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WA: 48% Rossi, 45% Murray (Rasmussen 7/14)

Topics: poll , Washington

Rasmussen
7/14/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Washington

2010 Senate
48% Rossi (R), 45% Murray (D) (chart)
48% Didier (R), 45% Murray (D) (chart)
46% Murray (D), 41% Akers (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Dino Rossi: 55 / 39
Patty Murray: 49 / 49
Clint Didier: 43 / 31
Paul Akers: 38 / 27

Job Approval / Disapproval/
Pres. Obama: 50 / 49
Gov. Gregoire: 42 / 55

 

Comments
melvin:

Rasmussen is trying to get Huffington post to like him, because he wants his poll numbers posted on this website,but this out-liar on Washington is bogus! Murray is going to win this going away,am praying the GOP spends a lot of money on this race.

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jmartin4s:

PPP should be polling this one next week along with nevada.

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Xenobion:

Ha! Now when I go outside I certainly see the Didier signs, not one Rossi sign. Guess they polled the eastern side of the state with these numbers. Rossi's popularity has actually gone down since his hack business mortgage classes have been exposed.

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Xenobion:

Here is the Rasmussen Effect for this state btw...

"In Washington, Rasmussen Reports polled on two races during the 2008 campaign. In the race for president, Rasmussen polling showed Obama leading 54% to 43% and Obama won 57% to 40%.

In the 2008 Washington governor's race, final Rasmussen Reports polling showed Gregoire leading Rossi 50% to 48%, and Gregoire won 53% to 47%.

In the 2006 race for U.S. Senate, Rasmussen polling showed Maria Cantwell leading 54% to 42%, and she won 57% to 39%. In the 2004 presidential race, Rasmussen polling in Washington showed Kerry leading Bush 53% to 44%, and Kerry won the state 53% to 46%. "

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Paleo:

Obama at 50% job approval in Washington state seems low. And 1% undecided?

Like Wisconsin and California, this will be a competitive race. I don't expect any of the three to lose, but if one does, the likeliest would be Murray. And of these three progressive senators, if one had to lose, I'd rather it be her. Boxer and Feingold are more impact senators, and a little bit more progressive.

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Paleo:

"Here is the Rasmussen Effect"

And in the presidential race in Nevada in 2008, the final poll underestimated Obama's margin by 8 points.

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Country Club Repub:

As someone who still lives in Seattle during the summer months and grew up there. I can tell you that WA is more liberal during presidential years than off years, and if you recall 94 where it was a landslide for the GOP there. They even were able to knock off the House speaker that year. Rossi will when by 2%.

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Colton:

Xenobion, I'd like to know what area of WA state you are from? To those who are laughing off this state as a Democratic stronghold, let me assure you that the climate in this state is very different this year. Multiple attack ads have aired against Murray and Dino Rossi is far from toast. He is the most formidable opponent Patty will have faced in her entire career. Sure Mr. Rossi lost pretty big in 08, but did you expect him to do well in a year that completely wiped out the Republican party? Rossi's prediction that Gregoire would lie and raise taxes came true, he still is widely popular in this state. And I don't care who you are or how much you think you know: Rossi should have been our governor in 2000. The Democrats pulled the biggest steal in election history and managed to find deceased and "missing" ballots from King County, the most liberal portion of this state. If you underestimate the Republican's chances in this state, then you are going to be crying in November like you were back in January when a Republican won in Mass. I will say I don't think Didier or Akers have a snowballs chance in hell here, but Rossi has a very high chance of being the next US Senator from WA. He is gaining a lot of traction. And to those saying they see no Rossi signs, Rossi has repetedly said that he is not running against his Republican counterparts, he is running against Murray due to the time constraints. With the top-two primary system, Rossi should be running against Murray because he is going to be facing her in November. He is known by everyone in this state. Laugh it off now, but come November-I am going to be voting for the candidate who will get our state and economy back on track and I believe wholeheartedly that Rossi will be that candidate. No, I am not a Rebublican either. I supported Hillary Clinton for President and now I'm laughing at those who voted for Obama. My democratic family is even considering voting for Rossi. The Earmark Queen with her muddy sneakers should have reason to worry come November.

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Xenobion:

I'm from the Tacoma/Puyallup area of Pierce County a notorious moderate stronghold bellweather of the State.

If you remember Colton, it was the state supreme court that ruled in favor of the ballots back in Gregoire/Rossi's first run. Blame the Democrats all you want.

And I actually VOTED FOR ROSSI in 2004 (he didn't run in 2000), but after learning more about him he became the greater of two evils in 2008 (although I wasn't in the state at that time).

I don't dispute the fact that Washington has flirted with coming back to being a Republican state, but that's all it is. The Democrats here play so well to it. We haven't had a Republican governor in years, a Republican Senator since Skeletor aka Slade Gordon, and now brandish some of the most powerful senators in the Country. Same advice to Nevadans as here in Washington... Don't kill the golden goose that is a strong Senator.

I watch the commercials slamming her... One is hilarious. Patty Murray weak on green energy? Yeah right... Its all PAC money to try to weaken her but trust me, when Patty has a face to deal with Didier or Rossi, she's going to slam dunk this one. Our state got the highest per captia stimulus dollars of the medium-larger states providing and retaining jobs in our economy.

The question will be why out Patty Murray? There is no reason. Pork? That whole earmark campaign failed in 2008. It'll fail again.

And if Rossi wins the primary, why would we want Rossi as a Senator? He ran on the experience of an executive for Governor, but he was a poor legislator.

Washington is at 8.7% unemployment. That's better than Idaho's a conservative state. We've got it good here senator-wise. Again why kill the golden goose...

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Farleftandproud:

I don't think an inexperienced football player is ahead of Murray with Didier. I have serious doubts about that; I don't know where Rasmussen finds the people they select as likely voters, but this is ridiculous.

I don't really trust Rossi, and know he has run some vicious attacks against Murray. I hope Washington voters near Seattle will come out in droves this November. This would be a good place for Obama to campaign this summer.

I think Obama made a little dent in his approval in Nevada, and I think if he could wake up a unpredictable state like NV, I think Washington voters, at least in the eastern part of the state won't go for Rossi. He kind of reminds me a bit of Guilliani, but far more unclear about his social views.

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Farleftandproud:

I personally believe Wisconsin's rasmussen numbers to be more accurate. Wash. is still a strong blue state, and this year maybe one of my favorite Seattle bands Queensryche can rock the vote out there as well as Pearl Jam, Heart and other left wing rockers. There is the Rock the Vote web site. Washington, and CA perhaps popular music can be instrumental.

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HoosierDaddy:

Murray is still the fav in this race. WA State is a blue state, very blue to say the least, and the closer we get to election day, undecideds will jump onto the Murray side.

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Colton:

Correction, I meant to say the 2004 election, not 2000 as Dino Rossi faced Gregoire in 2004. What works for Rossi-and he has said so himself is that this time around, he has no Presidential baggage. In an off year that is widely dangerous to Democrats and incumbents, Rossi can reach out to the independents of this state and left leaning individuals who are dissatisfied with our State's current situation. Need I remind you that Dino Rossi has fared much better than the Republican Presidential candidate. In 2004, Rossi had 8 percentage points more in WA than George W. Bush and he ran 11 points over John McCain. If anyone can unseat Murray, now is the time and that person is Dino Rossi. Out of California, Wisconsin, and Washington, I wholeheartedly believe that Murray is the most vulnerable and can/will be defeated in November.

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Colton:

And I have no idea what is meant by Rossi being a poor legislator. Dino Rossi closed the budget deficit that was well over 2 million without having to raise taxes and he did so with bi-partisan support. And his predictions about Gregoire and this state have held true. He has proven to be an effective legislator and a wise leader.

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Colton:

And I have no idea what is meant by Rossi being a poor legislator. Dino Rossi closed the budget deficit that was well over 2 million without having to raise taxes and he did so with bi-partisan support. And his predictions about Gregoire and this state have held true. He has proven to be an effective legislator and a wise leader.

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This poll is absolutely bogus! I live in Eastern WA, a key GOP stronghold. Sen. Murray was here last week and got a hero's welcome and cheers everywhere she went. She is extremely well-liked here and some analysts, even local Republicans, believe she'll get 40+% of the vote east of the Cascades. No Republican can win in WA unless they rack up >70% of the vote in the East.

Remember, she has an enormous war chest and hasn't been on the air yet. The "top 2" primary is Aug. 17 and voting will actually begin in 2 weeks. Rossi? Not one single sign, not one single TV or Radio ad seen or heard. There are some nonsensical anti-Murray ads on TV by some right wing kooks and they're totally idiotic. One of them has her walking in tennis shoes over the backs of working people. You'd actually have to remember that 12 years ago she campaigned as the "candidate in tennis shoes," but hasn't done that since!

Also, unemployment just fell sharply in the state and the economy and the housing market are the strongest in the west. And the state has no income tax and low property taxes. Some people are upset at a new cigarette and candy and gum tax to help balance the state budget, but those are state tax issues. There will also be an income tax initiative for very high income people on the November ballot, but it's also a state issue and doesn't affect US Senators.

Murray will win >55% of the vote. No contest. The big surprise? Rossi might not finish second on Aug. 17 and not even be on the November ballot. It's a real possibility.

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Melvin is a bit delusional. Natives are restless.

R's could run Ghenghis Khan in Nov. and still win. Note that even an unknown named Ackers is running ahead of the tenny shoes.

I like Dino but hopefullly R's will run Didier and save Rossi for the Governor's race in '12.

He was totally cheated out of a win in '04 and nobody deserves that job more than he does.

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Colton:

As much as I would love Rossi to be in the position he should have been in 6 years ago, Rob McKenna is almost certain to be the Republican nominee for governor in 2012 or sooner should Christine Gregoire get tapped for solicitor general. If Rossi had waited to run for governor, he would have upsetted the party and McKenna who has earned his rank among Washington Republicans and citizens. I believe that Didier is too extreme for Washington state and cannot win in a strong liberal state. Rossi is conservative with a moral conscience. He is much more appealing to moderates and left-leaning citizens that can turn out for Rossi in a year unfavorable to Democrats.

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Xenobion:

If you think you're electing Rossi to balance the budget, then vote for him for rep and not senate. Like I said, people didn't praise him for his accolades to be a good legislator in this race, he's crossed party lines and got my vote in 2004 to be a decent executive. Now he runs a get rich quick scheme on the mortgage fallout. The mighty have fallen.

Murray is loved. Don't kill the golden goose for mediocrity.

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Colton:

Murray is far from a Golden goose and I can't wait for when our state is liberated of these incumbents who have passed their prime: Patty Murray and Commissioner Josh Brown. If Murray was loved, she wouldn't be in the situation she is now, which is looking at the possibility that she will be relieved of her services in November.

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