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ME: 38% LePage, 34% Mitchell, 10% Cutler (Mitchell 9/22-24)

Topics: Maine , poll

Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D) for Libby Mitchell
9/22-24/10; 500 registered voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone inteviews
(GQR release)

Maine

2010 Governor
38% LePage (R), 34% Mitchell (D), 10% Cutler (i), 8% Moody (i), 2% Scott (i) (chart)

 

Comments
Bob in SJ:

Why would you release an internal poll that's closer than public polls? Money?

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Bob in SJ:

Oh, wait, that should be a "D" next to the pollster's name.

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Farleftandproud:

Cutler, if he pulls out could win this thing. I'll tell you what; Cutler meets with Tancredo, and Maes and the DNC and RNC. If Cutler can pull out now, Maes pulls out. It would probably help Maine Democrats, but Tancredo, even in this environment would never be governor.

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Kaw-liga:

Wow - LePage pulls 38% in his opponent's poll of registered voters(!) He has a definite shot at hitting 50%, which would be incredible.

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Aaron_in_TX:

"He has a definite shot at hitting 50%, which would be incredible."

Why is that incredible?

Lepage polled 45% in Rasmussen's last poll, and 43% in PPP's last poll. So yes, LePage is flirting with the 50% range, although I doubt he'll get to it with 3 different independent challengers. Independent gov candidates tend to do very well in Maine. The highest % for a ME gov in the modern era was Angus King's (I) 58% in 1998. Maine is not like other states wrt to independent voting, so someone like Cutler is just as likely to increase his share than decrease.

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Kaw-liga:

Why is it incredible that a conservative Republican is winning 50% in a 4-way race in Maine?

Why ISN'T that incredible?

I think what's happening to some extent is that LePage is, himself, an independent, reformist candidate - certainly not part of the GOP establishment. So he has unusually strong appeal to the middle. Can either Cutler or Moody really out-reform the most reformist candidate Maine has seen since....?

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Duanevogel:

La Page is an Extremist. No way will he win. People are mobilizing in progressive strongholds here, and WILL turn out far more voters than the conservative pollsters expect.

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