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KY: McCain 52, Obama 44 (Rasmussen-10/21)

Topics: PHome

Rasmussen Reports
10/21/08; 500 LV, 4.5%
Mode: IVR

Kentucky
McCain 52, Obama 44
Sen: McConnell (R-i) 50, Lunsford (D) 43

 

Comments
BonJoviForPres:

Wow! Is Kentucky still a state!?

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NB:

If McCain can't even win the racist states by more than 10 points he has some problems to say the least.

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rami:

OMG, Mccain is going to win Kentucky. The dems must be desperate.

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katocat:

Wow, even ol' Kentuck' is tightening.

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Wow, even Kentucky isn't in the bag for McCain. Sorry to go off topic (and to blow my own trumpet) but I also just noticed that my prediction about the Northwestern states continues to come true. The most recent South Dakota poll from Mason-Dixon a few days ago showed Obama only 7 behind McCain (it may be even closer by now). Not as dramatic as the change in North Dakota, but still a 10-point improvement on a month ago. Play the Electoral College game, Barack, and throw some money at these states and Montana which are so sparsely populated (and not as entrenched as some southern states) and you may pick up 9 handy EVs for a reasonable price - they look like they want to go Dem, they just need you to show them some love.

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MichaelJason:

Obama just began running ads in Kentucky. I predict if he loses, it will be by 5 pts. or less.

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Robi:

8 points in KY when Ras is polling is BAD for McCain...

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CaptainPatent:

Do my eyes deceive me?

Sure Kentucky is still fairly deep red, but RASMUSSEN giving KENTUCKY only +8 McCain?!

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GoodRiddensW:

Not as tight as recent polls, but keeping McConnell on his heels.

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Incumbent:

As a result of this poll McCain has forbidden any of his campaign staff from eating at KFC.

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alankeyesisawesome:

Don't get too giddy, demoncrats! Kentucky will still be voting for McCain...Obama is just wasting his money in there....McCain is spending his money in the states that really matter.

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rdw4potus:

Sam,

I like your idea about ND, SD, and MT. I'm confused why you think they're northwestern states, though. Aren't the northwestern states usually considered to be OR, WA, and ID?

Polling this good in KY is probably very good news for IN and OH. Southwest OH and Southern IN should closely correlate to KY numbers, and northern OH and IN are going Obama by way more than those areas...

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joethedummer:

kentucky is back in playyy!
yessss weeeee cannnnnnn!

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tjampel:

If Obama wins KY all his supporters should make a promise to visit the state. We can tour some a mountaintop removal site or two and then maybe a MicroStill-bourbon tour. It would make my whole YEAR to see Obama beat "Old Granddad" in the heart of Appalachia.

But...."that [IS] just a dream....."

The reality is that it's kind of tough for McCain to spontaneously recover from the 9 simultaneous stab wounds that have pierced him from all all angles (NV, CO, NM, IA, IN, NC, VA, OH, FL ; triage is running out of bandages and the OR techs are just throwing their hands up and pointing finger at each other.

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Viperlord:

Holy Crap. Is McPathetic that lame?

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boomshack:

Of course Kentucky is tightening! Just look at their state abbreviation: KY! It is bordering on obscene!

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boomshak:

Why does Rasmussen waste his time polling KY?

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Jeff:

This is great news for Obama in OH. KY is a good gauge of how southern OH will vote. If he can lose south OH by say 2-3% less than Kerry did in 04, combined with grabbing more independents and more democratic voters, he will win OH.

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JFactor:

The senate race numbers are more important here than the presidential race. Lunsford has been quite close recently and while he is definately an underdog he's still within striking distance. It would be a stunning defeat for the Republicans - if they lose that senate seat then the impossible may become reality and the Dems get a filibuster proof congress.
________________________________________
http://www.internationalpoliticstoday.com

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Observer:

A good poll for Obama. It means either he is doing a lot better than we would expect or there is something wrong with this poll. There are so many polls the only thing certain is that a lot of them are simply very wrong.

The only unanimity seems to be that Obama is ahead. He is either a little ahead and losing support or a long way ahead and gaining support or something in between. Good job we have all these polls, otherwise we wouldn't have any idea what was happening.

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nmetro:

Louisville, Evansville, Lexington and Cincinnati could have something to do with this. Considering White Catholics, college students, African-Americans are going strong for barack Obama. also, throw in Independents are going strong for Barack Obama.

Even though McCain has gained a lead in West Virginia, this state will be something to watch. As states like North Dakota, South Dakota, Montana, Colorado, New Mexico and Nevada.

