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AR: 2010 Sen (Kos 11/30-12/2)


DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
11/30-12/2/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

Arkansas

Favorable / Unfavorable
Blanche Lincoln: 41 / 50
Bill Halter: 36 / 25
Gilbert Baker: 31 / 25
Curtis Coleman: 29 / 24
Tom Cox: 28 / 23
Kim Hendren: 30 / 24
Mike Beebe: 64 / 24
Mark Pryor: 48 / 38
Barack Obama: 42 / 55

2010 Senate: General Election
42% Lincoln (D), 41% Baker (R)
44% Lincoln (D), 39% Coleman (R)
45% Lincoln (D), 31% Cox (R)
46% Lincoln (D), 30% Hendren (R)
42% Baker (R), 34% Halter (D)
40% Coleman (R), 35% Halter (D)
36% Halter (D), 32% Cox (R)
36% Halter (D), 31% Hendren (R)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
42% Lincoln, 26% Halter

Do you favor or oppose creating a government-administered health insurance option that anyone can purchase to compete with private insurance plans?
53% Favor, 41% Oppose

 

Comments
Xenobion:

A KOS poll to counter a Rasmussen poll lol :p

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Field Marshal:

Yeah, kind of funny that they came out on the same day. Ras has Baker up 6 on Lincoln and Kos has Lincoln up 1 on Baker. favorables/unfavorables are closer to each other.

Baker is still a relative unknown according to the data. So i guess it will come down to the political environment at the time and the way the people who do not know Baker fall.

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Farleftandproud:

This poll may not be the most accurate either but Rasmussen is full of shit. I wish pollster would simply take them off and their followers could look up their web site on their own request. I still think that Rasmussen sees Lincoln not supporting a public option would mean her voters may not turn out at all. Lincoln and Landreu are definetely people pleasers who are likely to look at polls. I don't know if it is just me, but I think Arkansas and Louisiana seem like male dominated states that have a sexist feel to them. NC and TX seem more like states where powerful woman in government have been taken seriously with Liddy Dole, Kay Hagan and Kay Huchinson. I felt as though Governor Kathleen Blanco got the short end of the stick after Katrina. It was mostly men politicians and public officials who screwed things up in that city, including Rep Jefferson who has gone to jail.

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Field Marshal:

How is ras full of sh*t but not Kos? Or is it your typical left wing bias shining bright as per usual?

The difference is the polling method. Ras is automated which typically shows a Rep tilt while Research 2000 uses live interviews which has the opposite effect. Sometimes, live is better, other times automated is better.

What pollster really should do is remove CBS and Washpo polls because they are about as credible as an Obama campaign promise.

Blanco should be in jail for her handling of Katrina. Hurricanes are state-run emergencies first and foremost. She, along with Mayor Flood Bus Nagrin showed the world the wonders of government bureaucracy.

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CUWriter:

"It was mostly men politicians and public officials who screwed things up in that city"

Oh my good Lord you are hysterical. No doubt politicians and public officials do a fine job of screwing things up for their constituents, but that title doesn't belong solely to those with Y chromosomes. It's a gender neutral thing.

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Farleftandproud:

Well perhaps mistakes were made by public officials in Louisiana and other states. I never remember what the hell David Vitter was doing though during the whole Katrina episode; probably screwing around with some whore back in DC while his wife was at a church fundraiser for her husband. He sort of had that Mark Sanford complex to him. Of course we will hear from the righties bringing up John Edwards. Yes he is a lost cause and a huge hypocrite for cheating on his dying wife. My argument though is that some states really seem to intimidate women politicians which is unfortunate.

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Farleftandproud:

All Polls show that Lincoln's approval has decreased throughout the healthcare debate, yet Pryor's approval has stayed steady. Unless he has changed his mind which wouldn't surprise me, Pryor will support the revised versions of the public option. I can only imagine the advertising spent throughout the south to attack health care reform and offer no other solutions. In areas of the country that are less expensive to live, costs of advertising are really cheap. That is why I think the big lobbys from insurance and pharmaceutical companies feed on rural America and the south to feed their lies.

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Cyril Washbrook:

As sceptical as I am about the value of Rasmussen's LV model, I'm far more inclined to believe Rasmussen's numbers than these. While I would be pleased if the public option's numbers were true, I don't believe for one second that a majority of Arkansans supports one.

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jmartin4s:

In terms of just the public option (not the bill as a whole) Arkansas is in favor of one because Walmart supports the public option and Walmart is a huge industry in Arkansas.

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Bigmike:

Walmart is huge in NW Arkansas, the area around its Bentonville HQ. That area also happens to be the most Republican in the state. It has had a GOP representative at least since the 60's. JP Hammerschidt, Asa Hutchinson, and Fay and John Bozeman. Even blue dogs are not conservative enough to win in NW AR.

Didn't Ras have better numbers for Gov Beebe than Kos does?

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Farleftandproud:

Gov Beebe should run against Lincoln in the primary.

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Farleftandproud:

Every State has a very red section. I work in Washington county, NY which is very conservative and a couple towns have elected conservative party members. It is funny that Palin's book is selling well here. VT, just over the state line is about as liberal as you can get. The rep in NY's 20th Scott Murphy voted against the house bill which didn't please me. You have Saratoga Springs, NY which is fairly Democratic, and VT which is very progressive, but in his district, you could say you have "Kansas in between". A little spoof off the saying about Pennsylvania.

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