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IL: 49% Brady (R), 41% Quinn (D) (Rasmussen 8/23)

Topics: Illinois , poll

Rasmussen
8/23/10; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Illinois

2010 Governor
49% Brady (R), 41% Quinn (D) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Pat Quinn: 42 / 55
Bill Brady: 53 / 35

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Quinn: 39 / 60

 

Comments
CUWriter:

Not sure if I believe the favorable ratings for Brady in this case... but the Quinn numbers are also a lot higher than seen elsewhere. Still, Brady by just under 10 points seems about right.

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Cederico:

Why Oh Why did Illinois DEMS pick Quinn? Dan Hynes would be running away with this race. If Attorney General Lisa Madigan had ran she would be winning in a blowout.

In order to win Quinn has to go nuclear on Brady and hope that the DEM vote comes out in force upstate from Chicago. He really has to paint Brady as basically a far right wing nut and hope people care.

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Mike E:

The republican governor tidal wave is growing.

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Bob in SJ:

This sample should provide some interesting restuls for the Senate race. Brady's under 50%, but Quinn is very unpopular.

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AlanSnipes:

I live in Illinois and there is no way Brady, a Palin type winger, wins in THIS state.

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Farleftandproud:

Than why hasn't the results of this election changed? If Brady was a Tea party extremist, how will he good fortune so far be reversed?

Turnout Turnout turnout will be the key Alan. The green party candidate probably has some great ideas, but 2010 is no year for a Democrat in any state to vote for a liberal third party. 4 years is too long to have a Governor who would poorly represent his state.

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Farleftandproud:

Wouldn't you know? I looked at Rasmussen's web site and they are proud to announce the following: Michelle Obama's approval is at 54/36 and each week they keep saying 54 percent want to repeal Obamacare, and some other stuff.

It is hard but I try not to base my opinion of the stupidity of American culture on Rasmussen's logic. I mean if they were right, I would pretty much say that the US is in the same state of mind as 1936 in Germany. I mean if they are as accurate as they say, it is pretty disturbing

Most Americans still oppose granting U.S. citizenship automatically to children born in America to illegal immigrants.

Here is one that even Rand Paul probably wouldn't support:

51% Say U.S. Should Help Israel If It Attacks Iran

(I read it wrong at first and thought it was supporting Israel if they were attacked by Iran, but people would be so stupid to protect Israel if they made a pre-emptive move on Iran. That would be the beginning of a nuclear holocaust.

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Dave:

Flap: Do you think Iran having a nuclear weapon is a good thing? No blather, it's a yes or no question.

If no, then they should be prevented from attaining such a weapon I would think.

The leader of Iran has stated a desire to see Israel wiped off the map.

Could you really fault Israel for attacking?

And I say all this as a libertarian leaning independent, who was against the Iraq war.

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ObamaisMarxistFilth:

Wow. Check this out. Gallup over the past week showed that Filth's approval rating among men is 39%! Not great among women, but better: 46%.

Now doing some quick and dirty math tells me that this puts his approval rating among white males at somewhere around 26 or 27% (and white females around 33%).

Someone correct me if I've got some bad assumptions here, but if you assume males at 49% and females at 51% of the population, then use the following population breakdowns, you get there:

Whites: 65.4%
Hispanic: 15.4% (Assume 65% approval)
Black: 12.4% (Assume 92% approval)
Asian: 4.4% (Assume 60% approval)
Multi-Racial: 2.4% (Assume 60% approval)

If my approval-by-race assumptions are correct, that puts Filth at 26.5% with white men and 33% with white women. And if, as I suspect, I have them low, that makes it even worst.

Can a politician even hope to govern when the majority race disapproves by 70%?

Ed

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AlanSnipes:

Well Obamamarxist...You sure put the ASS in assume with your racist rant.

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ObamaisMarxistFilth:

What the hell are you talking about Alan? What was "racist" in what I wrote. Have you guys become so braindead that now you can't even comment on a poling breakdown by race without using the "racist" canard?

OIMF

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Aaron_in_TX:

"Do you think Iran having a nuclear weapon is a good thing? No blather, it's a yes or no question."

No, but I don't see how attacking them would do any good whatsoever. It would just solidify the Iranian people against us. There's a huge number of people within Iran unhappy with the regime and it's very likely Mousavi won the election, or at least did better than the vote indicated, but Ahmedinejad messed with the ballots. The Mousavi side is MUCH more friendly to the West, although it should be noted that he was in favor of the nuclear program as well.

We would do well to not turn the moderates in Iran completely against us, which is what would happen if we attacked their country.

It was said the world would end when India/Pakistan got the bomb, yet they have seemingly worked together a little better since then. Or at least Kashmir doesn't seem like as much of an issue as it was in the 80s, 90s.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"What the hell are you talking about Alan? What was "racist" in what I wrote."

I think he was being sarcastic. All you did was break it down by demographics, which is what Melvin does all the time and he gets called racist everyday.

Talking about demographics is not racist.

btw, I think your assumptions are high. Black approval has fallen into the 80s, hispanic approval into the 50s, and multi-racial & Asian are probably 10-15 points lower than their election exits were. There's been a fairly uniform drop among all races, a little worse among white men.

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Farleftandproud:

Well the stupidity of attacking Iran or even believing the intelligence in such an instance is the same stupidity that led us to attack Iraq because they had WMD's. I think if we were to attack Iran, I would seriously leave the country and move to some Island somewhere far away from the radiation left after there is massive retaliation from China that would lead us into a final nuclear war. I can't belive that 49 percent of Americans are so stupid to believe that they would fall for the bullshit again.

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Field Marshal:

I think he was being sarcastic. All you did was break it down by demographics, which is what Melvin does all the time and he gets called racist everyday.

You think so? I wouldn't put it past him among many others of the lefties on here to truly believe he was racist.

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Field Marshal:

I mean if they were right, I would pretty much say that the US is in the same state of mind as 1936 in Germany. I mean if they are as accurate as they say, it is pretty disturbing

He we go. Godwins law invoked. Its a daily ocurrance for FLAP.

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Dave:

Aaron in Texas: Fair enough. However, if you read the poll, it doesn't ask about us attacking Iran. It asks about us supporting Isreal if they were to preemptively strike Iran. That's a far different question.

Although the poll could have worded the question better I think. Support can range anywhere from a statement signifying our support, to funding the mission, to actually participating in the mission.

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Moravej:

Saying Obama is a Marxist or radical is nonsense. Many assume it because only because he is black, which is racist. Its hard to tell if "ObamaisMarxistFilth" is racist or just stupid. But I highly suggest he learn definitions and get his information from real sources. As a nation we should be debating ideas, not making up crap and smearing the other side.

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Farleftandproud:

Dear Democrats and Progressives: I'll warn you that Rasmussen has Boxer in CA ahead by 1. I almost freaked out until I read the fine print.

"Fiorina earns 89% support from Republican voters, while 77% of Democrats favor Boxer. Voters not affiliated with either party give a modest edge to the Democrat."

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