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MO-Sen: 45% Blunt (R), 41% Carnahan (D) (DSCC 9/20-22)

Topics: Missouri , poll

Garin Hart Yang (D) for the DSCC
9/20-22/10; 701 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews

Missouri

2010 Senate
45% Blunt (R), 41% Carnahan (D), 4% Beck (C), 2% Dine (L) (chart)

 

Comments
StatyPolly:

Confirmed! Send money PLEASE!

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Bob in SJ:

A little zone flooding here by MO Dems. We'll see where this one ends up, but I'd say we're looking at 54% Blunt, 46% Carnahan.

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Dave:

Speaking of the Carnahan family, here's a video of her brother Russ getting laughed at for claiming Social Security is in good shape.

http://hotair.com/archives/2010/09/27/video-laughter-erupts-after-dem-congressman-claims-social-security-stable/

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BH:

Both D polls have Carnahan at 39 and 41 respectively. She essentially running as the incumbent in this race with high name recognition...this one is virtually over.

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Bob in SJ:

Nice Threadjack, Dave.

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Xenobion:

The news article spammers are getting bad these days. Election season must be close.

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Dave:

Oh come now, that's hardly a threadjack. Both are MO politicians, both have the last name Carnahan, both are trying to make Social Security an issue... And on and on and on.

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Field Marshal:

Dave,

The Dems have a great spot on some issues like SS. They can mock the GOP plan as 'extreme' and other ridiculous assertions and then when asked to offer their own solution can say, there is no problem thus no solution is needed. Head-in-the-sand philosophy works if the people supporting you are clueless.

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Lt. Cmdr. Walrus:

@Bob in SJ

You're likely right. I think it will be about a 3-4 point Blunt win in the end.

@BH

Blunt is much more of an "incumbent" than Carnahan. Both candidates have extremely high name recognition, but Blunt has been one of the most prominent Republicans in Congress for about a decade, and his son served a (unpopular) term as governor that ended in 2009.

I'm not surprised that Blunt is winning, as I think MO can be considered a pretty safe Republican state, but I am a bit baffled at his favorables. For a guy who is the personification of the Washington insider running in a year when that is supposedly a handicap, a high-50s favorable rating is pretty surprising.

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