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DailyKos: AK, OR (10/14-16)

Topics: PHome

DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
10/14-16/08; 600 LV, 4%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Alaska
McCain 57, Obama 38
Sen: Begich (D) 48, Stevens (R-i) 46
At-Large: Berkowitz (D) 50, Young (R-i) 44

Oregon (10/14-15)
Obama 53, McCain 38
Sen: Merkley (D) 47, Smith (R-i) 41

 

Comments
Commander_King:

Excellent news

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mandalorianarmy:

That looks like 2 good chances at Senate seat pick ups for the Dems. 60 here we come.

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DTM:

Not good news for Smith, obviously. I wonder if the McCain/Palin slash-and-burn campaign is hurting these Republicans running for reelection in "blue" states. For that matter, I doubt Smith is going to be sending a Thank You note to Michele Bachmann.

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cjk002:

The AK senate race shouldn't be this close considering the fact that the Republican candidate was testifying at his own corruption trial yesterday.

What is wrong with Alaska?

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KipTin:

What is wrong with Alaska? Begich was well ahead before the Democrats started piling on Palin after she was selected as McCain's VP. Remember that Palin has a very high approval rating as Governor. I think still highest of all Governors.

I would say it is a reaction against Obamanation, especially if Begich jumped on that bandwagon.

Also note that Colin Powell was a very very positive character witness for Stevens at his trial.

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MNlatteliberal:

KipTin:
"Remember that Palin has a very high approval rating as Governor. I think still highest of all Governors."

Think again.

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wjbill49:

Don't you think it is strange that Palin commends a group that hates the American flag, hates American institutions and wants to leave the United States, and tell them to keep up the good work???? I think it is. And that her husband was a member of the group for 7 of the last 10 years. Talk about un-American activity .... we need to get the rep from MN on this case.
Hey the OR results look great .... we mostly knew where AK would be

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Gary Kilbride:

Begich was only well ahead if you wanted to dismiss every recent statewide outcome in Alaska, along with the liberal/conservative breakdown in the state, and basic common sense. I posted many times I didn't buy it.

Normally with a margin like that, a Democrat supposedly leading in Alaska by 2, I would be all but certain that the Republican would prevail by several points. The state always polls too friendly to Democrats. But in this case two factors could potentially allow Begich to hold on -- his strength in Anchorage as mayor, since that's where the numbers are in Alaska, plus Stevens' legal troubles.

I'll be up late for that one.

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axe2grind:

If those two AK races hold for the Dems, the pork in AK may come to a screeching halt, especially with Stevens gone.

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KipTin:

Well... MNlatteliberal... since you could not tell me who now has the highest governor approval rating, I did some quick research.

Ivan Moore, an Anchorage-based pollster, shows Palin’s approval rating in her home state at 65 percent (October 2008). Rasmussen has Palin 51% Excellent/17% Good for 68% total.

Rasmussen has Republican Bobbie Jindal of Louisiana at 53% Excellent/24% Good.

Those are the only top two contenders above 50% in Excellent category.

The next closest one is Republican John Hoeven of North Dakota at 39% Excellent.

BTW: Democrat Deval Patrick of Massachusetts job approval in latest Rasmussen poll has dipped to 38% (6% excellent/32% good) with whopping 59% Fair/Poor. I mention this because he was Obama campaign manager David Axelrod's previous candidate who won by large margins with high expectations.

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bmrKY:

"KipTin:
What is wrong with Alaska? Begich was well ahead before the Democrats started piling on Palin after she was selected as McCain's VP."

Yeah, I'm sure THAT'S what it is.

Alaska is one of the most conservative states there is. Hell, even guys democrats like Gray Davis and Eliot Spizter have been kicked out of office in very liberal states for ethics and incompetence problems. It's kind of sad that it appears that a lot of modern conservatives will not hold their conservative leaders accountable whenever they run into similar ethics and incompetence problems. Sarah Palins "hurt feelings" don't excuse the excusing of these actions. The media asks hard questions of politicians on both sides of the aisle. After these last 8 years, when there has been NO accountability by our President, Vice President and others in the administration, I will NEVER apologize for demanding that all candidates for office answer tough questions-- not about idiotic character attacks, but about issues that are FREAKING important to me and my loved ones, and for demanding that the candidates have a GOOD (not average or below average) understanding and command of the issues. We're facing a lot of problems in this country right now. Conservative and liberals alike should DEMAND that EVERY candidate on both tickets answer tough questions. It is NEVER sexist to question somebodies qualifications for office, and don't ANYBODY dare call me sexist because I actually support a womans right to choose AND equal pay for equal work for women, unlike one of the guys currently running for president. Being a fighter against sexism is more than about standing up and supporting female candidates. It's about supporting candidates and political parties that STAND UP for issues that are important to women. If you don't stand up for issues important to women and stand up against politicians who do not support those issues, then you are in NO position to call anyone else a sexist.

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Mike In Maryland:

niTpiK,

Mason-Dixon polling has found two governors in Western states that have higher poll ratings right now than SarahBaracuda.

I don't think Louisiana is considered to be a 'western state'.

I don't think North Dakota is considered to be a 'western state'.

You might want to expand your research a bit, by including other pollsters, to find out the FACTUAL information.

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sulthernao:

@KipTin

Your not a very good republican troll.
Seriously, you tie Massachusetts Governor Deval Patrick to Obama?

If you seriously want to argue low governor numbers, why don't you tie together Illinois Governor Rod Blagovich (I think it it is 10-90, it's pretty ridiculous and I'm a hardcore dem) to Tony Rezco to Obama????

Wow. You had the "perfect" opportunity and failed. You suck at trolling.

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CTPonix4BHObama:

@KIPTIP

So, since Powell just endorsed Obama was he a good character witness for Sen. Obama?
Or has all Powell's credibility flown out the window because he endorsed a Democrat?

Also, what about DEMOCRAT Gov. Schweitzer of Montana with a favorablity rating CURRENTLY of 62-33 and 52-41 among republicans. And that's in a Republican state or should i say WAS a republican state.

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