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2008 Iowa Republican Presidential Primary

SensIARep.png

What are these numbers? Click here for details.

The chart below plots the standard estimate for each candidate; a chart further down the page plots the three trends of varying intensity.


AIATopReps600.png

(Alternate Chart: All data since 2004)


Pollster Dates N/Pop Giuliani Huckabee McCain Paul Romney Thompson
InsiderAdvantage1/2/2008430 LV5301172411
ARG12/31/07-1/2/08600 LV8291162413
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby
12/30/07-1/2/08914 LV63110102511
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/29/07-1/1/08882 LV7281292612
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/28-31/07903 LV8291272510
Strategic Vision (R)12/28-30/07600 LV4281643013
Register/Selzer12/27-30/07800 LV532139269
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby*
12/27-30/07876 LV729137278
CNN12/26-30/07373 LV8281083113
Reuters/CSPAN/
Zogby
12/26-29/07867 LV829118288
McClatchy/MSNBC/
Mason-Dixon
12/26-28/07400 LV5231352714
ARG12/26-28/07600 LV623116327
Research 200012/26-27/07500 LV834882711
Strategic Vision (R)12/26-27/07600 LV4291442715
Times/Bloomberg12/20-26/07310 CV6371122311
ARG12/20-23/07600 LV14231710213
ARG12/16-19/07600 LV1328204175
Strategic Vision (R)12/16-18/07600 LV631852516
CNN12/14-18/07359 LV113396259
Rasmussen12/17/2007496 LV828146278
InsiderAdvantage12/16-17/07418 HLV525762811
ABC/Post12/13-17/07501 LV83568279
Research 200012/10-13/07500 LV93177229
Diageo/Hotline12/7-12/07446 LV123655238
Rasmussen12/10/2007789 LV83965238
Strategic Vision (R)12/8-10/07600 LV1030542513
Newsweek12/5-6/07275 LV939681710
McClatchy-MSNBC12/3-6/07400 LV532722011
Strategic Vision (R)11/30-12/2/07600 LV1327652411
Zogby11/29-12/01/07508 LV122555268
ARG11/26-29/07600 LV927932814
Register/Selzer11/25-28/07500 LV132977249
Rasmussen11/26-27/07839 LV1228452511
Strategic Vision (R)11/23-25/07600 LV1424752610
Pew/AP11/7-25/07264 LV1424552512
ABC/Post11/14-18/07400 LV1324662815
Iowa State11/6-18/07241 LV162283259
Research 200011/12-14/07400 LV1618652710
ARG11/10-14/07600 LV11241032611
Rasmussen11/12/2007825 LV1516642914
Strategic Vision (R)11/9-12/07600 LV1219753011
CBS/Times11/2-12/07480 LV152144279
Zogby11/6/2007410 LV1115843110
ARG10/26-29/07600 LV1619141278
U of Iowa10/17-24/07282 LV13136-3611
Strategic Vision (R)10/12-14/07600 LV1312542710
Rasmussen10/10-14/07650 LV1318622519
InsiderAdvantage10/2-3/071339 LV16131042413
Register/Selzer10/1-3/07405 LV1112742918
ARG9/26-29/07600 LV2141122216
Newsweek9/26-27/07 LV1312952416
Strategic Vision (R)9/21-23/07600 LV178633013
Times/Bloomberg9/6-10/07350 LV168722816
ARG8/26-29/07600 LV1714512713
McLaughlin (R)/
Hart (D)
8/20-21/07500 LV1211713511
Strategic Vision (R)8/17-19/07600 LV138833115
Zogby8/17-18/07487 LV148633312
ABC/Post7/26-31/07402 LV148822513
ARG7/26-30/07600 LV2211712113
Research 20007/23-25/07400 LV1321012514
Victory Ent (R)7/23-25/07400 LV9451267
ARG6/26-30/07600 LV1811312514
Strategic Vision (R)6/22-24/07600 LV1451022317
Mason-Dixon6/13-16/07400 LV157602517
V/C (R-Romney)5/29-5/31/07402 LV1279-2910
PPP (D)5/30/2007774 LV84923115
ARG5/24-27/07600 LV232250166
Strategic Vision (R)5/18-20/07600 LV1831622010
Register/Selzer5/12-16/07401 LV17418030-
Research 20005/14-15/07400 LV172180169
Zogby5/14-15/07600 LV161180178
ARG4/27-30/07600 LV1922601413
Strategic Vision (R)3/30-4/1/07600 LV252201811
Zogby3/28/2007404 LV25219-117
ARG3/19-22/07600 LV2902901012
V/C (R-Romney)3/2007 LV24717-15-
Strategic Vision (R)2/16-18/07600 LV29222-9-
ARG2/2007600 LV3112308-
ARG1/29-2/1/07600 LV27222011-
Strategic Vision (R)1/19-21/07600 LV25121-8-
Zogby1/15-16/07465 LV19117-5-
ARG12/19-23/06600 LV28126-6-
Research 200012/18-20/06400 LV26-27-9-
Victory Ent. (R)8/14-15/06400 LV30317-5-
ARG4/25-5/2/06600 LV-026-3-
Victory Ent. (R)8/8-10/05400 LV15-16-1-
U of Iowa7/29-8/5/07223 LV1223-288
Zogby5/14-15/07600 LV182181199
U of Iowa3/19-31/07178 LV20-21-17-

* denotes a survey not plotted in our charts, click here for further explanation.

(Download printable .pdf with polling data for all active candidates.)


Trends of Varying Sensitivity

AIAsReps600.png


All Candidates

AIAReps600.png

(Alternate Chart: All data since 2004)

View all Iowa charts and poll data here.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR