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CT: 2010 Sen (Quinnipiac 11/3-8)


Quinnipiac
11/3-8/09; 1,236 registered voters, 2.8% margin of error
474 Democrats, 4.5% margin of error
332 Republicans, 5.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

Connecticut

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
Chris Dodd 55%, Merrick Alpert 22% (chart)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
Rob Simmons 28%, Linda McMahon 17%, Tom Foley 9%, Peter Schiff 5%, Sam Caligiuri 4% (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
49% Simmons, 38% Dodd (chart)
43% McMahon, 41% Dodd
42% Caligiuri, 42% Dodd (chart)
42% Schiff, 41% Dodd (chart)
47% Foley, 40% Dodd (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Dodd: 42 / 49 (chart)
Rob Simmons: 40 / 10
Linda McMahon: 20 / 13
Sam Caligiuri: 10 / 3
Tom Foley: 20 / 6
Peter Schiff: 7 / 4
Merrick Alpert: 1/ 3

Job Approval / Disapproval
Sen. Lieberman: 49 / 44 (chart)
Sen. Dodd: 40 / 54 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 58 / 35 (chart)

Looking ahead to the 2010 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Chris Dodd deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
39% Deserves, 53% Does not deserve

Looking ahead to the 2012 election for United States Senator, do you feel that Joe Lieberman deserves to be reelected, or do you feel that he does not deserve to be reelected?
46% Deserves, 45% Does not deserve

In general, do you think Joe Lieberman's views on issues are closer to - the Republican Pary or the Democratic Party?
51% Republican, 25% Democratic

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Ouch. Simmons has a nice handle on Dodd. That number will likely close as Dodd tries to buy himself 6 more years like Corzine did in NJ.

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Aaron_in_TX:

Simmons has a HUGE positive favorability gap.

Dodd may have been mortally wounded by his corruption scandals. I doubt he can "buy himself" the election. CT doesn't have machine politics. Simmons was a moderate republican representative who lost a close race in 2006, iirc, so he'd probably be a good fit for CT.

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Stillow:

Dodd has become the poster child for financial scandal.....which makes his new fianncial overhaul pretty laughable. Dodd is probably going to lose this race. To keep the seat the Dems really need to take him out inthe primary or ask him to retire.

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Wong:

Dodd made a Faustian bargain with the banking industry years ago. He deserves to be tossed out on his rear. Simmons is an east coast establishment Republican, much the same as Christie in NJ. This could be an interesting race if the baggers rally behind a conservative alternative.

Those Republican circular firing squads can be so amusing.

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Stillow:

What is amusing is watching you liberals try to explain the Christie victory....he is a fiscal conservative and I see liberals trying to paint him as soemthing else to justify you guys losing NJ. Its funny watching you guys squirm after getting a beat down like you did in NJ and VA.

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Stillow:

We have democrats fighting eachother over health care reform. You get liberal challengers to moderate Dems like Lieberman forcing him to run as an Indy to win. You have ultra liberal groups like moveon.org now saying they will actively campaign against moderate dems who vote against health care reform......and threats to put up liberal primary challengers against these blue dog dems.....

GOP civil war? Try looking at the Dems...

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Xenobion:

I could tell you stories that could make you squirm about Libby, Delay (who is now somehow popular lol), ect. This is not a liberal/conservative issue. Corruption exists in both parties. This is how the Democrats got in power in 2006. Scandal after Republican Scandal about little boys, bathroom sex, and campaign finance ethics. History repeats itself but calling liberals out for something like this is like throwing stones in a glass house. Dodd will get his day, but who'll replace him? A saint?

Stillow, Dems whip the moderates, Republicans kick the moderates. Remember that slogan.

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Stillow:

X

I'm just pointing out the obvious. All this talk on this site about a GOP civil war....just take a look at the Dems. I promise you there will be many liberal challenegers to many of these Blue Dogs....and in fairly conservative districts, more liberal candidiates have no chance. Its absolutely no different than what the Dems accusse the GOP of doing. So your right, don't throw stones in a glass house.

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Xenobion:

I'd say the difference is Democrats continue to allow idiots like Liberman in the party while Republicans boot Scozzafava. Now its Rubio rather than Crist. I think republicans are doing a daring move to go to the right in a time where they are the most unpopular in history. I mean maybe its smart because its making the Democrats conservative with all these homeless moderates flooding the party lol.

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Stillow:

What are you talking about? Lieberman had to leave the party to get elected. The Dems put a big liberal up against him to knock him out of the primary. He is not a democrat anymore because you guys pushed him out.

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Xenobion:

Liberman bucked the Iraq war vote, which was unpopular to his constituants, and couldn't raise money. Lamont, a millionare, ran a very good campaign to crush Liberman in the primaries. Liberman got a bunch of donations from all of his good ol' boys after he lost the primaries to run a hate campaign on Lamont to secure an (I) victory. He ran as a Democrat initially. Voters are the only people to kick him out. He's no Specter changing parties or something.

He's still head of the Homeland Security committee among other accolades. That's more than you can say for any Republican that's bucked the vote.

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Stillow:

X

Scozzy was chosen behind locked doors by a handful of people. There was no primary....everyone agrees that if there was a primary she would not have won it. How is conservatives saying they will put up conservatives challengers to liberal republicans any different than liberals like moveon saying they will put up liberal challengers to conservative dems?

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Xenobion:

Well they are killing the incumbant moderates in their party in a more than defining tone. Most dems are after health care votes, 1 issue politics (see how Dems are compromising on things like Abortion to get Healthcare passed). I'm watching Rep Cao who voted on the House bill now and I'll tell you for every other conservative thing he stands for he's being attacked as a liberal, despite being part of the Big Easy.

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Wong:

Hell, Stillow, we are All fiscal conservatives. What you didn't see in NJ or VA was Republican candidate who said he was against Medicare,or Social Security or that he would not accept stimulus funds, or would cut unemployment compensation or food stamps. That is because those conservative positions would have cost them the race.

Those are some of the positions that Hoffman took in the NY 23rd and that is why a Democrat now holds that seat for the first time in over a century.

What is funny is watching you guys on the rabid right trying to spin these races to justify your ideological lunacy.

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platanoman:

When Dodd is barely losing to a nut like Schiff and Mcmahon, then he knows he has problems.

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Stillow:

Wong

Keep it up...your srategy worked so well in NJ and VA....keep up the name calling and conservative bashing....its working sowell. The beat down you took in those two states was definately an anomoly, it will not happen in 2010....sokeep thinking that way....please!

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platanoman:

Wong does have a point there. Hoffman said he wasn't going to bring home the bacon, and he lost. You can say that Regan show the model of winning an election, and you thought Hoffman followed it. LOL Christie and Mcdonell ran a pretty middle of the row election.

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Bigmike:

My 2 cents.

Lieberman was voted out in a primary election. A Dem primary. I am not up on CT's voter laws, open vs closed primary. But you gotta think most voters in the primary had one thing in common. They were Democrats. So Lieberman was run out of the party by Democrats.

Dede was going down in flames in a general election. At least according to all of the polls. And we all obviously believe in polls to some degree or we would be hanging out somewhere else. Dede had little Republican support, little Democrat support, little Independent support, little conservative support, and little liberal support. There is no other way to poll under 20%. So Dede was not thrown out by Republicans. She was shown the door by the entire NY23 district.

So the Dems chased Lieberman out of their party but the Reps did not chase Dede out of their party.

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