Pollster.com

Articles and Analysis

 

POLL: Democracy Corps National


Democracy Corps (D)/
Greenberg Quinlan Rosner (D)
6/22-25/08 - 2,000 LV

National
Obama 49, McCain 45

Generic Ballot
Pres: Dem 50, Rep 43
House: Dem 50, Rep 42

George W. Bush
Job: Approve 34, Disapprove 61

(Split - 500 Respondents) "Given the high price of gas, would you favor or oppose allowing oil drilling in U.S. coastal areas and wilderness areas that are currently protected by the federal government?"

    56 Favor
    39 Oppose

(Split - 500 Respondents) "As you may have heard, the Republican Nominee, John McCain has proposed allowing oil drilling in some U.S. coastal regions to help lower the price of gas. Do you favor or oppose this proposal?"

    61 Favor
    35 Oppose

 

Comments
Undecided:

Hard to label McCain's proposal (to give states the decision about offshore drilling) as a flip-flop when Americans have also changed their views with the huge rise in oil prices. The polls are on his side.

____________________

1magine:

DARN AGAIN! This is as close to a push poll as you can comfortably get. When you phrase the question in such a way as to illicit an answer.

How bout this for the drilling question; "Given that the Government Accountability Office has stated that off shore drilling and drilling in protective wilderness may not lower prices of gas for up to a decade and even then by only a nickel, would you want to want to risk an enviornmental disaster by allowing drilling in these areas?"

____________________

Undecided:

Your question is actually the authentic push poll. And the GAO did not take in to account the impact on the futures market.

____________________

BruceP:

The significance of these polls depends on the degree to which the McCain campaign is able to convince the public to accept an economic fantasy--that there exist enough untapped U.S. oil reserves to significantly affect the price that U.S. consumers pay for gas. This fantasy has been part of Republican energy policies since the Nixon Administration and it has done nothing to halt the inexorable decline of U.S. domestic oil production. Given the shrinking U.S. shares of global oil production and global oil demand, a policy focused on U.S. production is now less meaningful than ever.

A more honest poll would ask "As you may have heard the Republican Nominee, John McCain has proposed allowing oil drilling in some U.S. coastal regions which will do almost nothing to offset rising global demand and rising prices for oil. Do you favor or oppose this proposal?"

____________________

jsh1120:

While I find the Democracy Corps' inclusion of issue statement "pairs" interesting, I can't avoid the feeling that most of what is read to a respondent comes across in much the same way that Gary Larson characterized talking to a dog...'blah...blah...good boy...blah..blah...ride in the car?.."

In reading the issue positions presented to respondents, they often do not seem to be equally complex, equally reliant on trigger phrases, or in come cases, even to state opposing points of view or to associate statements appropriately with a candidate's own priorities in terms of their messages.

(I think it's fair to say that Senator McCain doesn't highlight "conservation and alternative fuels" as the most important priorities in his energy policy, for example.)

In short, I don't really see the purpose of these questions. If the point is to capture the public's response to particular issue-based messages, there are surely better methodologies.

____________________

Undecided:

It has more to do with energy "security" in that if even a pittance, the U.S. will rely less on foreign oil. Notably, of the top three foreign oil suppliers to the U.S., in addition to OPEC are Canada and Mexico.

Also note that it will be up to each state to allow drilling or leave the ban in place. And oil royalties will be shared with the states who can use the revenue as they choose. McCain's proposal is not a wholesale open up any and all off-shore drilling.

____________________

Undecided:

I have heard McCain specfically state that he supports energy efficiency and alternative energy. So I went to the McCain website. McCain does include energy conservation, electrical grid and metering improvements (including capacity to charge electric cars), and encouraging a market for wind, hydro, solar power, etc.

Bottom line: Both Obama and McCain are focusing on the energy issue. And McCain has been involved in energy/climate change issues for quite some time. And as for focusing on the most important-- It's the entire package (holistic approach) as Obama himself promotes. I guess one might argue which "energy policy" is the most important based on which week or day of the week.

____________________



Post a comment




Please be patient while your comment posts - sometimes it takes a minute or two. To check your comment, please wait 60 seconds and click your browser's refresh button. Note that comments with three or more hyperlinks will be held for approval.

MAP - US, AL, AK, AZ, AR, CA, CO, CT, DE, FL, GA, HI, ID, IL, IN, IA, KS, KY, LA, ME, MD, MA, MI, MN, MS, MO, MT, NE, NV, NH, NJ, NM, NY, NC, ND, OH, OK, OR, PA, RI, SC, SD, TN, TX, UT, VT, VA, WA, WV, WI, WY, PR