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OH: 2010 Sen (PPP 6/26-27)

Topics: Ohio , poll

Public Policy Polling (D)
6/26-27/10; 482 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Ohio

2010 Senate
40% Fisher (D), 38% Portman (R) (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Lee Fisher: 28 / 27
Rob Portman: 22 / 25

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 42 / 54 (chart)
Sen. Voinovich: 21 / 48 (chart)

 

Comments
scottkj:

The key here is OBAMA 42/54. If Portman is smart, he will run an anti-Obama/Pelosi/Reid and focus on deficit reduction, jobs and economy. Do this and Portman will win going away.

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scottkj:

The key here is OBAMA 42/54. If Portman is smart, he will run an anti-Obama/Pelosi/Reid and focus on deficit reduction, jobs and economy. Do this and Portman will win going away.

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Paleo:

Yeah, maybe he can also push the free trade agreements he loves so much. That'll go over big in Ohio.

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ErikEckles:

I don't know much about the candidates (maybe they're better than this), but I suspect this race will get really nasty and partisan with Portman railing against the Obama Administration and the Democrats blasting Portman's Bush Administration connections.

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Aaron_in_TX:

I'd like to know why Voinovich's favorables are so low.

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Paleo:

Yeah, those Voinovich numbers make no sense. I really remain suspicious of all these IVR polls, regardless of their recent track record. I much prefer real person polling, that takes into account both landline and cell phone use.

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Farleftandproud:

The righties don't realize that another politician is also from the state of Ohio whose unpopularity exceeds Harry Reid, and Nancy Pelosi Nationally; his name is John Boehner. I think PPP isn't accurate on Obama's approval since Ras. had him 5 points higher in Missouri, which is more red than Ohio.

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Farleftandproud:

Plus even Voinovich's approval is way down to 21 / 48 and he is actually a Republican I have respect for. I saw Sherrod Brown's approval was about 50-47 2 or 3 months ago.

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hoosier_gary:

42% approval for Obama. Not much chance of Fisher getting much higher than the 40% he shows right now.

Funny you should mention Boehner. Isn't he running about 25 points ahead of the democrat?

Of course, Obama is out there mocking and attacking Boehner today. It might help with the wild-eyed libs but its going to piss off Ohio even more and he can't afford to go much lower there. It's almost like the republicans are scripting Obama's actions.

An arrogant president mocking people isn't something the democrats need right now.

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Stillow:

That is correct. Portman would be very wise to tie fisher to Obama. If he can successfully link Fisher with Barry, then Portman should win somehwat easily. I will assume Barry will not be going near Ohio to campaign for Fisher and Fisher will do his damndest to distance himself from Obama.

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hoosier_gary:

If Obama and his arrogant bunch of nasty-boys keep up their mocking and personal attacks on their opponents, he'll be in the 30's in approval and the dems will lose the senate.

People are tired of these nasty arrogant elitist attacks. If they don't stop they'll just make the inevitable bloodbath in November even worse. People are looking for leaders and have gotten sick of bitchy politicians.

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gabe:

I have doubts on 2 aspects of this poll. The first is Obama's approval which I would think would be around 45 and second and this is bigger is Voinovich's numbers. Quinnipiac for reference had a poll out earlier today which suggested he was well liked.

I disagree with PPP's analysis on several counts. Fisher is a Democrat running in a bad year for Democrats in a swing state. His lead is far from solid as is his support, Portman is going to grow his support with Republicans and the simple fact is Fisher does not have nearly the kind of cash that Portman does. In a swing race like this money counts for a lot.

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RussTC3:

Ohio resident and voter here.

1) We don't disapprove of President Obama by that much here.

2) We don't HATE Voinovich as reported in this poll.

lol

The results reported by Quinnipiac (which has the same +2 Fisher lead) paints a more accurate picture of the situation here in Ohio.

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melvin:

hoosier_gary the Gop have been on the attack since Obama became President,its working for you guys,its about time Obama tells the truth about the Wacko Republican party.The Gop wants to slash social security to fund the wars, wait until the American people here about this,the Dems need to put out Hundreds of Ads on that one topic alone.

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Common Sense?:

Been crazy. Ohio is a whirlwind of campaign attacks and adds. I think this poll is quite accurate. I live in northern Columbus and Obama's favs are def. below 50%. Republicans arnt big on Voinovich honestly his name is the only thing that has gotten him elected the past two elections. I predict that republicans will sweep in Ohio picking up 2 congressional seats (Stivers and Chabot) the senate seat (Portman) and the Gov. (Kasich). I will say that if any of these candidates dont keep the pressure up the way they have there will be some tight elections. Im calling the congress seats now. They will go Republican. The senate seat and Gov. will be really really close.

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jamesia:

It'd be difficult to tie Fisher to Obama because Fisher has had very little connection to Obama politically or professionally. To do so would be a repeat of PA-12 loss for the GOP. The key is to focus on local issues - however, this is the reason why Democrats have made a come back in local OH elections.

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tjampel:

Is everyone here is comfortable with PPP having their sample include just 4% age 18-29 respondents? Their turnout in the last midterm (2006) was around 12.5%. They also went for Fisher by about 20%. If they made up just 12% of this sample that would have provided Fisher a 2% higher cushion in this poll.

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IdahoMulato:

@Common Sense?

I live in northside of Columbus along the Morse Road to be precise and you are very wrong; Obama is highly liked here. Maybe if you are referring to Delaware and/or Westerville that has a high white population maybe you may be correct.

Columbus has a high minority population - Africans, African-Americans and other minorities who vote democratic in large numbers. There's no way Portman an/or Kasich is going not win.

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Sean Murphy:

"Is everyone here is comfortable with PPP having their sample include just 4% age 18-29 respondents"

With it being an anti-Democrat year sure. Only reason it was 12% in 2006 was of the anti-Bush sentiment that was sweeping the country.

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Field Marshal:

Idahomulato,

How come you are IDAHOmulato if you live in Columbus?

Also, the whole state votes, not just Columbus. The polling shows this race a tossup so to say there is no way Portman nor Kasich will win is putting yourself out there.

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MikeyA:

IdahoMulatto probably hasn't recently been to the suburbs of NW Ohio where I am originally from.

They were just badly hurt by tornado's. Obama and FEMA gave those people the oil spill treatment and did nothing for them. Take a guess who they're going to vote for.

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tjampel:

Sean Murphy:

"Is everyone here is comfortable with PPP having their sample include just 4% age 18-29 respondents"

With it being an anti-Democrat year sure. Only reason it was 12% in 2006 was of the anti-Bush sentiment that was sweeping the country.

Ignorance is YOUR bliss, I suppose. Do a little research and you'll see that the youth vote (18-29) has never been much below 12% of the electorate (low has been 9-10% in the 90s). It was about 17% in 2008, the high water mark. It won't be close to 4%. Indeed if you look at other polls you'll see that it's never this low. It was an anomaly due to the sample PPP contacted and they didn't remedy it during the calling process. This was a small sample as well, generally.

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