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PA: 2010 Sen (Kos 8/10-12)


Daily Kos (D) / Research 2000
8/10-12/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
400 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

Pennsylvania

Favorable / Unfavorable

Sen. Arlen Specter (D): 52 / 40 (chart)
Joe Sestak (D): 37 / 19
Pat Toomey (R): 37 / 34
Gov. Ed Rendell (D): 48 / 41 (chart)
Sen. Bob Casey (D): 56 / 29 (chart)
Barack Obama: 55 / 40 (chart)

2010 Senate: Democratic Primary
Specter 48%, Sestak 33% (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election

Specter 45%, Toomey 40% (chart)
Sestak 42%, Toomey 41% (chart)

 

Comments
IdahoMulato:

This is believable but will widen on election day.

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Californian:

This is much better

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jamesia:

I bet Specter's out and Sestak wins the whole thing... Specter might win by the skin of his teeth if he supports health care reform with public option. 44% of people still don't know Sestak! That's a hell of a lot of potential votes for him...

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TNP:

Specter will win as along as he supports the Dem's on major issues over the next year. He will.

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Stephen_W:

Toomey is pretty much an unknown right now. I think once the campaign really gets going and people realize just how conservative his platform is, independents and moderate democrats will come back to Specter. I'm pretty sure that Specter 45%, Toomey 40% number would be almost identical if it were Specter vs. Generic Republican nominee.

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