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boomshack:

KY is a stupid state.

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GeorgeHusseinBush:

I think this poll is more about the Senate race not the Presidential numbers. Unfortunately they are not as close as I would have liked.

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boomshack:

Who would live in a state named after a sexual lubricant?

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davidsfr:

The sun shines bright on my old Kentucky home!

Yeah those Senate numbers are disappointing, but not hopeless.

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bpd1069:

Smart move, get the Dem's in KY energized to turn out and that will assure McConnell looses, and there goes the anchor of the GOP leadership, and makes 60 Dem senators closer to reality...

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Frankie:

boomshack, you are a Republican perv. Seriously, what kind of adult male looks at Kentucky and think "KY"...

... let alone post twice about it on the internet.

Disturbing.

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PortlandRocks:

Boom I love your state! GO TARHEELS!

RCP Average 10/18 - 10/21 -- -- 49.2 47.2 Obama +2.0

WSOC-TV 10/20 - 10/21 500 LV 4.4 48 46 Obama +2
CNN/Time 10/19 - 10/21 644 LV 4.0 51 47 Obama +4
SurveyUSA 10/18 - 10/20 627 LV 4.0 47 47 Tie
Politico/InAdv 10/19 - 10/19 698 LV 3.6 49 48 Obama +1
FOX News/Rasmussen 10/19 - 10/19 1000 LV 3.0 51 48 Obama +3

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lilyogini:

LOL! K-Y! That never occurred to me.

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deeznutsrepubs:

poor numnuts mcain - the idiot is pouring money into PA. what a tool. I wish I could watch his (and Palin's) face on election night. I would fart on them as all the states turned blue. ROFL

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OneAngryDwarf:

Oooh massive beatdown of Nancy "the Robo-Liar" Pfotenhaur on Countdown tonight.

Tough to watch but oh so satisfying.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/10/22/chris-matthews-battles-na_n_137030.html

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boomshack:

I just accidentally turned on MSNBC and threw up.
They are not even letting Mrs Nancy McCain talk! How is she supposed to defend Governor Palin if she is not allowed to speak?!

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boomshack:

Frankie:

boomshack, you are a Republican perv. Seriously, what kind of adult male looks at Kentucky and think "KY"...

How can you NOT? It's a perverted name.

... let alone post twice about it on the internet.

Can you even count? 3 times!

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deeznutsrepubs:

jeez boom, after weeks of getting reamed by obama in the polls your ass must hurt.....is that why you are talking about KY now? silly boom....should have figured.......

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douglasfactors:
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IndependentThinker:

Here's the list of polls from RCP
With 12 days remaining until the election day I still can't see the McCain SURGE
If someone can please let me know

Wednesday, October 22
Race (Click to Sort) Poll Results Spread
Kentucky Rasmussen McCain 52, Obama 44 McCain +8
National FOX News Obama 49, McCain 40 Obama +9
Florida NBC/Mason-Dixon Obama 45, McCain 46 McCain +1
North Carolina WSOC-TV Obama 48, McCain 46 Obama +2
Virginia NBC/Mason-Dixon Obama 47, McCain 45 Obama +2
National Rasmussen Reports Obama 51, McCain 45 Obama +6
National Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Obama 52, McCain 42 Obama +10
National Gallup (Traditional)* Obama 50, McCain 45 Obama +5
National Gallup (Expanded)* Obama 52, McCain 44 Obama +8
National Hotline/FD Obama 47, McCain 42 Obama +5
Ohio CNN/Time Obama 50, McCain 46 Obama +4
North Carolina CNN/Time Obama 51, McCain 47 Obama +4
Virginia CNN/Time Obama 54, McCain 44 Obama +10
Wisconsin Research 2000 Obama 52, McCain 41 Obama +11
Nevada CNN/Time Obama 51, McCain 46 Obama +5
Maine SurveyUSA Obama 54, McCain 39 Obama +15
West Virginia CNN/Time McCain 53, Obama 44 McCain +9
National ABC News/Wash Post Obama 54, McCain 43 Obama +11
National IBD/TIPP Obama 46, McCain 42 Obama +4
Pennsylvania Morning Call Obama 52, McCain 41 Obama +11
Alaska Ivan Moore Res. McCain 53, Obama 42 McCain +11
National Associated Press/GfK Obama 44, McCain 43 Obama +1
Washington Elway Poll Obama 55, McCain 36 Obama +19
Tennessee Rasmussen McCain 54, Obama 42 McCain +12
National GWU/Battleground Obama 49, McCain 47 Obama +2
National F&M/Hearst-Argyle Obama 50, McCain 45 Obama +5
Maine Pan Atlantic SMS Obama 51, McCain 39 Obama +12
Wisconsin WPR/St. Norbert Obama 51, McCain 38 Obama +13

