Mark Blumenthal | January 19, 2008
Topics: 2008 , ABC , CBS , CNN , Exit Polls , MSNBC , The 2008 Race
MSNBC is starting to report entrance poll results for Nevada (which are now posted on their website for Democrats and Republicans-- CNN also has entrance poll results here, CBS also has the results for Dems and Reps). MSNBC correspondent Nora O'Donnell just characterized the results as follows:
O'Donnell: We can characterize the voting right now on the Democratic side as a significant lead in the initial preference poll for Hillary Clinton, with Barack Obama in second place. Now it is important to remember that there are nine caucus sites inside the casinos...that are not included in our entrance poll.
Andrea Mitchell: And those are the areas of concentration for Barack Obama
O'Donnell: ...and the Culinary Worker's Union.
How much those missing precincts might affect the result, I cannot say. Keep in mind also that the entrance poll measures initial preference. The actual results are based on the second round of voting after candidates who receive less than 15% of the vote in a caucus location move to a second choice.
Update II (1/20): According to the entrance poll analysis from ABC News, those nine-caucus sites inside the casino's had a negligible impact:
The entrance poll excluded the at-large caucuses held in nine Las Vegas casinos, making the results not fully representative of all caucus-goers. However, turnout at these nine caucuses amounted to only about 2 percent of total turnout statewide, so the noncoverage had minimal impact on the entrance poll results.