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PA: 2010 Dem Primaries (Muhlenberg 5/5-8)

Topics: Governor , Pennsylvania , Senate

Muhlenberg College / Morning Call
5/5-8/10; 404 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(Muhlenberg Release)

Pennsylvania

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
46% Sestak, 42% Specter (chart)

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
36% Onorato, 12% Williams, 8% Hoeffel, 8% Wagner (chart)

 

Comments
jmartin4s:

Yikes!, The idea of a senator Sestak is just a chilling thought and all the Sestak crazies are probably now more motivated than ever. Hopefully, some good clean IVR polling from SUSA or PPP will show a comfortable Specter lead.

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Rockym92:

This overlaps their poll from yesterday. Don't think i've seen something like this before.

Clearly all the momentum is on Sestaks side at the moment. As long as Specter wont be a senator for the next 6 years, I'm happy. Funny how he switched parties because he was gonna get a tough primary in the GOP. lol

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Chris V.:

jmartin4s:

Yikes!, The idea of a senator Sestak is just a chilling thought and all the Sestak crazies are probably now more motivated than ever. Hopefully, some good clean IVR polling from SUSA or PPP will show a comfortable Specter lead.

Posted on May 9, 2010 1:08 AM


Is there a single challenger to a Democratic incumbent or establishment candidate that you won't try to defame?

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jmartin4s:

It has nothing to do to me defaming them Chris V. I don't like Sestak's attitude and BTW the way CHRIS V, YOUR WRONG WRONG WRONG WRONG. I'm in 100% support of Bill Halter's challenge to Blanche Lincoln. I base my support of a candidate based on whether they would be a better senator, congressman, or governor not based on anti establishment or challenge to incumbent. As for you Chris V. you incessant temper tantrums are really immature and at this point predictable. GROW UP!

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jmartin4s:

Chris V. you remind me of Lou Dobbs on CNN. All you do is post comments attacking people that are full of nothing but BS. While I disagree with Stillow and FieldMarshall completely, I'd take them anyday over you because at least what they have to say has some intelligence to it.

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Farleftandproud:

Sestak is not that far to the left. He is more like a John Kerry style "practical progressive". If he wins the primary, regardless of who wins the general, I think he has a political future.

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HoosierDaddy:

Specter is a career politician and it is time for him to go. Sestak is fighting the good fight and I hope he pulls it out, truly a Philadelphia story.

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Obamafan:

I hope that this trend is reversed this week. Here's hoping that Specter has a good retort for Sestak's new ad. He usually comes through. I'd hate to lose him as a senator for a very inexperienced, oddball. Did anyone catch his interview with Chris Mathews last week, where Chris asked him why he won't show his military records proving Specter's charges untrue? Sestak had a complete meltdown, as one reporter said. Anyone that's been around for a while knows Specter's done a terrific job for PA.

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Obamafan:

HoosierDaddy, If Specter was such a career politician, then why did he vote for the stimulus while he was a Republican? He's known to vote his own beliefs, and wasn't particularly liked in the Republican party. I think Specter losing this primary, will be a big loss for Pennsylvanians.

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jmartin4s:

First of all, I think giving Specter the boot in the primary would be very dangerous for democrats and would be sending a message that democrats are very unwelcoming to reps who cross over. In addition, Specter has been voting pretty much in line with the democratic party so I don't think the all of the blogger's arguments that Specter isn't a real democrat carries any weight. Specter has done a phenominal job as a senator, I say he has earned another term.

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jmartin4s:

Anbody think the republican party looked good yesterday after 3 term senator Bob Bennett got the boot at the convention yesterday in Utah. The dems don't need to get that same kind of bad publicity also.

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ethano:

Sestak is a GREAT Senator wrapped in a pretty average campaigner's body. If it took a little for his campaign to catch on, that's the reason. But all other indications are that Sestak has a great chance at beating Specter and there's no reason he can't do the same to Club for Growth - Just Say No - Neoconservative Toomey.

I think that, with a couple of exceptions, this is exactly what's going to happen in Florida when the Dems starting 'coming home' to Meek. This should begin in earnest when the oil controversy bubbles up in significance (pun intended) in FL and that race takes on a more even-handed national stature than it did during the contentious GOP primary battle.

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obamalover:

@Obamafan

How can you support someone who doesn't think sexual orientation should be added to hate crimes. Why would you support someone with such bad morals?

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Chris V.:

jmartin4s:

Chris V. you remind me of Lou Dobbs on CNN. All you do is post comments attacking people that are full of nothing but BS. While I disagree with Stillow and FieldMarshall completely, I'd take them anyday over you because at least what they have to say has some intelligence to it.

