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Daily Tracking Update (Friday 10/24)

Topics: Daily Trackers

Another day of what looks like random noise in the national daily tracking. Four trackers show slight, nominal movement to Obama (Gallup, Diageo Hotline, DailyKos/Research 2000 and IBD-TIPP). Three show slight movement to McCain (ABC/Washington Post, Reuters Zogby and GWU/Battleground) and one (Rasmussen) shows no change. As usual, all of these shifts are well within the margin of error of each poll.


081024 trackers.png

On the other hand, as of this hour, Obama's lead on the more variable "nose" of our national trend chart has increased for the fifth straight day to an 8.4 point margin (50.9% to 42.5% - as of this hour).

 

Comments
Mister H.:

Anybody else think that the IBD-TIPP number is odd?

So many people pointed to that one on Thursday as being a sign that the race was basically a dead-heat. But in one day, it went from D+1 to D+4. I realize that it's still in the MOE.....but that has to take some wind out of some folks.

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SoCalin:

I did notice some odd components to the IBD-TIPP poll. On the 23th, they 18 to 24 year olds going for McCain 3 to 1. On the 24th, they had the same group going 2 to 1 McCain. This seems very high to me. Additionally, their undecideds are much higher than other polls.

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