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IN: Obama 49, McCain 45 (SurveyUSA-10/21-22)

Topics: PHome

SurveyUSA
10/21-22/08; 631 LV, 4%
Mode: IVR

Obama 49, McCain 45
Gov: Daniels (R-i) 54, Long Thompson (D) 35, Horning (L) 7

 

Comments
BOOMFAIL:

Indiana will go BLUE this year. As will Ohio, VA, FL, NC, CO, NV, MO, etc.

There will be a bloodbath on Nov. 4th.

LANDSLIDE BABY LANDSLIDE!

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ashley:

NPR has a new "battleground states" poll out. It shows Obama with an overall 11 point lead in 15 battleground states.

http://www.npr.org/templates/story/story.php?storyId=96048563

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BOOMFAIL:

@ashley:
Most telling regarding the states that are included in that poll...they voted for Bush by a 15% margin! That's a 26 point swing from 2004 to today! A bit confused about the level of support from each party to their candidates though. McCain has about the same support from his party as Obama has from the Democrats? I would think with numbers like this poll, you would have more Republicans jumping ship. All I can think is that less people are willing to call themselves a republican this year, and instead call themselves "Independents" who are obviously supporting Obama in droves...thus the 26 point swing from 4 years ago!

"Both candidates are receiving the same levels of support from their own partisans: 90 percent of Democrats in the poll support Obama; 91 percent of Republicans support McCain. But there are fewer Republicans now than there were in 2004, when President Bush won these same states by 15 PERCENT."

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C.S.Strowbridge:

"I would think with numbers like this poll, you would have more Republicans jumping ship."

They have. In fact, they have either become independents or Democrats.

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OneAngryDwarf:

So the next time that assclown boomstupid comes around telling everyone about the impending Obama campaign collapse. Please refer him here.

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/1008/14891.html

Apparently you've got senior McCain campaign staff who are already shopping for new jobs before the campaign is over.

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maddiekat:

I always thought that the GW Poll was the NPR Poll. At one time the NPR Battleground Poll was listed on RCP as the Battleground poll when it showed McCain with a 2 point lead. We've been hoodwinked by RCP!

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Indiana4Obama:

I can tell you that the Hoosier state is on fire for Obama right now. Here in a northern Indianapolis suburb the ground game and organization is beyond amazing. If Obama can hold his own in southern Indiana he has a real shot at this state.

I'll be making calls again next week to try and get out the vote. But the response I've had so far is very encouraging for Obama.

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boomshak:

bullsh*t.

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Indiana!? Oh oh it's a good morning. And great article Ashley, very nice.

Good day all around so far. I even have a potential for an interview for a job! And Obama is cruising along nicely...

Good morning from the Great City of Las Vegas

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mac7396:

I'm not worried. Boom says it will be tied by Sunday. So these incredible leads for Obama will be gone in exactly 48 hours.

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JCK:

Last three polls in Indiana show an Obama lead.

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Dan:

ohh is it THIS Sunday that they'll be tied? I keep getting it mixed up. ;-)

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sunnymi:


The margin in the battleground states for NPR is the same Hotline had today for those states: O+11

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Viperlord:

If IN goes blue on Election Day I will be laughing triumphantly. If McCain can't hold on to IN, he has no prayer whatsoever.

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jamesia:

37% R
37% D
23% I

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blueboy2000:

The real stunner here is Obama up NINE in central Indiana. If that's the Indy burbs, McCain is completely screwed if this poll is true. A Repub should be up by 20 or more in this region.

Bear in mind--McCain had NO infrastructure to speak of in either Indiana or North Carolina. And now it looks like he's paying for it.

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angrytoxicologist:

I guess PA, OH, MI, IL, IA, MN, WI are no longer the heartland of America according to repubs. That sucks, I have always liked that part of the country.

Alaska, the new (republican) heartland!

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NHBlue:

Anyone see the NOVA piece of Hugh Everett and his theory of multiple universes. At any moment, the universe splits in such a way that every possible outcome of an action takes place in one of the split-off universes.

Therefore boomshak is always right-- cosmologically, at least. The races are in fact tied on Sunday somewhere, only never in the particular universe that that we find ourselves living in now.

Take heart, boom. The truth is out there... Way way way out there.

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oicu:

@boomshak:

is that the best you can do? I'm disappointed.

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Hoosier:

Well, I never thought I'd see it, but it looks like Obama is going to maky my state BLUE!!!!

As other Hoosiers have said, the Obama ground game here is amazing. There are Obama volunteers everywhere. No sign of McToast anywhere except for a few yard signs. Not even one McCain ad on TV that I have seen.

Yesterday, my mom went to early vote and had to wait in line for an hour (in 2004, she walked right in). There is a tsunami coming on Election Day.

Our polls here close at 6pm, but some counties are on Central time so they will close at 7pm Eastern Time. if Indiana goes blue by 8pm Eastern, its over for McToast.

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Mark in LA:

It seems that the more negative the McCain campaign goes, the lower they sink in the polls. I guese they would rather be hateful and lose badly, than gracious and lose not so badly. Let's hope this trend continues.

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Paul:

13 point advantage with females would have to be overcome with a larger advantage with males. In 2004, exit poll in Indiana shows that split was 48 (M) - 52 (F).

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