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OH-Gov: 45% Kasich (R), 43% Strickland (D) (Fox 9/25)

Topics: Ohio , poll

Fox News / Pulse Opinion Research
9/25/10; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Fox release)
(CORRECTED)

Ohio

2010 Senate
50% Portman (R), 37% Fisher (D) (chart)

2010 Governor
45% Kasich (R), 43% Strickland (D) (chart)

 

Comments
Farleftandproud:

This one is surprising. I figured based on Fox's formula, both candidates would be ahead by 15 points in Ohio.

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Bob in SJ:

There's been just a slight bit of tightening in the Gov's race. A strong Dem GOTV might make this one interesting to watch come election night.

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Field Marshal:

RCP made changes to their senate landscape.

CT from lean Dem to tossup
OH from lean Rep to Safe Rep
MO from tossup to lean Rep
WI from tossup to lean Rep
WV from lean Dem to tossup

They now have the senate at 48 - 46 Dem with 6 tossups, all of which are currently held by Dems.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2010/senate/2010_elections_senate_map.html

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Kaw-liga:

The posted numbers are wrong -- they're the Sept 11th results.

The recent results:

Portman 50-37
Kasich 45-43

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Bob in SJ:

@ KAW

You're right. The guv's race is getting close.

Emily, can you upate the numbers in the races?

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BH:

These polls prove that you can't win on negativity alone. Look at the Ds numbers, they haven't moved even though Portman and Kasich have seen their numbers errode a bit into the undecided pile.

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Bob in SJ:

@ BH

I hope you're right. There's going to be an incredible amount of negative advertising running against Democrats in the next few weeks becuase of the unlimited annonmous donations allowed by the Citizen's United descision.

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Bukama:

Actually, isn't it just as likely that negative ads are working against Portman and especially Kasich? I'm not in Ohio, but I can't imagine Fisher and Strickland have stuck strictly to the issues in their ad campaign.

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Dave:

This would seem to disprove the "Ohio is running away from the Dems" angle, at least on a wide scale. Seems to me that Fisher is just a terrible candidate.

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Field Marshal:

Senate is running away from the Dems but the Gov race is still up in the air though Kasich has a small edge.

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StatyPolly:

"There's going to be an incredible amount of negative advertising running against Democrats in the next few weeks becuase of the unlimited annonmous donations allowed by the Citizen's United descision."

God forbid people now have freedom of speech and the right to spend their money the way they choose.

In a year when Dems are unpopular and their supporters are unenthusiastic, how the hell do the Dems still have money advantage? How many of the stimulus dollars are now resting comfortably in Dem campaigns coffers? Thieves!

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Bob in SJ:

@Staty

If they want to, they can spend any amount of money. I just want to know who giving what to whom. If not, you have the potential to create a shadow campaign, away fromthe public eye. But, you probably see that as a violation of the first amendment as well.

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StatyPolly:

Oh, okay. Well, I am open to giving some thought to the legitimacy of that "anonymous" part.

But not this minute.

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StatyPolly:

According to RCP, OH will probably flip 4 or 5 Dem seats.

Dems have a 10 to 8 edge currently. May end up handing on to only 5 of 18.

Good article here:

http://www.politico.com/news/stories/0910/42713.html

Even Jensen of PPP sez it's coitains.

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Farleftandproud:

I think Ohio and PA will have 3 Democrat seats lost each. I mean, there are some districts in both states that Republicans win by 20 points. Florida may lose up to 3 but still feasable they could just lose 1. Grayson, if he loses that is okay; he'll get his own show on weekends on MSNBC to compete with the Fox Crowd. Conservatives actually will have more to fear from Grayson on tv than they ever did being elected to office.

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Kaw-liga:

"I think Ohio and PA will have 3 Democrat seats lost each."

I think it's more likely Republicans flip 12 seats in those states than only pick up 6. RealClearPolitics, for instance, lists 7 Dem seats leaning GOP, plus 4 tossups.

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Field Marshal:
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StatyPolly:

Yeah, Grayson will make a nice addition in representing the left wing. Words like "nutjob" get thrown around, but in his case, it really appears clinical.

http://www.mycongressmanisnuts.com/

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