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ME: Marriage (Pan Atlantic 10/20-22)

Emily Swanson | October 26, 2009

Pan Atlantic SMS
10/20-22/09; 400 likely voters, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pan Atlantic SMS release)

Maine

Question 1 - "Do you want to reject the new law that lets same-sex couples marry and allows
individuals and religious groups to refuse to perform these marriages?" If today was Election
Day, how would you vote on this issue?
42% Yes, 53% No (trend)

By Emily Swanson | October 26, 2009 9:13 AM | Permalink | Comments (4) | TrackBacks (0)

Comments

sjt22:

400 adults? I know Maine is a small state, but that doesn't mean you can shrink the sample size.

Posted on October 26, 2009 11:24 AM

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Jacob:

A bigger problem with the poll is that it is an "Adult" sample one week out from an election. Most firms use likely at this point. And because old people are more likely to vote and less supportive of gay rights, it looks like this one will be close and depend on turnout.

Posted on October 26, 2009 1:26 PM

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Emily Swanson:

Jacob: it actually appears I overlooked their more extended description of their sample, which is as follows:

A randomly selected, stratified statewide sample of 400 Maine adults was interviewed. Since the poll contains questions relating to referendum and bond issues which will be voted on in the November 2009 elections, the survey was administered only to people who are registered voters and who identified themselves as “likely” to vote in the November 2009 elections. All others were excluded from participation.

I have corrected this post accordingly.

Posted on October 26, 2009 1:40 PM

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Jacob:

Thanks Emily. That makes the results more digestible.

Posted on October 26, 2009 2:19 PM

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