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Looking at the Internals

Topics: 2008 , Barack Obama , Bounce , Conventions

My second Convention Daily column for the week, on the way last week's Democratic convention changed perceptions of the candidates on the so-called "internals" is now posted online.

 

Comments
FlyOnTneWall:

Mark,

What do you make of Frank Newport's latest post this afternoon, offering a racial, partisan, and gender analysis of the events of the past few days?

If I'm reading it correctly, he's claiming that McCain has been consolidating his base - by bringing his level of support among Republican women up to that he already enjoyed among Republican men. Obama, on the other hand, has made substantial gains among independent and Democratic men and women of all races and genders.

That's more than a little interesting, given Rasmussen's rush to judgment a couple of days ago, and some other early pieces of data we had, suggesting that Palin might somehow reach out to disaffected Hillary voters or broaden McCain's appeal. Or is Newport reading too much into three days of polling? (Almost a rhetorical question - of course he is.)

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Nick Panagakis:


On another subject, I keep seeing poll findings that show how many Democratic Primary voters who voted for Clinton would now vote for McCain in the General. The post-convention CBS poll shows 22% of primary Hillary voters would vote for McCain, similar to other polls.

Are any of these pollsters asking the same of Republican voters? I haven’t seen any.

Seems like the foregoing figures would be more meaningful if we knew how many GOP Primary voters who voted for someone other than McCain would vote in the General.

McCain did wrap up the nomination much earlier than Obama so he has some advantage here, but some comparative is necessary so we can make some sense of the Dem primary voter cross-over numbers.

Nick

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