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NJ: Christie 40, Corzine 39 (PPP 10/9-12)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/9-12/09; 571 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(PPP release)

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Christie 40%, Corzine 39%, Daggett 13% (chart)

Is your second choice for Governor Chris Christie or Jon Corzine? (Asked only of Daggett voters)
Christie 48%, Corzine 34%

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Christie (R): 42 / 44
Jon Corzine (D): 37 / 55 (chart)
Chris Daggett (i): 30 / 24

 

Comments
Stillow:

Still 8 undecided which usually breka against the incumbant. Plus all those anti corzine voters supporting Dagget may vote Christie on election day as a vote for Dagget woudl be a vote for Corzine who everyone but the crazy left hates.

Christie still in position to win this race despit ebeing outpsent by a bajillion dollars in a blue state.

Going to be a fun few weeks here.

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RaleighNC:

Whoa, that is a huge difference among the Daggett voters breaking to Christie. That will be the difference. Do Daggett voters believe their vote, in the end, will be a "waste"? If not they will pull the lever for Daggett in protest of Christie and Corzine. Or will they clinch their teeth and vote for Christie? Or, more intriguing, do they just stay home?

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Aaron_in_TX:

When there's a credible 3rd party candidate, they often do pretty well.

From what I understand, Daggett is running a good campaign. He's not some kind of joke.

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lat:

Uh-Oh, I see Stillow starting to break a sweat. Looks like that gloating may have to wait.

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Stillow:

Sweating? I beleive I am a broken record on this saying Christie is in good position to win this....this is just antoher poll showing him leading...what is the ratio now? 10 to 1 in favor of christie......sheeesh.

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lat:

Stillow,

Olympia Snowe has just announced she will vote for the Health Care Bill. I know she is one of those evil GOP moderates who you despise, but I give her credit for her independence. Once again your party has failed.

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Stillow:

LOL...failed? Hmmm, Dems control everything and you still can't pass health care? This is just a committee vote, it needs to pass the full senate, then get merged with the House....etc. By the way, the Baucus bill you seem to be in lov ewith all of a sudden contains no public option....how will it get passed the ultra libs in the house without a public option? Hmmmm....don't throw around the F word quite yet.

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RaleighNC:

@ lat...

The only people failing are the democrats. Nothing, nada, zero, zilch, jack, or squat is stopping them from passing the bill...any bill. Well, except a lack of leadership and public will, but I digress.

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lat:

I was never for the public option other than as a default mechanism. I think the co-op approach makes a lot of sense and much prefer it. Your party once again shows us that they are inept, foolish, and tone-deaf. Can you please encourage more town hall meetings with right-winged nutjobs screaming in peoples faces (my favorite was the lunatic who told Arlen Specter that God would strike him down, please do more of this)? It worked so well over the summer I would like to see more of it.

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Stillow:

ahhh lat, i love ya man. I give you credit for playign the game as well as you can. Dems control everything, ye the GOP has failed. Ok.

I do not think a bill without a public option will pass the house and one with the option cannot pass the senate....oh and guess what is causing that????? DEMOCRATS....Your party is not united and that is why you are having problems....

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lat:

Stillow,

One more thing. I want you to please promise me that you will do everything in your power to make sure Sarah Palin is the gop nominee in 2012. I beg you and all your friends to make sure that happens.

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Stillow:

I like her, I have said many times she seems to be a real nice lady with a real nice family. But she is not ready for prime time...I am still a Romney renegade. With whats happening to our economy and with the dollar overseas, we need someone with actual business expereince in the WH.

Romney / Jindal 2012! Get your t-shirts now.

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openid.aol.com/Rahmsputin:

Oddly enough, it may help Corzine to have Christie looking like the front runner going into election day. If people assume Christie's win is basically a foregone conclusion, Daggett is less likely to have many defectors voting their second choice.

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tjampel:

Christie doesn't look like a winner in NJ. One previous poll which asked about expectations in this race 3 times over that past 3 months. Corzine's been moving up consistently each time; he's now +12 over Christie in that regard.

Not so many people vote in off year elections. Neither Corzine nor Christie have energized people. So it's all about who stays home and who can be dragged to the polls.

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jmartin4s:

All Corzine has to do to win is outperform his poll numbers. Florio, McGreevey, Lautenberg, Menendez, Kerry, and Obama all outperformed their numbers on election day. New Jersey is sort of like Alaska where republicans overperform their polls numbers like Murkowski in 04, Young in 08, and Stevens in 08.

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tjampel:

I'm not sure Corzine has to do much of anything other than doing his best to look reasonable and make no mistakes, if Christie's support continues to crater like this and Daggett's continues to pull in disaffected (mainly Christie now) voters. 40% is just abysmal, a new low from any respected pollster with a decent sample size. Corzine, on the other hand is holding at, least, at an equally bad 39%.

Daggett isn't merely the "unCorzine" or "unChrsitie"; he's more than held his own in the debates. He's a completely reasonable alternative in this race with concrete proposals. Who would cry any tears if he won? It's hard to find anyone who feels passionately about Corzine or Christie.

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