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POLL: Cook/RT 2008 Primary


A new Cook Political Report/RT Strategies national survey of registered voters nationwide (conducted 8/2 through 8/5) finds:

  • Among 376 Democrats and those who lean Democratic, Sen. Hillary Clinton leads Sen. Barack Obama (39% to 21%) in a national primary; former V.P. Al Gore trails at 10%, former Sen. John Edwards at 8%. All other candidates receive less than 5% each. Without Gore, Clinton leads Obama 43% to 23%.
  • Among 308 Republicans and those who lean Republican, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads Sen. John McCain (26% to 16%) in a national primary; former Sen. Fred Thompson trails at 14%, former Speaker Newt Gingrich at 8%, former Gov. Mitt Romney at 7%. All other candidates receive less than 5% each. Without Gore, Clinton leads Obama 43% to 23%.

 

Comments
Blue Hornet:

Edwards at eight percent is bad. Very bad. He is not catching on nationally and Iowa voters are going to see that and wonder if there is a point to supporting him. We saw this four years ago with Dick Gephardt, who had solid Iowa support that withered away in the days before the caucuses, because the voters there saw that he had no traction in any other state or part of the country, and they thought, 'why am I going to caucus for this guy when he can't win?"

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Andreas:

Maybe. Then again, where was Kerry at the same time 4 years ago? I remember it was worse than Edwards now.
National polls, at this time, mean nothing.
Edwards leads among high-school educated white males, the very demographic that the "republican Revolution" relied upon. He's the unions' candidate, he might also be the Southern choice.(Don't fool yourself into believing Obama or Clinton could gain in Dixie - Dem primary voters, among them large numbers of African-Americans, may prefer Hil or Barack now, but it's not the southern GE constituency)

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zdil:

I think you have the last Iowa caucus wrong. Both Gebhardt and Dean went down to defeat because they attacked each other and fought with one another when most Democrats just wanted to unite and beat Bush.

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zdil:

I think you have the last Iowa caucus wrong. Both Gebhardt and Dean went down to defeat because they attacked each other and fought with one another when most Democrats just wanted to unite and beat Bush.

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