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deeznutsrepubs:

CHRIS MATTHEWS JUST BEAT THE HELL OUT OF NANCY PFOTONHUHUNDERWEAR:


http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m-9VW4ewI1M

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boomshack:

deeznutsrepubs:

jeez boom, after weeks of getting reamed by obama in the polls your ass must hurt.....is that why you are talking about KY now? silly boom....should have figured....

HELLO? This is a KY THREAD in case you haven't noticed! What do you suggest we talk about in here? Your perverted allegories?

Epic FAIL!

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boomshack:

Chris Matthews never even let Nancy McCain SPEAK!
Talk about liberal media BIAS!

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laguna_b:

@boomshak
>>>boomshack:

Chris Matthews never even let Nancy McCain SPEAK!
Talk about liberal media BIAS!

Maybe she was drugged out again.....wonder if she was dipping into the McCain Veteran drug fund again.....

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kerrchdavis = boomshack

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rationalvoice:

Uh... you guys see that this boomshack is not the original right? The original is spelled boomshak, with no "C". It's just an attempt at sarcasm. And it needs some work.

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mac7396:

Kentucky looking good for Obama. The question now becomes, what states will McCain win, if any?

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abraxaf:

rastus, kindly **** off.

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CTPonix4BHObama:

In 2004, 20.1 million 18-29 year olds voted, a 4.3 million jump over 2000. The turnout increase (9% points) among the youngest voters was more than double that of the overall electorate (4% points). (U.S. Census Bureau)

In 2006, the youth increased by 1.9 million over 2002 levels. Turnout among the youngest voters grew by 3% points over 2002, twice the turnout increase (1.7% points) of older voters. (U.S. Census Bureau)

This year?

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Lucky Luke:

I have my doubts about this boomshack. Form what I recall, the original boom was boomshak, with a k in the end, not boomshack. And this one seems to be a lot dumber. Are we witnessing a case of identity suplantation here??

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Dana Adini:

i watched that piece twice. It was sooooooooo funny.

speaking of Chris Matthews

NRCC Abandons Bachmann
Less than a week after controversial comments about investigating the patriotism of members of Congress, the National Republican Congressional Committee has pulled out of Minnesota Rep. Michele Bachmann's district, a well-placed GOP source tells The Scorecard.

Bachmann earned widespread scorn for her remarks, made on MSNBC's "Hardball" last week. In the following four days, her Democratic opponent, former state Transportation Commissioner Elwyn Tinklenberg, had raised over $1 million and the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee had reserved an additional $1 million in advertising time. Both the campaign and the DCCC are already running new ads.

The NRCC had reserved time on behalf of Bachmann in early October, but the money had yet to flow to her district. She was not among the beneficiaries of a rush of new independent expenditures made on other candidates' behalf in the past two days.


What a shame

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Dana Adini:

I just came back from Salt Lake City. I think McCain might be safe there

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IndependentThinker:

I just came from Boston, MA this state is McCain's worst nightmare, they are so smart that they can't bring themselves to vote for the MacPalinocchio ticket

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colivigan:

@boom:

Chris Matthews never even let Nancy McCain SPEAK!
Talk about liberal media BIAS!

Kind of like the O'Reilly Factor, wasn't it?

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boomshack:

colivigan:

@boom:
Chris Matthews never even let Nancy McCain SPEAK!
Talk about liberal media BIAS!

Kind of like the O'Reilly Factor, wasn't it?

If you are calling Bill O'Reilly a liberal, I'd like to know who your idea of a conservative is.

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colivigan:

No, it was the part about not letting the guest speak. :-)

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maddiekat:

boom****

These guys are all getting very boring. Here are my predictions for tomorrow.

Zogby O + 7
Daily Kos O + 10
Battleground O +5
Hotline O +6
Ras O + 6
Gallup O + 6 O +8
ABC O + 10
TIPP O + 2

Bottom Line your ****ed

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boomshack:

colivigan:

No, it was the part about not letting the guest speak. :-)

coli, that's NOT how you spell vegan.

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boomshack:

maddiekat:

boom****

These guys are all getting very boring. Here are my predictions for tomorrow.

the polls? I agree. You really have to dig into the crosstabs to get a better picture than the headlines. But that takes WAY too much work.

