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POLL: Concord Monitor/Research 2000 New Hampshire Primary


A new Concord Monitor/Research 2000 statewide survey of likely primary voters in New Hampshire (conducted 1/4 through 1/5) finds:

  • Among 400 likely Republican primary voters, Sen. John McCain runs at 35%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 29% in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mike Huckabee trails at 13%, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani at 8%, Rep. Ron Paul at 7%.
  • Among 400 likely Democratic primary voters, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 34%, Sen. Hillary Clinton at 33%; former Sen. John Edwards trails at 23%.
  • All other candidates receive less than five percent each. The margin of sampling error is 5% for each subgroup.

 

Comments
Politics Junkie:

Is anyone aware of any polls that reveal the second choice of Edwards voters on the Dem Side? Given Obama's bounce, he and HRC are looking to be very evenly matched going forward and it may the Edwards voters who actually decide the nominee.

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Paul:

Interesting question. Edwards is not going to win New Hampshire, South Carolina or Florida. He does not have the funds necessary to conduct a media blitz on Feb. 5 and would have to rely on the news organizations to help, but they are going to be all over the Clinton-Obama race, as well as the Republican situation. So where do his votes go? Edwards' support comes from the anti-status quo and anti-corporate wing. This mix is certainly not Clinton's camp so I would have to say they go more to Obama than Clinton. He seems really upset with Clinton's campaign and I wonder whether he would endorse Obama or just stay stay home and out of the fray. His "concession" speech in Iowa was not that at all. I suspect he will have to give a real concession speech in the near term.

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