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IA: Obama, 2012 Candidates (DMR 11/8-11)


Des Moines Register / Selzer & Co.
11/8-11/09; 800 adults, 4.2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Des Moines Register: Obama, 2012 candidates)

Iowa

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 44

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mike Huckabee: 54 / 22
Sarah Palin: 37 / 55
Newt Gingrich: 42 / 36
Mitt Romney: 40 / 31
Tim Pawlenty: 17 / 10
Bobby Jindal: 16 / 10
George Pataki: 16 / 14

 

Comments
Field Marshal:

Under 50 with 'adults'. Not a good sign if Obama wants to hold onto this state in 2012. Probably at parity among likely voters.

Iowans love Huckabee for some reason.

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Gopherguy:

Iowa has a lot of evangelicals for a northern state. That explains Huckabee's approval.

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taurus pt145:

Old out dated poll 11/8-9, why bother Emily?

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Xenobion:

IA gave 2nd place to Huckabee in republican primaries if I remember correctly? His style is good in the town hall format there.

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platanoman:

He came in first in Iowa. Palin has no chance. I would love to see her run so she can make a fool out of herself.

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starbase135:

If Palin works the state as Huckabee did in 2007, I am not sure who would win the Iowa caucuses...

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Farleftandproud:

The Longer Huckabee is on Fox news, it will work against him. Fox loves extremists and even though I don't quite paint Huck with the same brush as Glenn Beck, he has stated a lot of strong and contreversial opinions on his news station including a disregard for seperation of church and state in America.

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Paul:

The final outcome for the GOP depends on momentum coming out of the early primaries.

The difference between Palin's and Huckabee's numbers are 50 points (Huckabee +32, Palin -18). That kind of enormous advantage for Huckabee is not likely made up in Iowa. Iowa likes Huckabee, end of story. He would go to New Hampshire (assuming the same order of primaries in 2012) as having won Iowa --- the rest will split the remainder. New Hampshire also likes Huckabee. Romney would presumably do well as would Palin (NH - The live free or die state - this motto aligns well with Palin). If Wyoming is second for GOP, have to figure Palin and Gingrich would play well.

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Xenobion:

NH hates faith first politicans that's why Huck got 3rd and Romney got 2nd despite it being in his back yard. Palin will not resonate there.

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libertybrewcity:

Where is Ron Paul in this one? He would without a doubt get 1st or 2nd place in the Iowa Caucus.

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