they feel about the American people when every last one of them as--holes voted against the job bill in the Senate lastnight.What a bunch of self-center fuk-heads.Mr Brown of Mass just lost the election in 2012,anit no way in hell is the people of Massachusetts going to re-elect that jerk.

True, WA has a "top 2" primary, which is a free-for-all that, despite party affiliations, only the top 2 votegetters on Aug. 17 will advance to the general election.

It's a certainty that Murray will advance and it wouldn't surprise me to see Rossi finish behind both Didier and Akers on the GOP side. There are actually 14 candidates who filed for US Senate for the Aug. 17 primary. Many independents will vote Murray and I think the large majority of Republicans, particularly East of the Cascades, will vote Didier. Rossi will have to get GOP votes from Seattle metro, and there aren't many of those folks there.

So far, with less than two months to primary day, there is absolutely no visible Rossi campaign anywhere in the State. I see thousands and thousands of signs for all sorts of local and statewide and judicial offices -- but absolutely zero for Rossi, except as someone above noted that there are a handful of signs floating around for Rossi that are leftovers from his failed 2008 campaign for governor.

My best guess currently, is that the "top 2" results for Senate in WA will be Murray, a strong #1, Didier, a weak #2, Akers #3, Rossi #4, and the other 10 following far behind. Probably something like Murray at 47%, Didier at 22%, Akers at 15%, Rossi at 11% and the rest at 5% combined. I believe among the rest there are five or six Democrats.

Its good to see a competative senate election in my former state, Slade Gorton was the last Republican Senator we had. I was able to vote for Rossi in the 04 election for gov(which was stolen from him by King county) but had already left the state by his 08 race.

If Rossi does pull off an upset then it will be said that it was a good thing that he lost the governor's race. All hopes for taking that office would shift to either Rob Mckenna (Sec of State) or Dave Riechert.

Just another quick comment on why I believe that polling will be inaccurate in the Pacific NW this cycle, and will dramatically underpoll Democrats.

First, in the heavily Democratic areas of Portland metro in OR and Seattle metro in WA, the cell phone only use is now probably at, or above, 50%, due to the high percentage of young people and techies there. And, as an added circumstance, both states just enacted very tough "no cell phone use while driving" laws, as primary offenses.

So even if a pollster was calling cell phones (which Rasmussen apparently does not anyway), it is likely that you would still significantly underpoll Democratic voters in those two states by missing large percentages of cell-only users who won't answer phone calls now while they are in a moving vehicle.

Just an added thought!

I have decided to make calls cross country to WA, PA and WI and work on my own governor's race. If any Democratic leaners go to OBama's web site or google the neighbor to neighbor program, you can find out how to organize a phone bank and help out nationally and locally.

I would like to see the Dems pick up some GOP seats, but it would be a travesty to lose Feingold or Murray in the senate. Both states have some GOP candidates who may outspend their opponents.

Feingold wasn't a surprise but Murray is. I think of Washington as a more progressive state, yet Kerry didn't win Wash. or Oregon by that much in 04, and Feingold won by 10 points, yet Kerry only won Wisconsin by 900 votes. Too close for comfort.

Feingold never wavered in his opposition to Iraq nor Afghanistan, and I think if Feingold's rival tries to sound like a war hawk, that would be a bad strategy. I am not hearing the fanfare and jingoism about kicking the Arab's butts the way I used to hear the progaganda. Nobody just about has not known someone who has died in these wars and Afghanistan is clearly unwinnable.

I agree with those sceptics about the Pacific Northwest cities about young techies using cell phones only. This could be a factor, but it is important for those who live in Washington, Oregon, CA, and Colorado especially the younger more liberal leaning voters put Obama over the top; without them we could lose any of these senate races. To all progressives out there, we must get the point across to these voters that Obama is in trouble at the moment and fill them in on the things we know that they don't. Most Americans are busy people, and I know young Republicans are simply counting down the days for them to cast that ballot; it is so easy for some Obama voters to think everything is going fine, Obama is president and all is well. That is what the conservatives hoping for, and we must outflank them.

What does it say about an ideology and party that relies on the 18-29 demographic as well as a minority demographic to stay competitve? The former is prone to make regettable decisions based on their lack of real world experieces, many never having owned property and thus deal with property taxes or other taxes and fee's assosiated with adualthood. While the latter group lives in such destitution that it would never bite the hand that keeps its chin slighty above water. Your party is associated with some real winners in life far far left.

Well Your party is protecting BP. Why would Sarah Palin say that wanting BP TO PAY FOR THE MESS IS Naziism? Why would she say that? Why does John Boehner want the taxpayers to pay the tab to clean up the GULF? I thought the GOP was slamming Obama for his inaffective way of cleaning up the Gulf, but who the hell wants to vote for a party that is protecting a irresponsible corporation, and is denying people unemployment benefits? Scott brown, is this the moderate senator I thought he was going to be? People are out of work, and these are not all Democrats. Many Republicans are unemployed too, and need their benefits.

And the recent poll showed 20 percent of the country is progressive. That would mean that half of the Democratic party is progressive and the other half is moderate.

The GOP in contrast used to have more moderates but the reason the GOP isn't winning a lot of new full fledged Republicans is they have moved so far right, they have few moderates anymore.