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AK: 52% Miller, 36% McAdams (NRSC 8/28-29)

Topics: Alaska , poll

Basswood Research (R) for the NRSC
8/28-29/10; 400 likely voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Hotline on Call post)

Alaska

2010 Senate
52% Miller (R), 36% McAdams (D)

2010 Governor
54% Parnell (R), 40% Berkowitz (D) (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

Alaska is a wierd state. Personally I don't believe it would be possible for someone like Miller to ever govern like a libertarian in Alaska. The state gets more government subsidies and more food and supplies brought in from the lower 48 than any others. It is so strange, that it has had this Wyoming or Montana style Libertarian slant over the years, yet they can't grow anything up there much.

The state is sort of like the Norway of North America, other than their politics of course. Palin and the tea party might be able to get elected, but Miller, just like senators Stevens, and Murkowski end up being the biggest hypocrites in the Senate. They get their consituents to believe they are for less government, but if there was no government intervention in Alaska, it would uninhabitable.

ALaska's environmentalists are agressive, and are not people you want to mess with. Of course the residents of that state can deny, and deny and deny climate change, but when half of Greenland is falling off the earth and the Polar bears struggle for survival because of melting glaciers, all we hear is some jackass politician saying "drill baby drill". Palin is a moral hypocrite of the first degree.

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Field Marshal:

LOL. Classic.

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Fred:

FLAP,
each state brings in different goods which are used throughout the nation. Alaska might not grow corn, but they have tourism, and they have a big fishing industry.

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Fred:

also FLAP, maybe you should go take some ice cubes up to those polar bears to help them :)

and I'm sure many people in Africa would be lucky to have some melting glaciers in their villages, considering they are made from water.

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Field Marshal:

Fred,

Can i ask why you even bother? FLAP is so far off the deep end there is no recovering.

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Bob in SJ:

NRSC prop poll. Miller's quite the paranoid, and the RPA is tearing itself apaert.

http://www.adn.com/2010/08/30/1431794/miller-calls-for-trooper-guard.html

In a years that looking worse and worse for my side, at leat there's a little comic relief.

Also, the Tea Party appears to be so embiggened by this victory(?), that they are taking on Castle in DE.

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Farleftandproud:

I Stand by my word. I agree there is a fishing industry in Alaska, but is the water clean with all the drilling? I wouldn't trust eating any of it.

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Cederico:

Both of these races are tough for DEMS in the current environment no doubt. But there is potential in the Senate race.

The DSCC should seriously consider spending the 1 million dollars that Democratic Alaska Senator Mark Begich says would be needed to make this a race. Joe Miller is extreme in his views even for Alaska. There is no way he can win if voters honestly think he is going to ban earmarks and think Social Security and Medicare are unconstitutional.

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Field Marshal:

FLAP,

Is the milk and cheese from VT safe for eating given that most of VT's electricity comes from Nuclear plants in or near VT? I wouldn't trust it.

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John1:

That's funny.

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Farleftandproud:

No, the money shouldn't be wasted in Alaska for the Dems. It is best at this point to spend the most money in seats we need to defend like CA, WI , WA and NV are the most imporant, and than CO, and PA to defend.

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Farleftandproud:

I think WA, IL, CA, and Delaware are all states Democrats need to work like hell to keep the seats blue in the senate. I mean Kirk in IL and Castle in DE are fairly moderate, and I think they would be good fair represenatives of their states, just like Snowe, Collins and Lincoln Chafee in RI did. Nevetheless, Democrats and Democratic leaning independents have to realize that their vote could also decide who would control the senate.

I think that anyone in politics expects PA, WI, OH, and Iowa are very much up for grabs. CA, has had 56 of 80 years dominated by GOP governors, in a heavily blue state.

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Farleftandproud:

I'll consider 2010 a decent year if Dems win Governors seats in VT, CT and MN, and retain Mass.

In the senate, If they can win WV, CA,CT WI,WA IL but lose Delaware. I would like to ad Nevada to that as well. That would be a 53-47 Senate. It would not be the worst outcome.

If the worst does happen and they lose 11 seats, it would be a painful lesson for this country to learn. Nevertheless, I think Obama won't give into them like Clinton did. I predict, that if Buck, or Angle or Fiorina win, the GOP's approval will go way down.

I predict that you'll see Olympia Snowe and possibly Susan Collins switching, which in Maine they could survive, unlike Parker Griffith in AL. switching to GOP, or Specter in PA switching to a Democrat. I am not sure if the GOP will even have a place for pro-choice, fiscally moderate women. Besides, the Maine tea baggers will probably pull the same thing with Snowe in 2012 they pulled with the much more Conservative Murkowski.

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Farleftandproud:

Is Vermont the only state that uses nuclear power? Trust me, it is not popular here.

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Moravej:

VT has had recent health issues with Nuclear Power and recently voted to halt construction of new nuclear power plants.

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Bob in SJ:

They're counting again - the nubmers are closer.

My hope is for an outcome favoring Miller by a handful of votes, and then a protracted recount fight.

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Ryan:

FLAP:
"If the worst does happen and they lose 11 seats, it would be a painful lesson for this country to learn. Nevertheless, I think Obama won't give into them like Clinton did. I predict, that if Buck, or Angle or Fiorina win, the GOP's approval will go way down. "

Yes, it would be awful if BO turned his presidency from a huge failure into a success like Clinton did after 1994. He might end up balancing budgets even. Horrible.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Ryan is just saying that now, but I bet if the economy doesn't improve under many GOP governors, by 2012, the GOP will still try to run dirty 527 ads to blame it all on Obama.

In 1994, many conservative governors and senators won seats and had policies I disagreed with, however they were not anything like what the Tea party has become. They didn't have people like Glen Beck accusing the president of hating white people and they didn't talk so venemously about repealing Obamacare, medicare, social security and Angle even talked about repealing the dept of education.

There is a certain kind of hatred, I didn't see 12 years ago in the GOP. Jesse Helms was probably the most demonized racist of the time, but this year's tea party candidates are way worse than GIngrich, Brownback, John Ashcroft, George Allen, and even Santorum, all up and coming politicians of the mid 90's. Angle, even said she wouldn't have provided aid to victims of hurricane Katrina, and Rand Paul talked about repealing the civil rights ads, and private resteraunt owners could pick and choose who comes into their establishments.

You've got Maes, running for governor in Colorado talking about the growth of bikes used for transportation is a communist conspiracy by the Godless UN. You had a congressman from Texas, saying that "demons have possessed the white house" with the heinous health care bill. You had the same guy, Gohmert talking about Arabs planting children and leaving them at the border to grow up to be terrorists. You had Sarah Palin make up Obama as a agent of death panels, when in fact it was Isaacson, a concervative Republican who brought up end of life counseling.

The list goes on and the GOP becomes more and more bizarre. I think this will eventually cause them to self destruct. I predict that Snowe, Collins and even Scott Brown may consider switching to being Independents, just because the GOP base, everywhere has become so extreme.

The bottom line, is that if the Democratic worst case scenario happens this year, I predict that the GOP's stronghold in congress and senate will vanish in 2, 4 or 6 years. It will happen if Obama is re-elected, and probably happen even moreso down the road, if Obama isn't re-elected.

The demographics in the southwest corner of the US are not in the GOP's favor, if Arizona and other states pass laws that will encourage violence. Likewise, I think that the younger generation of white voters under 30 have more moderate leanings than the Gen Xers did.

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