Pollster.com

Poll Update: October 18, 2009 - October 24, 2009

 

FL: 2010 Sen Primary (PBA 10/12-13)


Florida Police Benevolent Association / McLaughlin & Associates (R)
10/12-13/09; 500 likely Republican primary voters
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(St. Petersburg Times post)

Florida

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
53% Crist, 29% Rubio, 18% Undecided (chart)


US: National Survey (ARG 10/17-20)


American Research Group (R)
10/17-20/09; 1,100 adults, 2.6% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ARG release)

National

Obama Job Approval
57% Approve, 41% Disapprove (chart)
Reps: 9 / 91 (chart)
Dems: 87 / 10 (chart)
Inds: 57 / 42 (chart)
Economy: 43 / 47 (chart)

State of the Economy
31% Getting better, 37% Getting worse, 28% Staying the same
22% Excellent/Very Good/Good, 77% Bad/Very bad/Terrible

Is the economy in a recession?
53% Yes, 21% No


US: Favs, Race relations (Gallup 10/16-19)


USA Today / Gallup
10/16-19/09; 1,521 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
(USA Today: Favorability, Race relations)

National

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 55 / 42 (chart)
Michelle Obama: 61 / 25
Joe Biden: 42 / 40
John McCain: 54 / 37

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 50% Approve, 46% Disapprove (chart)

As a result of Obama's election, race relations have:
7% Gotten a lot better
34% Gotten a little better
35% Not changed
16% Gotten a little worse
6% Gotten a lot worse


US: Economy (ABC/Post 10/15-18)


ABC News / Washington Post
10/15-18/09; 1,004 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Post: story, results graphic; ABC: story, results)

National

Do you think Obama's economic program is making the economy
better, making it worse or having no real effect?

41% Better, 22% Worse, 35% No effect

Which of these do you think is more important right now - increasing federal
spending to try to improve the economy, even if it sharply increases the federal
budget deficit; or avoiding a big increase in the federal budget deficit, even if it
means not increasing federal spending to try to improve the economy?

38% Increasing spending, 57% Avoiding deficit

How do you feel about _____ - very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried or
not worried at all?

The direction of the nation's economy over the next few years:
74% Very/Somewhat worried, 26% Not too/Not at all worried

Your own family's financial situation:
60% Very/Somewhat worried, 40% Not too/Not at all worried

Many economists say that using the standards they apply, the recession probably is
over. Thinking about your own experience of economic conditions, would you say that
from your point of view the recession is over, or not over?

16% Over, 82% Not over

Would you support or oppose the federal government putting limits on the salaries
and other compensation that can be paid to top executives at the companies that
received emergency government loans in the past year?

71% Support, 27% Oppose


US: Party Favs (CNN 10/16-18)


CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/16-18/09; 1,038 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

Favorable / Unfavorable
The Republican Party: 36 / 54
The Democratic Party: 53 / 41


US: Congress (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 766 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

Job Approval / Disapproval
Democrats in Congress: 37 / 49
Republicans in Congress: 21 / 61

2010 House: Generic Ballot (chart)
40% Democrat, 29% Republican, 22% independent
If only Democrat or Republican: 48% Democrat, 40% Republican

Do you think the ______ in Congress are too liberal, too conservative, or about right?
Democrats: 47% Too Liberal, 16% Too Conservative, 38% About right
Republicans: 24% Too Liberal, 45% Too Conservative, 31% About right


GA: 2010 Gov Primaries (Rasmussen 10/20/09)


Rasmussen
10/20/09; 797 likely Republican primary voters, 3.5% margin of error
343 likely Democratic primary voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen: Rep Primary, Dem primary)

Georgia

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
27% John Oxendine
12% Karen Handel
9% Nathan Deal
3% Eric Johnson
3% Ray McBerry
3% Austin Scott

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
43% Roy Barnes
19% Thurbert Baker
4% Dubose Porter
4% David Poythress
3% Carl Camon


US: National Survey (Economist 10/18-20)


Economist / YouGov
10/18-20/09; 1,000 adults, 4.8% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Economist: toplines, crosstabs)

National

Obama Job Approval
50% Approve, 40% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 83 / 11 (chart)
Reps: 14 / 79 (chart)
Inds: 45 / 45 (chart)
Economy: 43 / 47 (chart)
Health care: 45 / 44 (chart)

Congressional Job Approval
14% Approve, 59% Disapprove (chart)

2010 House: Generic Ballot
45% Democrat, 36% Republican (chart)

State of the Country
35% Right Direction, 51% Wrong track (chart)

Overall, given what you know about them, do you support or oppose the proposed changes
to the health care system being developed by Congress and the Obama Administration?

49% Support, 51% Oppose (chart)

Which of the following comes closest to describing your preferences for the health care
reform bill that Congress is now debating?

