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Articles and Analysis

 

Nightly "Outliers?"**


Nielsen says 56.5 million watched last night's debate.

Karl Rove uses Post/ABC data to claim that Obama hasn't "closed the sale" on qualifications.

Jon Cohen, Washington Post pollster, says Rove "exaggerates" doubts about Obama's experience compared with Bush in 2000.

Brian Schaffner considers Rove's claim that Obama is underachieving.  

Charles Franklin considers McCain's best path to 270.

Gallup looks at the demographic patterns of Obama's recent gains and sees some "tapering" in negativity on the economy.

Slate's Explainer ponders "what's with all the Quinnipiac polls?"

Sam Boyd digs deep into "dial testing."

Carl Bialik reports on a brand consulting firm that monitors and quantifies candidate "advocacy" in the comments sections of website (and says Obama leads there too).

Nate Silver has fun with Drudge.

PPP finds a West Virginia list sample.

Nancy Scola reports on a new deal among Democratic data gatherers (via Smith).

And a new right wing polling conspiracy theory to ponder (via Sullivan).

**The volume of polling related items on the "tubes" is much greater than usual, so I'll try to do this on-again feature on a more or less daily basis between now and November 4.

Also a self-promotion alert: I'll be on CNN tomorrow morning at about 7:24 a.m. Eastern Time. So tomorrow's morning update might be a little later than usual

 

Comments
RS:

0724 ET is too early for me (I am in CO!) That begs the question - why isn't either Mark or Charles on the telly more often? The two are easily smarter than most of the "experts" on the tube!
Most of the big-media EV counts are just slow... Chuck Todd is quite smart, but even his EV count as of now is just 264-163 (with FL, VA and CO as toss-ups).

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common sense:

Yeah right : Joe the Plumber. Just what we need now. "Joe" is'nt even licensed as a plumber ( I guess that makes him a plumber's helper) It all goes back to Palin. Does anybody check out the stage props they adopt? Joe is a tax deadbeat. Come on John - you're going to lose but cut the crap.

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SusanD:

Hay, Im awake and looking for mark on cnn. Is he live on line?

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SusanD:

Hay, I'm awake in California and looking for mark on cnn. Is he live on line?

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