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Gary Langer on the Iowa Entrance Poll


ABC News's Polling Director Gary Langer analyzes last night's entrance poll data and finds:

  • "While a range of factors rumbled through the Democratic race, the Republican contest was essentially about one thing: religion. Evangelical Christians accounted for a remarkable six in 10 GOP caucus-goers, and they favored Huckabee, a Baptist minister, over Mitt Romney, who's Mormon, by a broad 46-19 percent."
  • "In the Democratic contest, "change" was a huge factor; 52 percent of caucus-goers said the most important candidate characteristic to was bringing "needed change," more than twice the size of the next most-desired attribute. Obama won them by 2-1, with 51 percent support in this group to 20 percent for Edwards and 19 percent for Clinton."

Full analysis here.

 

Comments
Chris Bastian:

Any why, exactly WAS there an "entrance poll" that was shared with the audience. The networks always profess to holding back on polling data until votes are counted in a particular state. Why change the rules?

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jmcshab:

The caucus doors were closed by the time entrance poll data was released, so the poll could not affect results. People inside the caucus couldn't see the #'s until they had already "voted".

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