53% Congress should pass a health care reform bill that includes the "public option,"
a government-administered health insurance plan
17% Congress should pass a health care reform bill, but without the "public option"
of a government-administered health insurance plan
30% Congress should not pass any health care reform bill

Do you favor increasing the number of troops in Afghanistan?
39% Increase, 43% Decrease, 18% Keep the same


NY-23: 2009 House Special (Kos 10/19-21)


DailyKos.com (D) / Research 2000
10/19-21/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

New York 23rd Congressional District

Favorable / Unfavorable
Dede Scozzafava (R): 38 / 35
Doug Hoffman (C): 27 / 19
Bill Owens (D): 33 / 24

2009 House: Special Election
35% Owens, 30% Scozzafava, 23% Hoffman (trend)

Hoffman Voters: 2nd Choice
9% Scozzafava, 3% Owens, 26% Wouldn't vote


US: National Survey (Kos 10/19-22)


DailyKos.com (D)/ Research 2000
10/19-22/09; 2,400 adults, 2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kos release)

National

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 56 / 37 (chart)
Nancy Pelosi: 38 / 54
Harry Reid: 32 / 56
Mitch McConnell: 16 / 66
John Boehner: 13 / 63
Democratic Party: 42 / 50
Republican Party: 20 / 67

State of the Country
41% Right Direction, 55% Wrong track (chart)


US: Health Care (Kaiser 10/8-15)


Kaiser Family Foundation
10/8-15/09; 1,200 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Kaiser: summary, release, toplines)

National

Which comes closer to describing your own views? Given the serious economic problems facing
the country we cannot afford to take on health care reform right now OR it is more important
than ever to take on health care reform now?

55% More important than ecer
41% Cannot afford

Which comes closer to your opinion about what Congress and the president should do regarding
health care reform this year?

49% They should continue trying to pass a major reform of the health care system
22% They should stop trying to pass a major reform this year and instead work on
passing a more limited version
26% They should leave health care reform for another time

Do you think _______ would be better off or worse off if the president and Congress passed health care reform, or don't you think it
would make much difference?

You and your famly: 41% Better off, 27% Worse off, 28% No difference
The country as a whole: 53% Better off, 28% Worse off, 12% No difference
Seniors, that is those 65 years and older: 44% Better off, 29% Worse off, 20% No difference
The country's small businesses: 36% Better off, 33% Worse off, 20% No difference

If the president and Congress do pass health care reform, do you think that would make _______ better, worse or would it stay about the same?
The quality of your own health care: 29% Better, 27% Worse, 37% Same
The cost of health care for you and your family: 34% Better. 30% Worse, 29% Same
Your choice of doctors and hospitals: 28% Better, 26% Worse, 39% Same
Your wait times for non-emergency procedures and treatments: 20% better, 36% Worse, 37% Same
The quality of health care in America: 39% better, 31% Worse, 26% Same
The overall cost of health care: 40% Better, 35% Worse, 18% Same
The average patient's choice of doctors and hospitals: 31% Better, 34% Worse, 30% Same
Waiting times for non-emergency procedures and treatments: 23% Better, 41% Worse, 31% Same

Do you think passing health care reform would do more to HELP the country's SHORT TERM
economic situation, do more to HURT the country's short term economic situation, or wouldn't it
impact the economy in the short term?

32% Help, 41% Hurt, 22% No impact

Do you think passing health care reform would do more to HELP the country's LONG TERM
economic situation, do more to HURT the country's long term economic situation, or wouldn't it
impact the economy in the long term?

49% Help, 37% Hurt, 10% Same

Would you say it is more important for Democrats in Congress to pass health care reform this
year, even if they can't get much Republican support, or more important to get bipartisan,
Republican support, even if that delays or stops the health care reform process for this year?

44% More important for Democrats in Congress to get bipartisan, Republican support
42% More important for Democrats in Congress to pass health care reform this year

Thinking of the news media's coverage of health care reform, would you say the mix of coverage
has been mostly about politics and controversies, mostly about how policy reforms might affect
your own family, or has been a balance of the two?

52% Politics and controversies, 8% How policy reforms might affect your family, 35% Balanced

do you favor or oppose Requiring all Americans to have health insurance, either from their employer or from another source, with financial help for those who can't afford it?
66% Favor, 31% Oppose

Do you favor or oppose creating a government-administered public health insurance option to compete with private health insurance plans
57% Favor, 39% Oppose


NJ: Christie 41 Corzine 39 (SurveyUSA 10/19-21)


SurveyUSA / WABC-TV New York
10/19-21/09; 674 likely voters, 3.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Christie 41%, Corzine 39%, Daggett 19% (chart)


ME: 2010 Gov (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 1,130 likely voters 2.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Maine

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Baldacci: 25 / 57

Generally speaking next year do you plan to vote for a Democratic, Republican, or third party/independent candidate for Governor?
30% Democrat, 26% Republican, 18% Third Party/Independent