Posted on May 9, 2010 11:05 AM

I don't "attack people," I criticize what I believe are bad arguments. People who make bad arguments usually can't tell the difference.

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Obamafan:

I don't think you have that quite right Obamalover. From Specter's site:


Senator Specter supports/has supported:

* Passing the Employment Non Discrimination Act
* Passing the Matthew Shepard Hate Crimes Prevention Act
* Repealing Don’t Ask Don’t Tell
* Repealing the Defense of Marriage Act
* Providing Necessary Funding for HIV/AIDS Treatment and Research

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tjampel:

Specter always had a better record on civil liberties issues than his republican colleagues (and better than some conservadems in areas related to Gov't wiretapping, etc. (he's vehemently opposed this type of intrusion . He also helped sink the nomination of Bork. He's been 100% perfect, IMO, in supporting a mainstream Dem agenda. Unfortunately many of us still remember him for his rather merciless grilling of Anita Hill. Well, he did that and it's not a pleasant memory...I admit that. I also won't hold that against him now nearly 20 years later.

I've been reading as much as I can get my hands on about Sestak right now and the guy just kind of creeps me out. He clearly works his staff incredibly hard, so hard that Mullen apparently gave him the boot from his Navy position for creating a bad command climate.

Here's the quote from Navy Times, March 20, 2006:

Mullen relieved Sestak from his position as deputy chief of naval operations for warfare requirements and programs and switched him to the office of vice chief. The Navy does not comment on the movement of flag officers. But a Navy official who declined to be named said Sestak was relieved due to an “extremely bad” command climate, adding that although analysis from Sestak’s shop was highly regarded, “saying it was not a pleasant place to work would be an understatement.” Subordinates said they were given excessive amounts of work."

He's gone through about 68 staffers in the same time period as his two PA freshman colleagues have gone through an average of 27 I think. His staffers are expected to work about 12-14hr/day 7 days a week. It's nice that he's willing to work this hard. It's very wrong to push his staffers to do the same. His failure to pay minimum wage may be kind of a sidelight issue but, if you're going to demand such long hours and commitment then at least pay the minimum wage.

My biggest issue with Sestak is his campaign style and his performance in interviews and, presumably, debates. Color me unimpressed.

If he wins I have no doubt he'll work extremely hard for the people of this country and citizens of PA. However, Specter has more power and influence and a nearly identical agenda, so it's not as if it's going to improve the ability of Dems to pass progressive legislation, and, for the General in Nov, I think, a Specter has a slightly enhanced ability to win moderate and independent voters (except those who resent his switch, but they would never vote for Sestak anyway).

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obamalover:

@Obamafan

He has voted against gay rights many times prior to switching parties. He has only changed his position now that he is being primaried. After he wins reelection what makes you think he'll continue to support gay rights? Specter will do whatever is good for him. Right now it is in his best interest to support gay rights, but that could easily change. Hardly the most principled politician as you have contended.

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Obamafan:

@obamalover:

Stonewall Democrats of Pittsburgh and Philadelphia, who are the two most active LGBT groups in PA, have overwhelmingly endorsed Arlen Specter. Back in the 70's when Specter was a DA in Philadelphia, he prosecuted cops who would harass gay people.

When Sestak was asked during a debate, which politician he most admired, he named Sam Nunn. Nunn was a senator who was notorious for his anti-gay rights stances. Specter has an excellent civil rights record going back 30 years. Sestak has been a congressman for less than 2 years. He's missed 127 votes during his short tenure. There is simply no comparison between the two candidates.

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jmartin4s:

I agree with ObamaFan on this one. As I have said many times, the person I support in a primary is generally one who proves they can be the better senator, governor, congressman, etc. What argument has Sestak made that he would make a better senator than Specter. I feel like Sestak's argument really has been more of an IT'S MY TURN TO BE A SENATOR argument than anything logical at all. However, I think we need some good IVR polling on this primary. I have no idea what the track record on Muhlenberg's polling is so I don't know whether to believe this Sestak surge or not.

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CHRIS MERKEY:

Sestak's interview with Chris Matthews did not go well at all. To say that is an understatement. Matthews was trying to provoke him and Sestak went into a tirade. Matthews had to cut him off. You have to keep calm. You don't think Toomey is going to bring it up again in the debates for the general election. I keep switching who I am going to vote for. The bloggers on here switched my vote again. I hate being a swing voter. I guess it's Specter since I think he can beat Toomey and Sestak can't.

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obamalover:

@Obamafan

Specter voted for DOMA.

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obamalover:

@Chris Merkey

Could you provide a link?

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