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A Rasmussen Poll That Wasn't

Topics: 2008 , Mary Landrieu , Rasmussen

Two week ago, we linked to a survey result for the Louisiana Senate race released by Rasmussen Reports. The survey purported to show Sen. Mary Landrieu with a 16-point lead over challenger John Kennedy. Apparently, according to this report that appeared on April 20 in the New Orleans Times-Picayne, that initial result was in error:

According to one news account of a new poll by Rasmussen Reports, Sen. Mary Landrieu, D-La., had a 39 percent to 55 percent lead over her Republican challenger, state Treasurer John Kennedy. According to another account, that same poll had Kennedy ahead by a statistically insignificant 46 percent to 47 percent. Who was right? As it turns out, no one. The first poll results showing Landrieu ahead were posted on the Rasmussen Web site and then pulled after the firm realized it had confused the results with polling done in the Virginia Senate race, which showed Democrat Mark Warner ahead by that same 39 percent to 55 percent margin. Rasmussen later posted the 46 percent to 47 percent results, and then quickly removed that from its Web site. A company spokesman confirmed that the first results were wrong, but could not explain what happened with the second posted results. All he would say is that Rasmussen doesn't have any current polling data in the Louisiana Senate race. For Landrieu campaign staff, the sudden fall from 16 points ahead to one point behind, followed by a "never mind" from Rasmussen, was softened by the release last week of another poll, this one by Southern Media & Opinion. It showed Landrieu running ahead of Kennedy 38 percent to 50 percent.

Needless to say, after learning about the Rasmussen error this afternoon, we immediately removed the erroneous result from our chart of the Louisiana Senate race. Apologies for not doing so sooner.

 

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