Favorable / Unfavorable
Libby Mitchell (D): 18 / 16
Steve Rowe (D): 13 / 12
Peter Mills (R): 16 / 15
Les Otten (R): 10 / 16

2010 Governor
34% Mills, 31% Mitchell
33% Mills, 25% Rowe
34% Mitchell, 26% Otten
28% Rowe, 26% Otten


NJ: Corzine 42% Christie 39% (DemCorps 10/20-21)


Democracy Corps
10/20-21/09; 604 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Democracy Corps: release, toplines)

New Jersey

Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine: 38 / 46 (chart)
Chris Christie: 35 / 42
Barack Obama: 54 / 31 (chart)
Chris Daggett: 15 / 25

2009 Governor
42% Corzine, 39% Christie, 13% Daggett (chart)


VA: 2009 Gov Hypothetical (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 666 likely voters, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Virginia

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 41 / 52 (chart)
Gov. Kaine: 46 / 39 (chart)
Sen. Warner: 53 / 31 (chart)
Sen. Webb: 42 / 40 (chart)

If Tim Kaine was allowed to run for reelection would you vote for Democrat Tim Kaine or
Republican Bob McDonnell?

51% McDonnell, 43% Kaine

Do you think that Virginia Governors should be allowed to run for reelection?
57% Yes, 35% No


US: Economy (CNN 10/16-18)


CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/16-18/09; 1,038 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

State of the Economy
16% Very/Somewhat good, 84% Very/Somewhat poor

Do you think Barack Obama's policies have made the economy better, or don't you think so? (IF DON'T THINK SO) Do you think Barack Obama's policies will eventually make the economy better, or don't you think so?
43% Made economy better, 13% Will make it better, 42% Will not make it better

Which of the following statements comes closest to your view of economic conditions today?
17% The economy is starting to recover from the problems it faced in the past year or so
50% An economic recovery has not started but conditions have stabilized and are not getting any worse
33% The economy is still in a downturn and conditions are continuing to worsen


NYC: Bloomberg 52 Thompson 36 (Marist 10/19-21)


Marist
10/19-21/09; 744 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
390 likely voters, 5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Marist release)

New York City

2009 Mayor (chart)
Likely voters: 52% Bloomberg, 36% Thompson
Registered voters: 47% Bloomberg, 38% Thompson

Favorable / Unfavorable (registered voters)
Bill Thompson: 47 / 33
Mike Bloomberg: 63 / 33 (chart)

Job rating
Mayor Bloomberg: 58% Excellent/Good, 41% Fair/Poor (chart)


US: News Interest, Afghanistan (Pew 10/16-19)


Pew Research Center
10/16-19/09; 1,004 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew: release, toplines)

National

Most Closely Followed Story
32% Debate over health care reform
20% Reports about swine flu and the vaccine
14% A boy thought to be aboard a runaway hot air balloon, who was later found to be safe
9% The U.S. military effort in Afghanistan
6% Recent gains in the stock market
6% The current situation and event in Iraq

Do you think news organizations are giving too much coverage, too little coverage or the right amount of coverage to each of the following?

The current situation in Iraq:
11% Too much. 36% Too little, 49% Right amount

Debate over health care reform:
16% Too much, 36% Too little, 46% Right amount

The U.S. military effort in Afghanistan:
11% Too much, 39% Too little, 46% Right amount

I'm going to read you a list of some ways that people may feel about Afghanistan war news. For each one, please tell me if you often feel this way, or not -

It seems like the same news about the war in Afghanistan all the time, nothing ever really changes:
56% Yes, 42% No

I don't always have enough background information to follow the news about the war in Afghanistan:
53% Yes, 46% No

News about the war in Afghanistan can be so depressing I'd rather not hear about it:
26% Yes, 72% No

I feel guilty for not following news about the war in Afghanistan more closely:
20% Yes, 80% No

How much confidence do you have that the U.S. military is giving the public an accurate picture of how the war in Afghanistan is going?
62% A great deal/A fair amount
36% Not too much/None at all

How much confidence do you have that the press is giving the public an accurate picture of how the war in Afghanistan is going?
40% A great deal/ A fair amount
59% Not too much/none at all

Since the start of military action in Afghanistan, about how many U.S. military personnel have been killed? To the best of your knowledge, have there been...
15% Around 400
25% Around 900 (correct answer)
25% Around 1,500
27% Around 2,500


MI: 2010 Gov (EPIC-MRA 10/11-15)


Epic-MRA / Detroit News / WXYZ-TV / WOOD-TV / WILX-TV, WJRT-TV
10/11-15/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(EPIC-MRA release)

Michigan

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
33% John Cherry, 5% Alma Wheeler Smith, 3% George Perles, 3% Don Williamson,
2% John Freeman

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
29% Pete Hoekstra, 28% Mike Cox, 14% Mike Bouchard, 3% Rick Snyder, 2% Tom George

