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WI: 2010 Sen, gov (Rasmussen 5/25)

Topics: poll , Wisconsin

Rasmussen
5/25/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: automated phone
(Rasmussen: Senate, Governor)

Wisconsin

2010 Senate
46% Feingold (D), 44% Johnson (R)
47% Feingold (D), 41% Wall (R) (chart)
47% Feingolf (D), 38% Westlake (R) (chart)

2010 Governor
44% Neumann (R), 42% Barrett (D) (chart)
48% Walker (R), 41% Barrett (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mark Neumann: 48 / 31
Scott Walker: 52 / 30
Tom Barrett: 48 / 36
Russ Feingold: 53 / 44 (chart)
Terrence Wall: 38 / 30
Dave Westlake: 36 / 26
Ron Johnson: 42 / 25

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 50 (chart)
Gov. Doyle: 41 / 57 (chart)

 

Comments
John:

I love the last question:

"14* Is the United States of America the last best hope of mankind?"

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kevin626:

Wall is out. Johnson will win the Republican primary. He could be dangerous as he is a complete outsider to politics.

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CUWriter:

No surprises here, though I doubt Feingold is in a lot of trouble. Interesting to see him under 50% head to head when he is +9 fav/unfav. And before you Ras bashers start coming out with the crazy, this is a pattern Russ has held for awhile. He starts out just single digits ahead but ends up winning going away by 10-12. Governor's race is definitely going to be close though.

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melvin:

The Republicans have been saying its all about jobs,well Ive google up their history the past 100yrs on creating jobs in here is what i have come up with.For the past 100yrs only 1 Republican has lowered the unemployment rate.Every Democrat who haa followed a Republican into the Whitehouse the past 100yrs has come into a recession.but every Republican who have followed a Democrat came into the Whitehouse under a great economy with the exception of Reagan.from 1921 to 1922 Harding came into the Whitehouse when the unemployment rate was 4.9,when he died it was 5.7, from 1922-1929 Coolidge came into the Whitehouse when the rate was 5.7 when he left it was 7.8,from 1929-1933 Hoover came into the Whitehouse at 7.8 when he left it was 23.1,from 1953-1961 Eisenhower came into the Whitehouse at 2.9 when he left it was 6.6,from 1969-1974 Nixon came into the Whitehouse at 3.4 when he left it was 5.5,from 1974-1977 Ford came into the Whitehouse at 5.5 when he left it was 7.5,from 1981-1989 Reagan came into the Whitehouse at 7.5 when he left it was 5.4,from 1989-1993 Bush came into the Whitehouse at 5.4 when he left it was 7.3,from 2001-2009 Bushjr came into the Whitehouse at 4.2 when he left it was 7.6,but when you check the Democrats the past 100yrs it tells a whole different picture. From 1913-1921 Wilson came into the Whitehouse at 5.7 when he left it was 4.9,from 1933-1945 Roosavelt came into the Whitehouse at 23.1 when he died it was 3.0,from 1945-1953 Truman came into the Whitehouse at 3.0 when he left it was 2.9,from 1961-1963 Kennedy came into the Whitehouse at 6.6 when he died it was 5.4,from 1963-1969 Johnson came into the Whitehouse at 5.4 when he left it was 3.4,from 1977-1981 Carter came into the Whitehouse at 7.5 when he left it was 7.5,from 1993-2001 Clinton came into the Whitehouse at 7.3 when he left it was 4.2,Obama came into the Whitehouse at 7.6 in now its 9.9 but Obama has a few yrs to go,but can you see my point the Republicans dont create jobs period!it seems the only time America elects a Democrat is when the economy is very bad,but America elects Republicans when the economy is strong,i just cant figure this out,but the proof is in the pudding

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Juan Chin:

My Rasmussen Rule of 5 comes into play here.
The actual numbers are probably something like this:

Feingold 51, Johnson 39

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Juan Chin:

My Rasmussen Rule of 5 comes into play here.
The actual numbers are probably something like this:

Feingold 51, Johnson 39

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Paleo:

That's a good rule, Juan.

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Xenobion:

The Rasmussen standard error has been on average 5.7% with a 3.5% bias for Republican candidates... so Jaun is on to something.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

Don't bash Rasmussen. We know he is the best poll around. lol People are voting for Johnson, Westlake and Wall even though they have an unfavorable opinion of them. I mean it could be these voters like Feingold even less than the Reps. However. it seems highly suspect. Also people that don't like any of the candidateusually don't vote or vote for a third party candidate.

Melvin:

Yes the job environment always gets worse when a Republican is in office. One of the reasons why I am a democrat. You nailed it right on the head. Look at the last two presidents of each party. I will take CLinton anyday over Bush Jr. Education is important to me too. I think the Dems consider that much more a priority than Reps do. Dems are socially liberal compared to Reps. Reps don't want to tell you how to run your business but they want to tell you what to do in your bed and who to do it with. The Dems don't let the religious right speak for their party either.

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Xenobion:

Rasmussen is not the best pollster around sorry!

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Xenobion:

Rasmussen is not the best pollster around sorry!

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StatyPolly:

Chris,

Actually, Feingold's favorability is +9, Wall's +8, Westlake's +10 and Johnson's is +17.

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JMSTiger:

Feingold wins in November by at least 6%, probably more like 8%. If other polling shows this race tight in late September/early October, the Democrats will flood the state with money and everything will work out for them in the end. This is Wisconsin were talking about, not Arkansas. Democrats will lose 6 to 8 Senate seats in November; this won't be one of them.

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jamesia:

I don't this Ras is a bad person, I just think his "likely voter" model is flawed. It'd be hard for anyone to come up with a good one because all the variables considered are inherently subjective. Yet a poll of 500 with almost 5% MOE is frankly unacceptable for anything other than idle speculation.

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