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More on the Clemson University SC Poll

Topics: 2008 , The 2008 Race

One quick follow-up on that Clemson University Palmetto survey (release, results) of South Carolina voters we linked to earlier. We neglected to include a "hat tip" to the Politico's always attentive Ben Smith who posted the survey last night, but also pointed out that the release showed "Obama's favorables dropping."

The release does show Obama's favorable rating among Democrats** dropping from 82% to 63%, but the base used to calculate those numbers was not spelled out clearly and may have been a little confusing.

The Palmetto Poll release reported favorable and unfavorable ratings for each candidate that were calculated as a percentage of those who had "heard of" that candidate. The poll shows the "heard of" percentage for Obama increasing from 58% in October 2006 to 91% in the new survey last month, while showing his "Favorable" percentage dropping from 82% to 63%. So if I recalculate Obama's favorable rating the way most pollsters do -- as a percentage of all respondents -- it actually increased from 48% to 57%.

Obama's ratings a year ago among were quite unique: He was not as well known as Clinton (nationally) and Edwards (in South Carolina), but those who knew Obama were unusually enthusiastic. Now, all three candidates are nearly even in South Carolina in terms of how their recognition translates into favorable rating (though Obama's rating is now slightly lower than Edwards or Clinton as a percentage of whose who know him).

**It may have been a bit unclear in the Palmetto Poll release, but their sample of 400 Democrats heard only questions about the Democratic candidates, while their separate sample of 400 Republicans heard only questions about Republican candidates. Thanks to David Woodward at the University of South Carolina who helped clear this up.

 

Comments
Pfc Mason Andreason:

These polls are driving Democrats stir-crazy. For months now, we've seen Clinton in the lead in the polling.

Yet, get out there with the ACTUAL Democrats and I'll tell you what ---- it ain't happening!

Clinton had dismal results at the live straw poll conducted at the "Yearly Kos Convention", she did dismal at the live "Take Back America Convention"

==and she can't crack 3rd or 4th out of 30,000 members at Daily KOS ----EVER.

Go to any Democratic meeting from Miami to Seattle and you'll hear the same thing --

---->>>>>>>> ANYONE BUT HILLARY!

Truth be told, Obama, followed by Edwards seem to always be the favorite.

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Pfc Mason Andreason:

I should add a correction - there are over 100K members at Daily KOS (apologies!) - and I meant to say that their monthly straw poll draws 30,000 unique (no duplicate) votes.

Hillary? Uh. Not just no, HELL NO!

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