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NY: 2010 Gov, Sen (Marist-4/28-29)


Marist Poll
4/28-29/09; 1,029 registerd voters, 3% margin of error
285 registered Republicans (6%), 454 registered Democrats (4.5%)
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

New York State

Job Approval
Pres. Obama (D): 64% Excellent/Good, 34% Fair/Poor (chart)
Gov. Paterson (D): 19% Excellent/Good, 77% Fair/Poor (chart)
Sen. Gillibrand (D): 19% Excellent/Good, 38%, Fair/Poor (chart)
Sen. Schumer (D): 55% Excellent/Good, 20% Fair/Poor (chart)

    2010 Governor

Democratic Primary
70% Cuomo, 21% Paterson (chart)

Republican Primary
Giuliani 75%, Lazio 14%

General Election
Giuliani 56%, Paterson 32% (chart)
Lazio 40%, Paterson 37%
Cuomo 55%, Giuliani 38% (chart)
Cuomo 67%, Lazio 22%

Who would you rather have as governor right now?
Spitzer 51%, Paterson 38%

    2010 Senate

Democratic Primary
Gillibrand 36%, Maloney 31%

Republican Primary
Pataki 48%, King 36%

General Election
Pataki 46%, Gillibrand 38%
GIllibrand 42%, King 31% (chart)

(Obama, Paterson & Gov, Gillibrand & Sen, Schumer)

 

Comments
Stillow:

I'd love to see a race between Cuomo and Rudy....and if pataki runs for senate he would win that....GOP could pick up a seat here.
I see probable GOP senate pickups in NY, CT and CO and if Kirk runs in IL, that IL senate race would be highly competitive and a solid toss up.

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IdahoMulato:

The senate replacemnt brouhaha has really hurt Gov. Paterson and he may not recover despite introducing a gay-marriage legislation that would legalize gay-marriage. I think his advisers (or former advisers) are to blame for what happened and he has to pay a high price for the mishap.

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IdahoMulato:

Somebody's in a dream land. There's no way a GOP will win a senate seat in IL come 2010. Cuomo will make mince meat of Rudy in NY for gubernatorial race. I strongly believe Dobb will recover but that will also depend on whether the economy recovers successfully.

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Stillow:

Dodd is finishes, he is buried in this mortgage mess. If CT voters put him back, then CT needs to be kicked out of the union. Dodd is lucky he is not kicked out of the Senate for the things he has been pulling.

Look at early polls in IL when Kirk is o nthe ballot, its a toss up if he runs. If Kirk doe not run then I agree with you, IL stays blue. Pataki is popular in NY and would win the senate I think...and you see states like CO and VA who've been trending blue, but the early polling shows the GOP favored in those states.
I also think Reid in NV is vulnerable.

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IdahoMulato:

Stillow

Continue to live in that dream land. Atleast it makes the competition interesting. Doesn't it? I still believe Dodd will bounce back big time come 2010. Mark it on the wall.

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Stillow:

If Dodd bounces back it just the pure stupidity of liberal voters...to put a guy back in who is a major player in the reason the mortgage meltdown occured along with the bonuses for AIG, etc, etc....even liberals have a moral center don't they?
I remember people like you saying a GOP surge in 94 was crazy too....and ooops, what happened? Clinton slipping to the left caused a GOP surge in congress.
Dodd bouncing back...good lord man, do you liberals have no ability to point out bad behavior on your own side, this guy is a crook.

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