2010 Governor: General Election
45% Cox, 30% Cherry
40% Hoekstra, 33% Cherry
39% Bouchard, 31% Cherry
34% Cherry, 32% Snyder

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 51 / 45
Jennifer Granholm: 41 / 55
Debbie Stabenow: 51 / 39

Job Rating
Pres. Obama: 48% Excellent/Pretty Good, 51% Just Fair/Poor
Gov. Granholm: 33% Excellent/Pretty Good, 66% Just Fair/Poor


US: 2012 Pres (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 766 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

Obama Job Approval (previously released)
51% Approve, 43% Disapprove (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Mike Huckabee: 33 / 29 (chart)
Sarah Palin: 36 / 51 (chart)
Tim Pawlenty: 11 / 16
Mitt Romney: 34 / 34 (chart)

2012 President
Obama 47%, Huckabee 43%
Obama 52%, Palin 40%
Obama 50%, Pawlenty 30%
Obama 48%, Romney 40%


US: Climate Change (Pew 9/30-10/4)


Pew Research Center
9/30-10/4/09; 1,500 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Pew: release, complete report)

National

From what you've read and heard, is there solid evidence that the average temperature on earth has been getting warmer over the past few decades, or not?
36% Yes, mostly because of human activity
16% Yes, mostly because of natural patterns in the earth's environment
33% No
2% Mixed

In your view, is global warming a very serious problem, somewhat serious, not too serious, or not a problem?
65% Very/Somewhat serious, 32% Not too/Not at all serious

Do you think...
56%The United States should join other countries in setting standards to address global climate change
32% The United States should set its own standards to address global climate change
3% Neither
2% No need/No climate change

Do you favor or oppose setting limits on carbon dioxide emissions and making companies pay for their emissions, even if it may mean higher energy prices?
50% Favor, 39% Oppose


FL: 2010 Sen, Gov (Rasmussen 10/19-20)


Rasmussen
10/20/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen: Senate, Governor)

Florida

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Crist: 49 / 49 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 42 / 58 (chart)

2010 Governor
McCollum 46%, Sink 35% (chart)

2010 Senate
Crist 46%, Meek 34% (chart)
Rubio 46%, Meek 31% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Bill McCollum (R): 49 / 31
Alex Sink (D): 41 / 30
Charlie Crist (R): 57 / 41 (chart)
Kendrick Meek (D): 33 / 34
Marco Rubio (R): 39 / 34


NJ: Corzine 39 Christie 36 (Rutgers 10/15-20)


Rutgers-Eagleton
10/15-20/09; 583 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(AP article, Politicker NJ article)
Update: Rutgers release

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Corzine 39%, Christie 36%, Daggett 20% (chart)

Daggett voters: 2nd Choice
34% Christie, 28% Corzine, 24% Would not vote

Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine: 40 / 52 (chart)
Chris Christie: 39 / 42
Chris Daggett: 31 / 15


VA: Obama, Kaine (Clarus 10/18-19)


Clarus Research Group
10/18-19/09; 605 registered voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Clarus release)

Virginia

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 47 / 43 (chart)
Gov. Kaine: 48 / 36 (chart)


NV: 2010 Sen (PCCC 10/17-19)


Progressive Change Campaign Committee (D) / Research 2000
10/17-19/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(PCCC release)

Nevada

Favorable / Unfavorable
Harry Reid: 35 / 54

2010 Senate
Tarkanian 46%, Reid 41%
Lowden 47%, Reid 42%

Would you favor or oppose the government offering everyone a government administered health insurance plan -- something like the Medicare coverage that people 65 and older get -- that would compete with private health insurance plans?
54% Favor, 39% Oppose

Do you think Harry Reid is a strong leader or a weak leader?
24% Strong, 52% Weak

Generally speaking do you think Harry Reid is effective or ineffective in the Senate?
23% Effective, 54% Ineffective

As you may know, Harry Reid is up for re-election in 2010. Do you think he should be the Democratic nominee again or is it time for someone new to represent Democrats?
26% He should be the nominee, 39% Time for someone new


ME: Snowe, Health Care (PPP 10/16-19


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 1,130 likely voters, 2.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Maine

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 49 / 41
Sen. Snowe: 56 / 31

Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
41% Support, 40% Oppose

Do you approve or disapprove of how Olympia Snowe has handled the health care issue?
48% Approve, 35% Disapprove

Do you think that Olympia Snowe should switch parties and become a Democrat?
32% Yes, 49% No


LA: 2010 Sen (SMOR 10/4-7)


Southern Media and Opinion Research / Lane Grigsby
10/4-7/09; 600 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Bayou Buzz post)

Louisiana

Job Ratings
Pres. Obama: 45% Excellent/Good 54% Not so good/Poor (chart)
Sen. Landrieu: 54 / 43 (chart)
Sen. Vitter: 57 / 37 (chart)
Gov. Jindal: 64 / 33 (chart)

