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NY: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 6/16)

Topics: New York , poll

Rasmussen
6/16/10; 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

New York

2010 Senate
49% Gillibrand (D), 38% DioGuardi (R)
50% Gillibrand (D), 38% Blakeman (R) (chart)
49% Gillibrand (D), 34% Malpass (R)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kirsten Gillibrand: 49 / 38 (chart)
Bruce Blakeman: 32 / 27
David Malpass: 30 / 29
Joe DioGuardi: 35 / 27

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 54 / 44 (chart)
Gov. Paterson: 35 / 61 (chart)

 

Comments
Fred:

she should keep this seat.

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obamalover:

That is stunning. Gillibrand's favorables/unfavorables almost mirror her election matchups.

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Country Club Repub:

Looks like the Republicans are catching up. Perhaps New yorkers are finally seeing what a simpleton Gillibrand truly is.The NY GOP still needs to get its act together though to pull this one out.

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jamesia:

I agree obamalover. Remarkable that she takes 100% or close of all her favorables.

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Farleftandproud:

THE NY GOP Is about as well run as the SC Republicans. Once Pataki and Guilliani were out of the race, it would be probably more likely Fiorina could beat Boxer than for the GOP to win this one.

Gillibrand is from upstate NY and well liked in it's more conservative strongholds. NYC is too diverse for her not to win.

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Xenobion:

Gotta be within 10% for it to be a race and not a slaughter.

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Farleftandproud:

Obama's approval is not accurate in NY. It is more like 59 percent. My God, Rasmussen had Obama at 50 percent in Iowa!

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nick283:

Uh, Farleft, its fairly likely that fiorina will beat boxer. Wouldnt say over 50-50 necessarily, but she certainly has a decent chance. I am really surprised to hear that obama's approval was that strong in Iowa, but I guess maybe they are still picturing the Obama of early 2008. NY is damn liberal state, but Obama probably isnt helping himself there with an indiscriminate war on the financial services industry.

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Farleftandproud:

No, I have read Fiorina's platform, and he arrogance and inexperience is so apparent. She was fired from her job at Hewlett Packard and has not elected office experience.

Meg Whitman has a much better chance at governor. Fiorina is too harsh on immigration and way too socially conservative in a state where you have some huge pockets of white progressives near the major cities. With a huge non-white population, it is not going to be likely they would want to retire boxer.

I would say, Patty Murray, and Feingold have better chances of being knocked off than Boxer.

PS, NY isn't as liberal as you might thing. NYC with the exception or parts of Brooklyn and Staten Island are nearly 3-1 Democratic in some places. Upstate, NY outside the larger cities are quite conservative. I work in one of those rural districts and the mindset is quite conservative. Nevertheless, Scott Murphy, the rep in that district is fairly popular and has a good chance of winning this election.

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Farleftandproud:

Actually a lot of the fat cats of the financial industry who have been under attack by progressives and many conservatives who hate bailouts, live in northern NJ. I think with the pharmaceutical industry and wall street, the wealthy NJ suburbs are the most fiscally conservative. Long Island and westchester have those communities as well but there are some working class communities like Yonkers.

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nick283:

Buddy - people in NY are smarter than you give them credit for. They know that these fat cats that you speak of are the ones that spend the money in the city as well. They spend money at restaurants, they shop at the stores there, they buy expensive food there. They also pay a ton of rent since many if not most of them live in Manhattan or Brooklyn. The financial services industry is the lifeblood of NYC. Also, since when are the democrats anti-bailout... They have been far more supportive of bailouts than Republicans... By the way, not all the banks took bailouts, so why is it fair to punish employees in that particular industry, especially when you have a president who is insuring that union members that drove GM into the ground are still getting their ridiculous salaries and control of the company.

If Boxer does end up losing it will be because she loses bigtime in Southern California ex-LA. There is a huge military presence in that part of the state and her insisting that a general call her senator instead of maam creates a nice commercial to show there.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

Wow so we are supposed to let Wall Street run wild because they help support the local businesses of NYC.

Unions did not destroy GM. It was management. Unions didn't tell GM to keep making gas guzzlers which is what killed GM in the past couple of years. They should have been making gas efficient cars since the 1970's. Their dependability has lagged their Asian competitors until recently. GM is going to turn around actually so the criticism of the bailout for GM was basically a waste of hot air. I am not so sure about Chrysler. They need to have more gas efficient vehicles also. Their dependability is pretty low. Blaming the unions on either of their failures is just typical Republican talking points.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

So there are more people who will vote for all three Republican candidates than actually view them favorably. It seems a little odd to me. I know I shouldn't criticize Rasmussen. We all have been lectured in the past about it. He is the greatest pollster in the world!!! I still say it's kind of odd that less people think of the Republican candidates favorably than would vote for them.

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