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FL: 48% Sink, 47% Scott (Rasmussen 9/1)

Topics: Florida , poll

Rasmussen
9/1/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Florida

2010 Governor
48% Sink (D), 47% Scott (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Rick Scott: 49 / 45
Alex Sink: 54 / 35

 

Comments
Paleo:

Again, too little undecided. Being that it's Rasmussen, it's encouraging news for Sink.

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Cederico:

Scott will spend big to raise Sink's negatives in this race. But he has to be careful because his own favorability ain't great.

Luckily Sink has proven to be a good fundraiser. She also got the endorsement of Bud Chiles who needs to really work the north Florida conservadems who were his natural base.

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StatyPolly:

Sink announced today that her brother, Kit Chen, will be leaving his restaurant job to join her campaign as the chief (chef?) strategist.

Florida Repubs wondered if there was anything else left to be thrown at them.

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melvin:

Boy is Rasmussen going to look bad come November,because right now he have the Democrats losing every Major Senate seat except California,which means he has the GOP winning 50 seats.....Rasmussen is going to stop polling after the 3rd week in October like he always do...Rasmussen in case you haven't notice has the Dem's close in some races, like Alaska, which we know the Dem's wont even come close,this guy is a fraud who needs to be called out after the Midterms..This guy is brought off by the Republican party,and Fox News.

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Bob in SJ:

@ Staty

Pretty funny.

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Field Marshal:

New internal poll out by Crist on the FL Sen race showing a 1 point lead by Crist over Rubio. Not good for an internal poll.

http://politicalwire.com/archives/2010/09/02/crist_internal_poll_shows_tight_race.html

Plus, the first ads by Meek hit the airwaves this weekend attacking Crist without mentioning Rubio. He attacks Crist for being a closet Republican.

From the ad:
"Home is where the heart is. And for Charlie Crist, home is with the GOP," the narrator of the 60-second spot says. The ad goes on to feature audio of Crist calling himself a "Jeb Bush Republican" and praising national Republicans including former Alaska Gov. Sarah Palin, Sen. John McCain (R-Ariz.) and former President George W. Bush.

"Don't be fooled. If Charlie Crist gets to Washington, his heart will lead him right back to where he belongs," the narrator concludes.

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StatyPolly:

Thanks, Bob.

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tjampel:

Crist is a Republican and that will always turn off some Dems, but...which ones? The one's who stick their heads in the sand and deny reality.

If Meek's got the cash to burn he can raise Crist's negatives with Dems and bury him, and then he will have a 15-20% loss to be proud of.
50/35/15

I have to believe that the Dem leadership far more approves of Crist in the Senate than Rubio.

Are you claiming that it really makes no difference to Obama and Dems who occupies this seat? And, if it does make a difference are you further claiming that the Dem Party will allow Meek to push out Crist and remain uncompetitive himself, thus insuring a Rubio victory?

I think that Meek is getting his chance (which he deserves as the elected nominee) to show he's a viable candidate. If he can't break into the mid 20s in the next few weeks I'd hope and expect the national party to pull the plug.

Crist may be damaged somewhat in the mean time; however, if Meek begins to fade badly again Crist will start looking better and better to Dems.

One other effect of this campaign by Meek, perhaps unintended, is that unaffiliated voters and moderate Republicans will be reminded that Crist is one of them, something they're doubting right now. Crist desperately needs to hold onto a share of Republicans to have any chance and he needs to clean up with unaffiliated voters who are perfectly comfortable with Jeb Bush.

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Farleftandproud:

The reason I don't believe this poll in comparison to another poll like Rossi Vs Murray, is the huge gap in favorability between Scott and Sink. Voters don't usually decide to vote for someone if they don't have a favorable opinion of them.

I would like to see another polling firm poll this one to verify things.

Also, I think the Chiles factor hasn't taken hold yet. Some people may not know he has dropped out of the race.

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Farleftandproud:

Meek is still running on his Clinton endorsed primary surge. I think when the voters see that the GOP is going to move to Rubio in huge numbers, other than a few moderates, the practical moderate Democrats and some progressives like myself, may end up voting for Crist, just so Meek isn't the spoliler.

I am the kind of progressive who may endorse a candidate in the primary, and I love the ideology of the Green party and other progressive parties, but I would vote for the more moderate candidate, if I thought I was throwing away my vote. In the case of this year's florida election, you clearly have a Progressive, a Centrist, and a Tea Bagger.

The more people will see that Meek just isn't going to win in a poor year for progressives, they may do the right thing and support Crist.

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tjampel:

If voting for Crist is a no-brainer for Far Left (and socialist me of course) and probably for all of the other Dems who post here, why is it not a no-brainer for many more mainstream dems in South Florida (where I used to live) let alone all those conservadems in Orlando and the Panhandle

No one wants to simply waste their vote. A Dem vote for Crist may get an important piece of legislation actually passed.

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Farleftandproud:

I think a lot more white and hispanic Democrat or Democratic leaning voters will switch to Crist. This is one state for Obama not to waste his time in. If he wants to have any kind of loyalty to a state that truly supports Obama, he should come to Vermont and campaign for the winner of the recount. The likely winner is Shumlin, and even though VT is a progressive state, the GOP opponent Dubie, is no moderate, and has done business with the Koch bros, Karl Rove, and many big corporations who would never be welcomed in VT.

I am trying to figure out a way to expose him for who he is. Our current governor Douglas is more like Charlie Crist and is more moderate.

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Cederico:

Florida DEMS like myself will make a strategic vote in the end. I agree with TJampel that Meek has to show viability right now cause in a few weeks the party is going to right him off and concentrate on other races.

If that were to happen many DEMS voters would like vote for Crist to ensure the onerous Rubio is not elected.

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