2010 Senate (trends)
48% Vitter, 36% Melancon


FL: 2010 Sen Primary (Rasmussen 10/20)


Rasmussen
10/20/09; 466 likely Republican Primary voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

Florida

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
Crist 49%, Rubio 35% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable (among Republicans only)
Charlie Crist: 67 / 32
Marco Rubio: 55 / 22

Job Approval / Disapproval (among Republicans only)
Charlie Crist: 57 / 42


US: Health Care (CNN 10/16-18)


CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/16-18/09; 1,038 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

From everything you have heard or read so far, do you favor or oppose Barack Obama's plan to reform health care?
49% Favor, 49% Oppose (chart)

Who do you trust more to handle major changes in the country's health care system - Barack
Obama or the Republicans in Congress?

50% Obama, 34% Republicans in Congress, 15% Both equally/Neither

What do you think would be better for the country -- if Congress passed a bill to change the
country's health care system along the lines of what Barack Obama has proposed, or if the current
system were left in place with no changes?

53% Pass a bill, 44% Leave current system

Now thinking specifically about the health insurance plans available to most Americans, would you
favor or oppose creating a public health insurance option administered by the federal government
that would compete with plans offered by private health insurance companies?

61% Favor, 38% Oppose

(IF FAVOR) Which of the following statements comes closest to your view? -- results combined with previous question:
40% Favor bill only if includes public option
18% Favor bill even if did not include public option
3% Favor public option, unsure on bill
38% Oppose public option


US: National Survey (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 766 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

National

Obama Job Approval
51% Approve, 43% Disapprove (chart)
Dems: 84 / 12 (chart)
Reps: 13 / 82 (chart)
Inds: 46 / 44 (chart)

Do you support or oppose President Obama's health care plan, or do you not have an opinion?
42% Support, 45% Oppose (chart)


VA: McDonnell 52 Deeds 40 (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 666 likely voters, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(PPP release)

Virginia

2009 Governor
McDonnell 52%, Deeds 40% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Creigh Deeds (D): 41 / 48
Bob McDonnell (R): 56 / 35


US: Afghanistan (ABC/Post 10/15-17)


ABC News / Washinton Post
10/15-17/09; 1,004 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(ABC: story, results; Post: story, results)

National

Obama Job Approval: Afghanistan
45% Approve, 47% Disapprove

On another subject, all in all, considering the costs to the United States versus
the benefits to the United States, do you think the war in Afghanistan was/has been
worth fighting, or not?

47% Worth fighting, 49% Not worth fighting

Do you think the Obama Administration does or does not have a clear plan for
handling the situation in Afghanistan?

31% Does, 63% Does not

U.S. military commanders have requested approximately 40,000 more U.S. troops for
Afghanistan. Do you think Obama should or should not order these additional forces to
Afghanistan?

47% Should 49% Should not

Given what you've heard, do you think the Afghan presidential election was free
and fair, or do you think there was widespread vote fraud in the election?

13% Free and fair
66% Widespread fraud
4% Fraud, but not widespread (vol.)

Do you think the United States is heading for the same kind of involvement in
Afghanistan as it had in the Vietnam war, or do you think the United States will avoid
that kind of involvement this time?

35% Same as Vietnam/Already in same situation, 50% Will avoid that


NYC: Bloomberg 53 Thompson 41 (SurveyUSA 10/17-19)


SurveyUSA / WABC-TV
10/17-19/09; 583 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(SurveyUSA release)

New York City

2009 Mayor
Bloomberg 53%, Thompson 41% (chart)


NJ: Christie 41 Corzine 39 (Rasmussen 10/19)


Rasmussen
10/19/09; 750 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated phone
(Rasmussen release)

National

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 53 / 46 (chart)
Gov. Corzine: 41 / 58 (chart)

2009 Governor
Christie 41%, Corzine 39%, Daggett 11% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Chris Christie (R): 47 / 47
Jon Corzine (D): 41 / 57 (chart)
Chris Daggett (i): 44 / 32


NY: 2010 Gov (Quinnipiac 10/14-19)


Quinnipiac
10/14-19/09; 2,367 registered voters, 2% margin of error
1,089 Democrats, 3% margin of error
659 Republicans, 3.8% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

New York

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
Cuomo 61%, Paterson 19% (chart)

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
Giuliani 74%, Lazio 9% (chart)

2010 Governor: General Election
54% Giuliani, 32% Paterson (chart)
50% Cuomo, 40% Giuliani (chart)
38% Paterson, 38% Lazio (chart)
61% Cuomo, 22% Lazio (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Andrew Cuomo (D): 61 / 13
David Paterson (D): 28 / 58 (chart)
Rudy Giuliani (R): 57 / 32
Rick Lazio (R): 15 / 13