Battleground +5
Ras O + 6
/the rest don't matter and are UTTER BS, so they were removed/

Bottom Line your ****ed

Did you realize that your name is an anagram for mad kat die? That's kinda violent and senseless at the same time...

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Pro-America_Anti-America:

The PA strategy is brilliant! If McCain can get it to flip then his national numbers will go up by 5-10 points and he will flip over all the other blue states just by the laws of momentum. Nevermind he only has 12 days left, such brilliant McCain tactics only take 3 seconds to work.

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boomshack:

Pro-America_Anti-America:

The PA strategy is brilliant! If McCain can get it to flip then his national numbers will go up by 5-10 points and he will flip over all the other blue states just by the laws of momentum. Nevermind he only has 12 days left, such brilliant McCain tactics only take 3 seconds to work.

That doesn't even make any sense!

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maddiekat:

boom****

Actually my wife and I have two cats named Maddie and Kate asshole! By the way Ras is the only number I am interested in and I wish he would poll PA.

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kerrchdavis = boomshack
You are not talking to boomshak
Boomshack is a troll

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Pro-America_Anti-America:

Real Republicans understand how it works. Only RINOS like boomshak and Colin Powell think it doesnt make sense.

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boomshack:

OK, here is a great post from another site:

"what we are witnessing here is the genesis of the REVERSE Bradley Effect. The voters intimidated by Democrats and stigmatized by their choice of McCain are hesitant to reveal that to a live pollster. They do not want to admit in public that they are supporting Palin either, because there is something that the voters find in that which is tawdry and shameful.

That is PRECISELY why McCain always does better on the Internet polls and via absentee ballots. He is going to CREAM Obama in the absentee ballots because of the added privacy in that mode of voting."

Well? How about that, moonbats? Watch for the absentee ballot SUPER SURGE! You saw it here first.

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Pro-America_Anti-America:

The true reverse Bradley effect is the huge numbers of AA's that wont admit they are not voting for Obama but instead pick a hero like McCain. That is the SUPER SURGE.

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boomshack:

maddiekat:

boom****

Actually my wife and I have two cats named Maddie and Kate asshole!

Is that four cats in total? Or 2? But why would you give two cats the same name? Actually, Kate asshole is a catchy name. Too bad it's not a dog.

Wait, wouldn't it be MaddiKate then anyway? What happened to the missing e?

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boomshack:

I just counted six cats.

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boomshack:

Pro-America_Anti-America:

The true reverse Bradley effect is the huge numbers of AA's that wont admit they are not voting for Obama but instead pick a hero like McCain. That is the SUPER SURGE.

I don't get it. Are you saying that AA's are voting in droves for McCain?

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boomshack:

Maddie and Kate is a mnemonic for medicate.
Are they the same cat?

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maddiekat:

boom****

Were you born an asshole or did it take time to evolve. By the way if Ras has Obama up by 6 on Nov 3rd he will get 400 EVs.

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MNLatteLiberal:

Hey, 1Angry, you around?
I had a long post ready to go this morning, but the site posting crashed. In any case, if you are around, I'd like to discuss some subtleties of why I think we have not seen the Powell effect in the polls yet, and why Joseph Goebbels Bachmann probably does not matter in the polls as we'd like.

I had this long thesis on what it means to be undecided in the 12th hour of the game in one of the most clear-cut elections. And all that brilliance is now in the electronic toilet.

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MNLatteLiberal:

@GO2773H
I haven't seen kerrch here in quite a while, but I remember him posting that he was traveling overseas about a week ago. and carl29 is curiously missing in action too *evil grin*. hmmmmm....

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fed:

geeez the early voting numbers in GA, FL and NC look great for Obama
http://elections.gmu.edu/early_vote_2008.html

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cinnamonape:

The cinnamonape unofficial bumper-sticker poll was taken between Reno, Nevada and Folsom, California (Red Foothills). I found 140 Obama-Biden stickers and only 80 McCain-Palin. One observation was that the Obama drivers were speeding as if there were no tommorow, but 16 of the McCain stickers were either on out-of-gas, driving around as if lost, had flat tires, or were on abandoned rusting hulks in a ditch.

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HKFlashman:

Zogby Obama by 12!!

With heavy R sample! "Look at other polls and ask - Do they have enough college educated respondents? Enough Hispanics? Enough young voters? We do. And we have more Republicans in our sample than anyone else."

