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POLL: ARG Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina


Three new American Research Group statewide surveys of 600 likely Democratic primary voters and 600 likely Republican primary voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, and South Carolina (conducted 7/26 through 7/30) finds:

  • Among Democrats in Iowa, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads former Sen. John Edwards (30% to 21%); Sen. Barack Obama trails at 15%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 13%. Among Republicans, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani edges out former Gov. Mitt Romney (22% to 21%); Sen. John McCain follows at 17%, former Sen. Fred Thompson at 13%.
  • Among Democrats in New Hampshire, Clinton and Obama are tied at 31%; Edwards trails at 14%, Richardson at 7%. Among Republicans, Giuliani edges out Romney (27% to 26%); Thompson trails at 13%, McCain at 10%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich at 6%.
  • Among Democrats in South Carolina, Obama edges out Clinton (33% to 29%); Edwards trails at 18%. Among Republicans, Giuliani edges out thompson (28% to 27%); McCain trails at 10%; Gingrich and Romney both at 7%.

All other candidates receive less than 5% each.

 

Comments
jsamuel:

ARG seems to almost always under poll Edwards.

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OEST:

ARG is a fraud.

Since it started its polls, Hillary Clinton has been leading in them in Iowa.

They are so unlike most other Iowa polls that they become comical in their obvious "FAVORATISM" for Hillary Clinton.

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OEST:

ARG is a fraud.

Since it started its polls, Hillary Clinton has been leading in them in Iowa.

They are so unlike most other Iowa polls that they become comical in their obvious "FAVORATISM" for Hillary Clinton.

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Andrew:

Obama gained in all three polls since the last June ARG poll. Barack's support increased a whopping 12% (!) in South Carolina, while Clinton lost ground.

This suggests that the post-debate controversies have favored Obama, IMO.

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Matt Marshall:

There is a reason that RCP averages such polls. The margin of error is +/- 4%! These figures are out of line w/ all other polling in recent days, and pretty much mean nothing on the GOP side where the spread is much tighter. Don't be weak and let yourself be swayed day by day with each oppossing poll. Be smart and consider the running trends you see on RCP.

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Paul:

As to ARG late July Poll as compared April: NH --- Obama +17, Edwards -12, Clinton -6; Giuliani +10, Thompson +6, McCain -19. SC --- Obama +23, Edwards -13, Clinton -5; Thompson +17, McCain -25, Gingrich -8. IA --- Richardson +12, Edwards -12; Romney +7, McCain -9. Overall, in terms of significant positive moves (over 10 points): Obama NH and SC; Giuliani NH; Thompson SC; and Richardson (IA). In terms of significant negative moves: Edwards NH, SC and IA; McCain NH and SC. Conclusion overall --- Obama a big winner and Edwards and McCain big losers, with Thompson in play in SC and Richardson in play in IA.

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Alain:

The truth is not Obama need chnage in Washingt
on Clinton Hillary is running for LOBBISTS that is all.

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