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Paterson: 30 / 57 (chart)
Sen. Gillibrand: 32 / 20 (chart)
Sen. Schumer: 62 / 24 (chart)
Pres. Obama: 62 / 32 (chart)


FL: 2010 Sen, Gov (Quinnipiac 10/12-18)


Quinnipiac
10/12-18/09; 1,078 registered voters, 3% margin of error
396 Republicans, 4.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Quinnipiac release)

Florida

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
43% McCollum, 7% Dockery (chart)

2010 Senate: Republican Primary
50% Crist, 35% Rubio (chart)

2010 Governor: General Election
36% McCollum, 32% Sink (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
51% Crist, 31% Meek (chart)
36% Meek, 33% Rubio

Favorable / Unfavorable
Kendrick Meek (D): 20 / 8
Marco Rubio (R): 24 / 11
Charlie Crist (R): 58 / 30 (chart)
Bill McCollum (R): 34 / 14
Alex Sink (D): 23 / 8
Paula Dockery (R): 5 / 3

Job Approval / Disapproval
Gov. Crist: 59 / 31 (chart)
Sen. Nelson: 45 / 31 (chart)
Sen. LeMieux: 16 / 18
Pres. Obama: 48 / 46 (chart)

Do you approve or disapprove of Charlie Crist's selection of George LeMieux to replace Mel Martinez in the United States Senate?
34% Approve, 32% Disapprove


US: Health Care (Gallup 10/16-19)


Gallup
10/16-19/09; 1,521 adults, 3% margin of error
408 blacks, including 306 previously interviewed for Gallup polls, 6% margin of error
933 non-hispanic whites, 4% margin of error
(Gallup release)

National

As you may know, the White House and congressional Democrats are moving toward passing a healthcare bill, though the details of the final bill are still being worked out. Based on what you know or have read, do you think you will support the final healthcare bill, does it depend on some of the decisions that have yet to be made about the bill, or do you think you will oppose the final healthcare bill?
25% Support, 33% Oppose, 39% Depends

If Congress is going to reform the health care system, should Congress deal with health care reform on a gradual basis over several years, or should Congress try to pass a comprehensive health care reform plan this year?
58% Reform on a gradual basis
38% Pass comprehensive reform this year

If Congress passes a healthcare bill, do you think it should or should not include a public, government-run insurance plan to compete with plans offered by private insurance companies?
50% Yes, should include
46% No, should not

Next, please tell me whether you favor or oppose each of the following as a way to pay for the health care bill.

Reducing payments to Medicare providers, such as hospitals and doctors:
36% Favor, 61% Oppose

Imposing a surcharge on federal income taxes for individuals with annual incomes over $280,000 and families with incomes over $350,000
59% Favor, 38% Oppose

Imposing a tax on insurance plans that have the most expensive benefit packages
34% Favor, 61% Oppose


VA: McDonnell 59 Deeds 40 (SurveyUSA 10/17-19)


SurveyUSA / WDBJ-TV / WJLA-TV
10/17-19/09; 595 likely voters, 4% margin of error
Mode: Automated
(SurveyUSA release)

Virginia

2009 Governor
McDonnell 59%, Deeds 40% (chart)


US: National Survey (Zogby 10/16-19)


Zogby
10/16-19/09; 3,694 likely voters, 1.6% margin of error
Mode: Internet
(Zogby releaase)

National

Obama Job Approval
49% Approve, 51% Disapprove (chart)

State of the Country
42% Right Direction, 51% Wrong track (chart)


VA: McDonnell 45 Deeds 31 (CNU 10/8-13)


Christopher Newport University / WVEC-TV / Virginian-Pilot
10/8-13/09; 506 likely voters, 4.4% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Virginian-Pilot release, WVEC release)

Virginia

2009 Governor
45% McDonnell, 31% Deeds (chart)

Recently, the news media has reported on a thesis Bob McDonnell wrote as a graduate student in 1989. McDonnell criticized working mothers and homosexuals as detrimental to families, although he now says he no longer holds those views. Does news of McDonnell's thesis make you more likely or less likely to vote for him, or won't it affect you vote either way?
67% Won't affect vote
18% Less likely
2% More likely


US: Obama Approval (Harris 10/5-12)


Harris
10/5-12/09; 2,293 adults
Mode: Internet
(Harris release)

National

Obama Job Approval
Economy: 33% Excellent/Pretty Good, 67% Only Fair/Poor (chart)
Health Care: 31% Excellent/Pretty Good, 69% Only Fair/Poor (chart)


US: National Survey (CNN 10/16-18)


CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/16-18/09; 1,038 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN post)

National

Obama Job Approval
55% Approve, 43% Disapprove (chart)

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree that Barack Obama has the personality and leadership qualities a President should have.
66% Agree, 33% Disagree

