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PA: Obama 52, McCain 39 (Muhlenberg 10/13-17)

Topics: PHome

Muhlenberg College
10/13-10/17
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

Pennsylvania 593 LV, 4%
Obama 52, McCain 39

 

Comments
Paul:

All the internals favoring Obama in the PA tracking poll.

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NHBlue:

If all Obama's leaners (2% or so of sample) switch to McCain and all the undecided vote McCain, that still makes it a 50%-48% win for Obama.

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Dave:

now lets see some of these numbers for democrats running for senate...

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CTPonix4BHObama:

McCain get out PA! Do it! Do it Nowww!

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billwy:

Been thinking about this for a few days, and even though I don't really think it will happen, I'm just going to throw it out there.
McCain did not run here in the primary. He carried about 70% of the vote without ever really running a commercial. Obama campained hard here during the primary, people in this state know him well.
I would think that means the undecideds in this poll have not been sold on Obama, not vice-versa. If his leaners went to McCain it would be 48-42. Obvioulsly McCain woudl have to do quite well among undecideds, but given the "guns and religion" comment, possibillity of Hillary hold-outs, and McCain's hard campaining in the philly suburbs, perhaps a miracle is possible here for McCain, though I doubt it.

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mj1:

@billwy: Dude, between the Pa democratic machine (which won the state for Hillary and is now in full gear for Obama), the Obama ground game, unions, and popular downticket democrats, McCain has NO SHOT at Penn. I hope he continues to waste his meager resources there while Obama is carpet bombing him with ads and appearances in the red states that he SHOULD be defending.

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