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NH: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 2/10)


Rasmussen
2/10/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Rasmussen release)

New Hampshire

2010 Senate (trends)
Ayotte (R) 46%, Hodes (D) 39% (chart)
Hodes (D) 44%, Lamontagne (R) 38%
Binnie (R) 42%, Hodes (D) 41%

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kelly Ayotte: 57 / 21
Paul Hodes: 49 / 42
Ovide Lamontagne: 35 / 31
Bill Binnie: 45 / 22

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 51 (chart)
Gov. Lynch: 60 / 39 (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

I still predict hodes will make a comeback. This race is still the Dems best chance at a pickup. Ayotte hasn't had much campaign experience in contrast to her opponent.

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Farleftandproud:

NH is the misfit in New England. It remains the most conservative state in the northeast. I think Scott Brown is a younger version of Judd Gregg. On MSNBC tonight, he puts clever spin on how to actually create a bi-partisan health bill. He sounded quite rational. I have heard him speak before; he is quite a good communicator, yet he has not acted on some of his ideas once he is out of NH and back in Washington. I am not getting my hopes up.

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jmartin4s:

Interesting to see that dailykos and Rasmussen agree for once. However, I do ultimately see Hodes winning this. Hodes has not led Ayotte is one poll and is going to have trouble growing. If this were any of other year other than 2010 it would be a different scenario for Hodes. If this were a neutral year, Hodes would eek out a win and in a year like 06 or 08, Hodes would crush Ayotte on election night. However, right now democrats have managed to damage themselves beyond repair and have not given independents enough of a reason to vote for them again after overwhelmingly supporting them in 06 and 08. Hopefully senate dems will learn there lesson replace Reid with Schumer instead of Durbin who would be a Harry Reid 2.0

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