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NV: 43% Reid, 43%Angle (LVRJ 9/20-22)

Topics: Nevada , poll

Las Vegas Review Journal / Mason-Dixon
9/20-22/10; 625 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(LVRJ release)

Nevada

2010 Senate
43% Reid (D), 43% Angle (R), 1% Ashjian (T), 1% Fasano (I) (chart)

 

Comments
cmbat:

Likely voters...tied with plenty of undecideds...Reid will take this by 3.

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Field Marshal:

2 point move since the last poll in favor of Angle. Angle will win this by 2.

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cmbat:

LOL. Yeah, they'll win with all of their "big new ideas."

http://www.thedailyshow.com/watch/thu-september-23-2010/postcards-from-the-pledge

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John1:

What ideas are the democrats running on? Seems like they can't distance themselves enough from Obama's health care disaster as well as the fearless leader himself.

The only thing the democrats have been running on is calling everyone crazies. Yeah, that's a winning strategy. The Republicans just need to run on not being the democrats and they will win.

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JJC:

Unaffiliated voters are breaking heavily towards Angle. Harry Reid has dumped countless millions trying to define Angle as extreme, and yet with his huge money advantage and political machine, he can't break 45%, let alone pull away from Angle.

If this race remains tied going into November, Angle will win. Enthusiasm is completely on her side. Harry Reid will never win if he can't break 45%.

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Xenobion:

And then Republicans will get in power and have their message trashed and rinse and repeat.

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JJC:

BTW, Ashjian is not a TEA partier. He's a Reid crony trying to siphon votes from Angle.

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Farleftandproud:

This is still very terifying. If Angle doesn't win, it will be a sigh of relief, if she does win and has to be on a committee, it is going to embarrass the hell out of the GOP. Hopefully she won't be on a education committee. That would be absolutely creepy. Her ideas would make no child left behind look liberal.

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Dave:

No Child Left Behind was liberal.

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Farleftandproud:

I think when politicians like Angle turn against education reform, and this poll clearly showed that those in favor of getting rid of the Education dept were a minority thank God.

After seeing Bill Frist, Trent Lott and John Sununu interviewed, they have all more or less shown some concern to many far right trends among this year's GOP. Lott, was a conservative on just about everything, but when he was implying his party was not doing enough to work with Obama on education reform in an interview, that was troubling. It is a clear sign that people like Angle, Paladino, Rand Paul, and Palin have turned the party into extremists.

I know that some like Dick Armey and Gingrich embrace the tea party but others like Murkowski and some of the ones I mentioned earlier seem concerned that the GOP has truly flipped their lid.

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Farleftandproud:

Harry Reid was someone who should have never been majority leader. Democrats should have picked Kerry or Schumer from a bluer state. I was afraid this could happen.

Nevada this year has sort of gone from a state where "everything goes" with lots of decadence, tourism, exciting nightlife to feeling more like a bible belt. I figured the state had a libertarian streak, but Sharron Angle, has used language that puts her in a league with Tom Coburn or Jim Demint from the heart of the bible belt.

You had john ensign, mixed up with his Cstreet crowd of born-again hypocrites, supporting missions that were aware of genocide against gays in Uganda. Ensign claimed to be a godly man and did his campaign assistant's mom? C'mon, after all of this, the best they can find to take on Reid is Sharron Angle.

When I saw a poll on Nevada, only about 22 percent considered themselves Evangelicals, and 8 percent as Mormons. Who else in their right mind would like Sharron Angle? Even Harry Reid himself, is no social liberal. As a Latter Day saint, his pro-life voting record tops at least 5-6 Republican senators.

This election has made Nevada a state with few liquor and tobacco regulations, as well as a dependence on casinos into feeling like it might as well be Kansas or Alabama. Why don't the people get it?

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Paleo:

"If this race remains tied going into November, Angle will win. Enthusiasm is completely on her side."

No, if it's tied, Reid will win. The GOTV operation supporting him is worth at least 1 or 2%. All the "enthusiasm" is already baked into the poll.

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JJC:

"No, if it's tied, Reid will win. The GOTV operation supporting him is worth at least 1 or 2%. All the "enthusiasm" is already baked into the poll."

Reid is not the only one who has a GOTV operation. Democrats a demoralized and Republicans are energetic. I can guarantee you the Republican turnout will break a record high in Nevada this year. This is a cue de gra for the TEA party movement - with a chance to unseat one of the most powerful members of congress.

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Farleftandproud:

I could never make calls for Reid in this race. I would not have the patience to campaign against her.

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vincent106:

Hey FLAP, shut up. You sound like an idiot.

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Field Marshal:

I guess people are sick of the extremists currently in charge of congress. Reid, Pelosi, Franken, Dodd, Frank, Boxer, Bennet, Ted Kennedy, Schumer, Gillibrand, Coons. These people are all nuts who belong in Bellevue. Certifiable they are.

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Crimsonite:

If its tied, its going to break towards Angle, because undecided voters will turn against Reid. If they've yet to decide to vote for him, knowing that Angle is what you call crazy, than they most likely will go for someone else, and the only way to ensure that is to vote for Angle. I think this race is shaping up more and more like the 2004 SD senate race where Thune beat Daschle. It's gonna be ultra close but she'll definitely take it.

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Mike E:

The momentum appears to be with Angle.

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Bob in SJ:

Angle's autism comments may cost her some support, but it's clear that, like IL, neither candidate is particularly well liked.

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StatyPolly:

What exactly were Angle's autism comments? I don't even understand what she meant, let alone what was offensive.

http://www.mynews4.com/link.php?id=28447&n=12810,7999,5148

If anyone wants to explain it to me, I'd appreciate it.

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Bob in SJ:

@Staty

Putting "autism" in quotation marks in a speech is offensive.

Framing question - do you think autism is a problem?

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Von Wallenstein:

an angle win is FLAP-jack's worst nightmare. i wonder why they don't include the "none of the above" option that is also on the ballot?

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StatyPolly:

Oh, I see, Bob. But wow, that's quite a reach. The fact that she criticized HCR mandates, and sort of made "quotes" gesture does not mean she belittled the disorder of autism. But whatev.

I'll take that over Reids non-stop goofs any time.

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Bob in SJ:

@ Staty

Well, at least we agree that autism is a problem.

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StatyPolly:

Really, if that's what anti-Angle crowd has to resort to run with these days, it just displays the level of desperation.

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vincent106:

@Field

LOL!!

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Farleftandproud:

It just seems strange for a state like Nevada that doesn't seem that religious to have two candidates; Reid being a Latter Day Saint and Angle being a southern Baptist. It doesn't seem to really fit in with the culture of the state. I had sort of hoped that Reid would have not run this time, and someone like the Mayor of Nevada ran instead.

I think Goodman, is positioned to run in 2012 against Ensign, or any other Republican, because I think if the GOP does take control of congress, Ensign won't be investigated so much. It would be more likely he would run for re-election. I think Democrats will win that seat in 2012 no matter what happens. Angle in the senate could cost any Republican that has to work with her on a committee, the election. The GOP would probably luck out if she gets on a committee with GOP senators from Idaho, Utah, Nebraska and Texas, because the ones from blue or battleground states, will not want to bring themselves down by working with her.

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Farleftandproud:

Southern baptist and LDS are both very strict religions that don't associate with evils like gambling, drinking, and other things that cause the moral fabric.

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