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WI: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 7/13)

Topics: poll , Wisconsin

Rasmussen
7/13/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Wisconsin

2010 Senate
47% Johnson (R), 46% Feingold (D) (trend)
51% Feingold (D), 37% Westlake (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Russ Feingold: 53 / 43 (chart)
Jake Westlake: 36 / 33
Ron Johnson: 51 / 30

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 50 (chart)
Gov. Doyle: 40 / 59 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Rasmussen could find some guy with a lot of money and is well dressed on the street and give them a high favorable rating. I think Feingold should follow the strategy of the ad on tv about the financial investment company...INvesting with someone you don't know in a relationship, you wouldn't do, why would you pick an investment broker". Ron Johnson has a 0 track record and when it comes out he still owns 250,000 dollars stock in BP, he'll be toast.

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StatyPolly:

47% Johnson (R), 46% Feingold (D)

And

47% Whitman (R), 46% Brown (D)?????

And what do they have in common? That's right.

WASMUSSEN!!!!

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RuizMau:

I had a feeling this race would turnout to be very competitive. Feingold is an 18 year incumbents in an anti-incumbent year and a 30 career politician. Troubling for Feingold, the polling shows that 42% of Wisconsin voters strongly disapprove of Obama’s handling of the economy with another 8% somewhat disapproving.

Johnson has been steadily going up in the poll while Feingold has been holding steady.

This race is now a solid Toss-up and a prime target for a Republican takeover.

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iVote:

People still need to learn more about Ron Johnson. He opposes the extension of unemployment benefits, wants to end Social Security, Medicare, etc. He's a real Ayn Rand kind of guy. Not a good fit for Wisconsin, in my opinion.

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RuizMau:

So to the Socialist owning stock is bad? How dim can one be. Ron Johnson owns a successful plastic manufacture company not an investment banker. I suggest you do your research before you post nonsense.

Also the continued Ras bashing by the Democrats is there way of refusing to accept the fact that they are in serious trouble. In 2008 they sold a bill of goods to the voters. Preyed on their hopes and aspirations. They lied to us. Now in the worlds of Obama's mentor Jeremiah Wright.

"Democrats Chickens Are Coming Home To Roost!"

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kevin626:

81 percent of the people in Wisconsin have not heard of Rob Johnson. Probably not even 50 percent....really makes you wonder how stringent there likely voter screen is.

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real_american:

@iVote:

Do you ever get tired of the same stupid old fearmongering that the big bad republican wants to take away social security, unemployment, medicare, etc.

It makes you liberals sound like blathering ignorant parrots. Why don't you come up with something original?

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RuizMau:

real_american:

Because they can't run on their record of higher unemployment, bigger deficits, nationalization and Obamacare.

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kevin626:

I mean RON Johnson, lol. I read poll sites every day and I even got his name wrong.

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tjampel:

I'm most concerned with Feingold's favorable ratings. They're pretty solid here in a Ras poll. 3 terms and 52% favorable in this kind of a cycle is pretty damn good.

As for Johnson's BP holdings I think that number is over 300k, actually. Whatever people think about Johnson right now certainly isn't based on really knowing much about him. Ras must have had to push like hell to get 81% of respondents give an opinion. As he becomes more defined by both the media and his opponent, we'll see what happens to his favorables. My understanding is that he's in the Lee, Rand, Angle, Rubio, Toomey mold. Big change from Feingold!

Wisconsin certainly has elected its share of Republicans; it also elected the only socialist Mayor in the country 90 yrs ago. If Wisconsin is ready for this kind of "new" conservative then there's been a pretty seismic shift in this country. Let's see.

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Aaron_in_TX:

What's annoying is that with DKos cutting off R2000, we really have no counterweight to Rasmussen. It's like he's the only one doing polling.

The 1-3pt. movement is well within the MoE based on Rasmussen's prior polls of this race. Feingold has been at a steady 46% in every poll.

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Georgia Joe:

RuizMau and RealAmerican need some history lessons. Your party brought this Country to the brink of financial destruction. We have lost 8 million jobs as a result of the Bush/Cheney Republican recession and our national debt doubled because, as Dick Cheney said, deficits don't matter. Our economy is finally beginning to recover. It frankly would recover much faster if we didn't have Republican's talking down the recovery everyday destroying consumer and business confidence. It's to Republican's political advantage to stall the recovery and they are doing everything possible to undermine the confidence of the American people in our Country and our economy.

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real_american:

Georgia Joe:

Blah, blah, blah. Whine, whine, whine. Big bad Bush.

Boring.

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Jase:

As a Wisconsin resident, I can say that no one really knows who the heck Johnson is yet. He's been barraging the airwaves with ads though, while Feingold hasn't put out any at all yet. Once Feingold does put out some ads and really gets invested in the race, and people find out that Johnson wants to eliminate Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, etc, I think Feingold will win, though it will be close.

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Farleftandproud:

Feingold will win narrowly. I can say that turnout will be great in WI, and I'll be making phone calls to all the poorer urban areas.

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Georgia Joe:

real_american: I gather you don't have a response to the facts of the situation. Facts and records tend to create problems in politics when they aren't on your side.

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Farleftandproud:

I am sure Rasmussen overpolls Republicans and evaluates Independents who they believe are more likely to vote. By election day, more voters will fit into a likely voter pattern, because that tends to happen when there is good Democratic grassroots support.

The good news for Feingold is he is a good campaigner, the bad news, is Wisconsin has a lot of centrist white folks, and he won't have as big of a minority population to depend on, like Barbara Boxer and Alexi and IL will have. The state is about 85 percent White, I think; don't quote me on that, but this will be close. Feingold came a few points from losing in 1998.

The price of being a progressive is you usually face narrow elections, unless you are from a state like NY, Mass, CT, MD or VT. Bush lost this state by about only 900 votes, so this is not a race to be ignored.

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vincent106:

@georgiajoe

What party was in charge of congress when the financial crisis hit? Congress is the body responsible for not regulating fannie and freddie. Congress is responsible for TARP and the CRA. What do you blame Bush for doing?

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Farleftandproud:

I predict the issues the GOP will focus on is drill baby drill and throw out the illegals now. They know that issues like gay rights have gained support, abortion isn't a huge issue, and are probably not going to win new voters on anti- gun control since Obama hasn't passed any anti-gun control overhall.

They are clever in focusing on these issues, because the illegals are taking our jobs? yeah right. Likewise, drilling in the Great lakes would be just dandy, but what happens if there is an oil spill in WI or Michigan? Can the people be persuaded that other big oil companies like BP be responsible?

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Georgia Joe:

vincent106: The Republicans controlled Congress and the White House for many years prior to 2006 and had many opportunities to regulate Fannie and Freddie. They never did. Fannie and Freddie however are not the issue. Bush/Cheney and the Republican Congress eliminated pay go rules so they could spend uncontrollably while cutting taxes at the same time. They created an environment for irresponsible spending in Washington and irresponsible unregulated lending that brought the national economy to the its knees. It's partially the fault of what Bush did, but also a lot of what he didn't do.

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Field Marshal:

GJ,

Fannie and Freddie are more to blame than anything else you can name. And eliminating paygo ruined the economy? Obama and his congress re-instituted it and then simply ignores it. Which is worse?

Uncontrollable spending was around LONG before Bush and Cheney came along. And unregulated lending? Which party is the one that FORCED banks to lend to people with questionable abilities to repay?

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Georgia Joe:

Field Marshal: You clearly do not understand the roots of the financial crisis. Talking about forcing banks to lend and Fannie and Freddie are nice Rush Limbaugh talking points but they are simply that talking points. The financial crisis is the result of lenders reducing credit standards to create more product to manufacture securities to sell to investors throughout the world. The lending was an out of control feeding frenzy and the securities and credit default swaps which grew out of the irresponsible lending nearly destroyed the world economy. Fannie and Freddie agency securities are not the problem, it's the private label product and the multiple derivative transactions of each security that created the mess. Excess leverage in an out of control banking and investment banking industry created the problem.

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Farleftandproud:

Georgia Joe, welcome to the debate. You made some good points. I am not saying that all Republican ideas are bad, but if too many people are getting their information from Limbaugh than there is no wonder why parts of our country have elected these crazy righties to office. I have done Fact check from both the left and the right. Democratic politicians tend to exaggerate, but those from the far right, love to create these delusional claims of "Death panels" and so many other things.

Keep on fighting the good fight and stand up to the liars. For every time you hear something from Sarah Palin, Rush Limbaugh or Glen Beck, or Rand Paul or Sharron Angle, look it up on Factcheck.org and show it to the right wing fanatic. They are still going to counter your critisism just the same, just like they would if you said the sky is blue, they would tell you it is grey.

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Farleftandproud:

The best way for Obama to tackle uncontrollable spending is to keep his promise on raising taxes on those making over 250,000 per year, and the other will be to significantly cut down our defense budget by 1/3 regards to Afghanistan. Of course, we need troops in the middle east, but I wonder why we spend all this money on military bases in parts of the world like Western Europe where things have been peaceful for over 60 years.

I think even Japanese bases we can close as well as some in the US. I am not opposed to keeping troops in Iraq, India, Pakistan or possibly Turkey. If Israel were attacked we could still be right there, but Afghanistan is unwinnable.

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Field Marshal:

Georgia,

I forget more about the roots of the financial crisis than you will ever know. Believe me. I've never listened to Rush and I work on Wall St. I was knee deep in the financial crisis.

Your post shows you know the 50,000 foot view of the origin of the crisis but just the very tip of the iceberg.

Yes, lax lending was a HUGE and overriding aspect. The only deregulation that was involved in the crisis was the raising of leverage ratios of 5 banks. No one said the agency securities were a problem either. However, when you have fannie, freddie and FHA originating and guaranteeing two-thirds of all mortgage loans plus another 10% of loans coming from big banks under the CRA which are guaranteed by the GSEs, they are neck deep in the origination of the problem. Obviously, mortgage origination did not sink AIG. AIG was an outlier done in by an idiot- Joe Cassano.

I'll leave you with this. Canada, the UK, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal, and Ireland all had banks with an average leverage ratio GREATER than ours. Obviously, most of those countries are in the same predicament. But Canada is not. What's the difference?

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Paleo:

Republicans and their Wisconsin dreams. In the 2000, 2004 and 2008 presidential elections, they were convinced they'd win the state. In '98, Feingold was trailing Mark Neuman in early October in the polls. Democrats won all those races.

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Georgia Joe:

Field Marshall: I spent 12 years running fixed income departments at major banks and underwriting both asset backed and agency securities. I know the business. The difference with Canada versus the United States is a credit culture within there institutions and a mortgage industry built on recourse loans and solid underwriting standards. They never offered 100% financing with no documentation required. The other major difference is that very little of there mortgage product is sold. Most of it is held by the lending institution.

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Aaron_in_TX:

I was going to say that Canada doesn't have the get rich quick culture in their financial industry that we have.

They have a low risk/low reward strategy.

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JMSTiger:

It's nice to see Johnson leading, but in the end Feingold will pull it out, probably by 3-5%.

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real_american:

Georgia Joe:

The facts, for people smart enough to look at them, are that there were 6 years of record employment, record low unemployment, a record high stock market, record high home ownership, and the economy was it fantastic shape. Then the democrats took over congress.

But you liberal bush haters aren't smart enough to look beyond your foul pure hatred. The idiot democrats caused this mess. Get a brain and stop posting moronic idiocy.

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Field Marshal:

Aaron and GJ,

Yes, the culture in our country is one of more risk, more reward. But that is a VERY good thing.

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