Week Three

Three-Day

Tracking Poll
10-22
10-21
10-20

Obama
52.2%
51.6%
50.3%

McCain
40.3%
42.0%
42.4%

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cinnamonape:

So it sounds as if Zogby is getting a bit defensive about their results and want to pre-empt somne compalints that they are biased against Republicans.

But I guess what is "enough" for various groups depends on ones "Likely Voter" Models.

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fed:

By the way did any of you see the internals of the AP poll? 44%percent considered themselves evangelicans or BAChristians

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jeepdad:

Zogby also called the AP poll absurd, saying it undercounted young voters.

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Lechuguilla:

could you post a link to the Zogby numbers.

Thanks,

Lech

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fed:

When I see these polls, sometimes I get a bit skeptical, but then by looking at the early voting numberes, and comparing them to 2004, I am starting to believe that we have been under estimating Obama´s support

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AdamSC:

Report:

AP Poll Flawed

Link: http://www.americablog.com/2008/10/new-flawed-ap-poll-claims-mccain-and.html


News is that 45% of Evangelical's and whatever else religious sect makes up most of the poll when in 2004 only 23% of this factored into the elections actual makeup.

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VA Yellow Dog:

Late report from on the ground in Richmond, VA: I work two blocks from the Richmond Coliseum, where Barack Obama held a rally today. When I got to work at 8 AM today there were already several thousand people waiting to get in (doors didn’t open ‘til 10 AM). According to press reports, several hundred had spent the night waiting in line. Ultimately, BO filled the Coliseum with 13,000 plus, and there were another 7,000 outside who didn’t get in.

If BO can draw 20,000 people to a midday rally in Richmond on a weekday, there’s no way he’s only up 2 points, per Mason-Dixon!

Still, we can't be complacent: GO VOTE!

BTW, saw a great bumper sticker today: One Nation . . . Under Surveillance

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laguna_b:

Thursday Zogby O 52 McSame 40 tightening.....the noose that is...

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Rollin08:

If you ever wanted to see what a landslide looks like. It would probably look a lot like what we're seeing..

Who knows though, don't count it before it's over.

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Basil:

If you see a landslide coming, it's too late.

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C.S.Strowbridge:

"So it sounds as if Zogby is getting a bit defensive about their results and want to pre-empt somne compalints that they are biased against Republicans."

If is wasn't for his terrible internet polls, he wouldn't have such a bad reputation.

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zoot:

Per Zogby, McCain dropped almost 4 points between the 19th and 22d, while undecided increased by 1.7 points. Guess where the other points went?

The polling period covered the week-end and Powell's MTP appearance, plus the speculation leading up to it.

The GOP has descended into the swampland of Tom Watson type populism. McCain is going out smelling like a back country outhouse.

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Mike In Maryland:

boomshat's (apparent) sockpuppet said...
"OK, here is a great post from another site:"

And ends with:
"Well? How about that, moonbats? Watch for the absentee ballot SUPER SURGE! You saw it here first."

boomshat's (apparent) sockpuppet? Copy and paste from another site, then say we 'saw it here first'? How could we see 'it here first' when you copied it from another site? It was posted, you saw it (maybe others from Pollster saw it), you copied it from that other site, them pasted it here, and then claim it was here first???

Something wrong with your logical thinking? (Of course, that presumes just the fact you are supporting McPhailin isn't prima facie evidence of such.)

Are you claiming original ownership? Denying plagiarism?

Typical Reich-wing thinking, I guess.

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voteforamerica:
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sc7:

Zogby...ahead of the curve
October 23 2008:
And then it was twelve:
Obama 52, McCain 40:

Obama +12

44 Days since the "fundamental shift" to McCain/Palin

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1magine:

ZOgby is up: O+12 (O+10 yesterday)

And its not good news for Sydney.

Of course at least 2 polls out of the 12-14 National polls we see today will have the race within 2 points. And that is good news. It means even the MSM wil not completely run with the landslide story, and scare the bejeezers out of enough BO fans to get up and make phone calls, go door to door and vote!

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OneAngryDwarf:

@MN

Sorry I missed you friend. I was out all night spending some quality time with the wife.

I am very interested in your take on the Bachmann/Powell thing, hopefully there won't be any "posting problems" today and you can enlighten me because I think that we have finally seen O open a double-digit lead and I'd like to nail down a cause.

BTW how cool is it that the RNC pulled Bachmann's ad funding? Her campaign was a train wreck before and now she's on life support with even her own people standing by to pull the plug. Couldn't happen to a nicer wingnut.

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