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MD: 47% Ehrlich, 46% O'Malley (Rasmussen 7/8)

Topics: Maryland , poll

Rasmussen
7/8/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Maryland

2010 Governor
47% Ehrlich, 46% O'Malley

Favorable / Unfavorable
Martin O'Malley: 49 / 45
Bob Ehrlich: 54 / 37

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 57 / 43
Gov. O'Malley: 50 / 48

 

Comments
jmartin4s:

I think PPP is releasing a poll on this race tommorrow.

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SC Guy:

Interesting. This is one of the few states where Obama is still popular.

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Sean Murphy:

"This is one of the few states where Obama is still popular. "

Well Maryland is a traditionally Democratic state. When was the last time a Republican won the state at the presidential level? 1988,1984?

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seg:

Obama approval:
I noticed in Rasmussen's site that Obama is at 50% favorable or near it for 3 days.

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Field Marshal:

Governors Voice Grave Concerns on Immigration

http://www.nytimes.com/2010/07/12/us/politics/12governors.html

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Farleftandproud:

I don't see Maryland being like the other states around the country. More people in Maryland understand Washington better than other states, and depend on Washington DC, because many of them work for the government.

Look at who their best known Republican is? Michael Steele? I don't think he is going to be invited to campaign for anyone. The Republicans they will invite will be more like the Mitt Romney types rather than the Sarah Palin types.

There are some areas that are more rural near WV and a district near the coast that are quite conservative, however the DC area is overwhelmingly Democratic. I don't think Immigration will be that big of an issue in MD or at least isn't going to be any more of a problem than other northeastern/mid atlantic states.

Obama will help, and I think O'Malley will be re-elected, unless there is a liberal third party candidate I am not aware of.

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Farleftandproud:

Poll predictions for this week *Average

Reid 48 Angle 45

Toomey 47 Sestak 45

Conway 49 Paul 46

Feingold 46 Top Republican 46

Murray 49 Rossi 45

Boozeman 67 Lincoln 31

NH Binnie 48 Ayotte 44 (That would make me very happy)

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Farleftandproud:

Generic: Gallup R's plus 1 Rasmussen R's plus 9

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billwy:

@farleftandproud:
I'm off work today, so forgive my windyness.
O'malley may well win this race...perhaps by as many as 5 or 6 points. But it doesn't shock me that this race is close and that Ehrlich may be winning.
O'malley raised the sales tax in the state and did nothing about rising energy prices (the issue he hammered Ehrlich on in their first election battle.) And immigration could potentially be a bigger issue here than you think. Baltimore is a sanctuary city-if you buy that terminology. That makes a lot of people un-happy. You also have the scandal plagued democratic mayor, Shelia Dixon, who was forced out of office for stealing. She was very close to O'malley.

I will say this about this poll though...I'm not sure I buy that Ehrlich is within the margin of Error on approval with the president. Ehrlich, even in losing, has always been popular. But better unfavorables than Obama??? I don't know...someone said PPP will have numbers out tomorrow. They could be very interesting to see.

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DB:

Well, I do live in MD and I'm not voting for Ehrlich. He's not going to change anything in MD - he didn't do a damn thing the last time he was in office with Steele. I'm not super thrilled with O'Malley...but I dislike Ehrlich more. So, vote the lesser evil.

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