Please tell me whether you agree or disagree with Barack Obama on the issues that matter most to you.
48% Agree, 51% Disagree

Favorable / Unfavorable
Barack Obama: 60 / 39 (chart)
Joe Biden: 45 / 40
Michelle Obama: 64 / 26
Hillary Clinton: 65 / 32
Bill Clinton: 64 / 33

As you may know, the Norwegian Nobel Committee recently awarded the Nobel Peace Prize to Barack Obama. Do you approve or disapprove of that committee's decision to award the prize to Obama?
42% Approve, 56% Disapprove


ME: Marriage (PPP 10/16-19)


Public Policy Polling (D)
10/16-19/09; 1,130 likely voters, 2.9% margin of error
Mode: Automated
(PPP release)

Maine

Question 1 for the upcoming Maine Referendum Election reads 'Do you want to
reject the new law that lets same-sex couples marry and allows individuals and religious
groups to refuse to perform these marriages?' Do you intend to vote yes or no on Question 1,
which would undo the law that lets same sex couples marry?

48% Yes, 48% No (trend)


NY: 2010 Sen, Gov (Siena 10/14-18)


Siena
10/14-18/09; 624 registered voters, 3.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Siena release)

New York

Favorable / Unfavorable
David Paterson: 27 / 61 (chart)
Rick Lazio: 23 / 27
Andrew Cuomo: 67 / 20
Rudy Giuliani: 60 / 35
Kirsten Gillibrand: 28 / 26 (chart)
George Pataki: 53 / 34
Barack Obama: 65 / 31 (chart)

Job Rating
Gov. Paterson: 19% Excellent/Good, 79% Fair/Poor (chart)

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
70% Cuomo, 20% Paterson (chart)

2010 Governor: General Election
Paterson 39%, Lazio 37% (chart)
Giuliani 56%, Paterson 33% (chart)
Cuomo 50%, Giuliani 43% (chart)
Cuomo 66%, Lazio 21% (chart)

2010 Senate: General Election (trends)
53% Giuliani, 36% Gillibrand
46% Pataki, 41% Gillibrand (chart)

If David Paterson runs for Governor in 2010, would you vote to elect him or would you prefer someone else?
15% Elect him, 72% Prefer someone else

Would you prefer to see Attorney General Andrew Cuomo run for re-election as Attorney General next year or would you prefer to see him run for Governor instead?
36% Attorney General, 49% Governor

Would you like Rudy Giuliani to run for Governor of New York in 2010, United States Senator, or would you prefer that he not run for Governor or Senator in 2010?
32% Governor, 21% Senator, 43% Neither


VA: McDonnell 49 Deeds 41 (Clarus 10/18-19)


Clarus Research Group
10/18-19/09; 575 likely voters, 4.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Clarus release)

Virginia

2009 Governor
49% McDonnell, 41% Deeds (chart)


NJ: Christie 39 Corzine 39 (Monmouth 10/16-18)


Monmouth University / Gannett
10/15-18/09; 1,004 likely voters, 3.1% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Monmouth release)

New Jersey

2009 Governor
Corzine 39%, Christie 39%, Daggett 14% (chart)

Favorable / Unfavorable
Jon Corzine (D): 37 / 51 (chart)
Chris Christie (R): 40 / 41
Chris Daggett (i): 28 / 15

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 53 / 39 (chart)


US: National Survey (ABC/Post 10/15-18)


ABC News / Washington Post
10/15-18/09; 1,004 adults, 3.5% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
ABC: story, results, Iran blog post, Iran results;
Post: story, results, Iran blog post

National

Obama Job Approval
57% Approve, 40% Disapprove (chart)
Economy: 50 / 48 (chart)
Health care: 48 / 48 (chart)
Iran: 52 / 39

State of the Country
44% Right Direction, 54% Wrong Track (chart)

2010 House: Generic Ballot
51% Democratic candidate, 39% Republican candidate (chart)

Party ID
33% Democrat, 20% Republican, 42% independent (chart)

Obama has been president for about nine months. Would you say he has accomplished a great deal during that time, a good amount, not very much or little or nothing?
49% Great deal/Good amount, 50% Not much/Little or nothing

Overall, given what you know about them, would you say you support or oppose the proposed changes to the health care system being developed by Congress and the
Obama administration?

45% Support, 48% Oppose (chart)

Would you support or oppose having the government create a new health insurance plan to compete with private health insurance plans?
57% Support, 40% Oppose

Which of these would you prefer - a plan that includes some form of government sponsored health insurance for people who can't get affordable private insurance, but is approved without support from Republicans in Congress; or a plan that is approved with support from Republicans in Congress, but does not include any form of government-sponsored health insurance for people who can't get affordable private insurance?
51% Prefer government-sponsored insurance, 37% Prefer Republican support

Medicare is the government health insurance program for people 65 and over. Do you think health care reform would strengthen the Medicare program, weaken Medicare orhave no effect on it?
8% Strengthen, 43% Weaken, 31% No effect

To try to prevent Iran from developing nuclear weapons, would you support or oppose...

