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WI: 33% Feingold, 28% Johnson (U of Wisconsin 6/9-7/10)

Topics: poll , Wisconsin

University of Wisconsin
6/9-7/10/10; 500 adults, 4% margin of error
297 likely voters, 5.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(UW release)

Wisconsin

2010 Senate
33% Feingold (D), 28% Johnson (R) (trends)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Ron Johnson: 8 / 5
Russ Feingold: 47 / 25 (chart)

Job Approbal / Disapproval
Sen. Feingold: 55 / 32 (chart)

 

Comments
obamalover:

saying he wouldn't be against drilling in the great lakes is going to ruin Johnson's chances.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Drill Baby Drill works in states like LA, Texas, ARK, OK and rural CA, but WI voters I think are too smart to allow that to be a major factor in their vote. Of course, your run of the mill person doesn't know the dangers of offshore drilling and it is a factor, but Feingold is an ICON. I predict this state will remain in Democratic hands until Feingold retires.

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Field Marshal:

I think Feingold will win this even though he is a complete far-left loon. His favorables in the upper 40's are too high in a Dem leaning state. The only way Johnson has a shot is through his unknown state. He has to come out and wow the people with almost rockstar power.

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kevin626:

So, 83 percent of people in Rass's poll had an opinion on Johnson while only 13 percent have an opinion in this poll. Obviously they didn't push for an answer in this poll but I knew 83 percent was way to high.

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tjampel:

kevin626:

Thanks kevin; the 8/5 fave/unfave figure literally leapt out at me too. We've seen this time and again about Ras; they push people to venture an opinion. Not sure it's appropriate or not; it's just plain weird though, when I hear from so many in WI who say that Johnson's still a complete unknown

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real_american:

Why did yo even waste the website space for something as worthless as this?

39% undecided? In what universe?

55% job approval but only 33% are going to vote for Feingold?

Only 13% have any idea who Johnson is?

This is possibly the most worthless poll I have seen yet. If it was conducted by U of W students, they should all fail.

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JMSTiger:

Feingold will win in the end, but it will be close.

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melvin:

Feingold is going to run for President in 2012 you can bet on that.The Sarah Palin camp is already attacking the Mitt Roomney camp, so now am 100% positive she is going to run in 2012,this is going to be exciting,am going to enjoy watching the Republicans destroy each other.If Sarah Palin don't win the Republican nomination you can bet the Tea party is going to run a candidate in the General.

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Field Marshal:

melvin,

i hope feingold runs for president and gets the nomination. it would mean the GOP could run a chimp and win the race.

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melvin:

FM are you upset that Sarah Palin is going to be your nominee in 2012? How can the GOP ask her not to run with out losing the Tea party support? If any Republican attacks Sarah Palin in 2012 it would mean their chances of winning the nomination is slim in none.Sarah Palin now controls 50% of the Republican party, that is a fact Field Marshal so deal with it.

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melvin:

FM you can bet many Democrats are going to be crossing over in the Primaries to vote for Sarah Palin in 2012, and am sure the Republican party is thinking about that at this very moment.The republican party is even trying to get Jeb Bush to run in 2012, because they are so afarid Sarah Palin is going to destroy their chances of winning anything in 2012.

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Mike:

I really don't get why realamerican has a problem with this poll. It is several months before the election, in the middle of summer, with a Republican nominee who is new to politics. Wouldn't it make sense that the overwhelming majority of people don't know very much about him? And wouldn't it make sense that a pretty high proportion of people are undecided? Especially if the poll isn't even limited to registered (let alone likely) voters?

Remember, we're not talking about an electorate full of political junkies (unless you use a very tight likely voter screen, which I suspect Ras might). We're talking about regular Americans, most of whom really aren't that focused on politics.

I think Rasmussen's polls probably give a good reflection of what the most focused, knowledgeable voters think. This poll reminds us that most adults aren't those kind of people.

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jack:

This poll was conducted over a 1-month period.
Talk about useless! It's from mid-june to mid-July.

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Field Marshal:

Sarah Palin now controls 50% of the Republican party, that is a fact Field Marshal so deal with it.

Can i see the underlying data for this so called, "fact". melvin, do you not realize that even the libies on this site make fun of you?

I would agree that Sarah Palin as the nominee would mean the chances of defeating Obama in 2012 are much lower than they otherwise would be. I highly doubt she will run let alone be the nominee. Right now, Romney is the favorite and i don't see that changing anytime soon.

But again, as i said previously, I was on here a few years ago saying how i was glad Obama was going to be the nominee because there was no way the American people would be dumb enough to elect someone with the background, experience, and associates of Obama. I was obviously wrong. If Obama can be elected, ANYONE can....

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melvin:

FM the Republican party created Sarah Palin in now the GOP have to work with her on getting her nominated, or risk losing her support in the General.Sarah Palin only wants a fair chance of winning the nomination with out being attacked by the Republican Party, and a mean spirited way,because am sure if she loses the nomination in a fair way,she is going to stand 100% behind the Republican nominee,but if she loses and a very bad way you can bet the Tea party is going to run someone in the General.

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melvin:

Cnn ticker is reporting Sarah Palin will trounce any Republican in the primaries, in wrap up the nomination and a matter of weeks,but Palin will get killed by Obama in the General.The GOP is now going to have to offer this woman the moon to get her to drop out.

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TeaPartyRules:
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TeaPartyRules:

I have said many time right here on pollster that Sarah Palin will be the next POTUS. Apparently I'm not alone.

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gabe:

First off this poll is not reliable. Anybody who polls knows that if you have a sample under 300 voters the results are skewed and the margin of error grows. Let me put it this way. This poll asks fewer voters than most camapgin polls do for individual districts let alone an entire state. I think Rasmussen and PPP have this race pegged. Feingold's numbers are anemic and he is in for a tough fight this November. Come back and talk to me when you actually have a decent sized voter sample.

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gabe:

Oh and just to be clear here. I was referring to the small likely voters sample and not the 500 adults. For election purposes adult results mean little as we do not know if they are even registered to vote.

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real_american:

@Mike:
"I really don't get why realamerican has a problem with this poll."

Did you actually look at the statistics? A sample of 297 voters with a poll conducted for an entire month? 5.7% MOE?

Feingold has a 55% approval and yet only 33% plan to vote for him?

Only 61% say who they plan to vote for?

And that isn't for all voters - it is according to their likely voter model. Their numbers for all respondents is 25% Feingold,and 18% Johnson.

You don't find that stupid? Only 43% of Wisconsin residents have any idea who they are going to vote for this year?

You could have conducted a more accurate poll by having a class of 3rd graders raise their hands to the questions.

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