Direct diplomatic talks between the United States and Iran to try to resolve the situation:
82% Support, 18% Oppose

Offering Iran financial incentives such as aid money, or more trade, if it abandons any effort to develop nuclear weapons:
30% Support, 67% Oppose

Imposing international economic sanctions against Iran:
78% Support, 18% Oppose

The United States bombing Iran's nuclear development sites:
42% Support, 54% Oppose

Invading with U.S. forces to remove the Iranian government from power:
33% Support, 62% Oppose


US: 2012 Primary Matchups (Rasmussen 10/15)


Rasmussen
10/15/09; 750 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(Rasmussen: (Palin/Romney, Palin/Huckabee, Romney/Huckabee)

National

2012 President: Republican Primary
52% Romney, 37% Palin
55% Huckabee, 35% Palin
44% Huckabee, 39% Romney


IL: 2010 Sen (Rasmussen 10/14)


Rasmussen
10/14/09/ 500 likely voters, 4.5% margin of error
Mode: IVR
(Rasmussen release)

Illinois

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 56 / 44

2010 Senate: General Election
Kirk 41%, Giannoulias 41%
Kirk 43%, Jackson 39%
Kirk 43%, Hoffman 33%


AR: 2010 Sen (DSCC 10/5-7)


Benenson Strategy Group (D) for the Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee
10/5-7/09; 703 likely voters, 3.7% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(BSG release)

Arkansas

2010 Senate
51% Blanche Lincoln (D), 37% Kim Hendren (R)
50% Gilbert Baker (D), 37% Gilbert Baker (R)


US: Afghanistan (CNN 10/16-18)


CNN / Opinion Research Corporation
10/16-18/09; 1,038 adults, 3% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(CNN release)

National

How worried are you that you or someone in your family will become a victim of terrorism -- very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not worried at all?
36% Very/Somewhat
64% Not too/not at all

Would you favor or oppose sending more troops to Afghanistan?
39% Favor
59% Oppose

Do you consider the war in Afghanistan to be part of the war on terrorism which began on September 11, 2001, or do you consider it to be an entirely separate military action?
61% Part of the war on terrorism
37% Entirely separate military action

Thinking about the current situation, do you think it is or is not necessary for the United States to keep its troops in Afghanistan NOW in order to prevent additional acts of terrorism in the U.S.?
60% Yes, is necessary
39% No, is not

Just your best guess -- do you think each of the following is likely or unlikely to happen in Afghanistan in the next few years?

Afghanistan will have a democratic government that will not be over-thrown by terrorists or the Taliban:
31% Likely, 68% Unlikely

Afghan military and police will be able to ensure safety and security in Afghanistan without assistance from the United States:
31% Likely, 69% Unlikely

Afghanistan will be able to prevent terrorists from using the country as a base of operations for planning attacks against the United States:
33% Likely, 66% Unlikely

Do you think the war in Afghanistan has turned into a situation like the United States faced in the Vietnam War, or don't you think so?
52% Yes, it has
46% No, it has not


IL: 2010 Gov (SIU 9/8-10/9)


Southern Illinois University / Paul Simon Public Policy Institute
9/9-10/9/09; 800 registered voters, 3.5% margin of error
208 likely Democratic Primary voters, 5.4% margin of error
89 likely Republican Primary voters, 6.9% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(SIU release)

Illinois

2010 Governor: Democratic Primary
Pat Quinn 34%, Dan Hynes 17%

2010 Governor: Republican Primary
Bill Brady 10%, Kirk Dillard 8%, Matt Murphy 4%, Bob Schillserstrom 4%, Adam Anrzejewski 2%

Job Approval / Disapproval
Pres. Obama: 64 / 36
Gov. Quinn: 67 / 34
Sen. Durbin: 64 / 36
Sen. Burris: 24 / 77


CA: Pelosi, Approval Ratings (Field 9/18-10/5)


Field
9/18-10/5/09; 1,005 registered voters, 3.2% margin of error
Mode: Live telephone interviews
(Field release)

California

Job Approval / Disapproval
Nancy Pelosi (statewide): 34 / 44
Sen. Feinstein: 46 / 35 (chart)
Sen. Boxer: 44 / 37 (chart)


US: Health Care (Rasmussen 10/16-17)


Rasmussen
10/16-17/09; 1,000 likely voters, 3% margin of error
Mode: Automated
(Rasmussen release)

National

Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?
42% Favor, 54% Oppose (chart)

If the health care reform plan passes, will the quality of health care get better, worse, or stay about the same?
23% Better, 51% Worse, 20% Same

If the health care reform plan passes, will the cost of health care go up, go down, or stay about the same?
56% up, 19% Down, 16% Same


 

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR