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POLL: Fox National Survey


Fox News/Opinion Dynamics
(story, results)

National
Clinton 46, McCain 43... McCain 44, Obama 43

The survey also tests reactions to Rev. Jeremiah Wright and Sen. Barack Obama.

 

Comments
Joseph E:

Compared to Fox's last poll (Feb 21st, right?), McCain lost 4 and Clinton gained 3 in their matchup.
Obama lost 4 but McCain gained only 1 point.

If we trust these results (disregarding other polls) it looks like a few Obama supports went to the undecided category, but very few were pushed all the way over to McCain.

Also, only 25% of whites, 17% of independents
and 16% of democrats think Obama shares his Pastor's views. About 1/4 said the news made them think twice about Obama, but it's hard to know if those folks were considering voting for him anyway. The poll numbers above suggest that only a few percent were truely effected

Perhaps the Wright news was less important than we all thought. It will be interesting to see SurveyUSA's next swing-state polls

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Patrick:

These trends are showing up in just about every national poll and they are really not good for Obama, especially when Hillary is widely expected to beat him by 15 pts in PA, the next big contest, and is pulling even in NC. A big win in PA will give her the "momentum" which, along with big wins in KY and WV, will help her in NC and IN. The Richardson endorsement today confirms the widely held speculation that Obama has promised Richardson the VP slot if he gets the nomination. Everyone in Washington has been saying that even though Hillary knows she'd have to pick Obama for VP, Hillary wouldn't accept the VP slot even if the DNC tried to force her on Obama. So he's promised it to Richardson, the Latino candidate with lots of experience. While that will certainly help Obama with Hispanics, esp. in CA and NM, it won't be enough to help him win FL and certainly not TX, PA, or OH. The wisdom is that if Obama picks Richardson as his running mate, McCain will pick Kay Bailey Hutchison from TX (who is widely liked and more conservative than McCain), making the Republicans the "historic" ticket. If that happens, such a large % of Clinton supporters (esp. women and whites) will vote for McCain, he'll win easily. Ugh. And it was the Republicans to lose...

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cinnamonape:

I disagree Pat, as Joseph has pointed out the impact of the Wright revelations seems to have, at most, to have dropped his support only in the week just prior to the weekend numbers. They have since "bottomed out". That means he has almost a month to rebuild support in Pennsylvania, which Hillary was expected to win (as she was in West Virginia). Obama has lost support in North Carolina, however, which is far more important. If Clinton wins there she will have a significant momentum shift.

But in fact only about a third of REPUBLICANS seem to believe that Obama shares the views of Reverend Wright.

http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,339949,00.html

What this suggests is that continued focus on these remarks by the right-wing and MSM may only cause voters to react against the agents of this message.

What Obama needs to do in Pennsylvania is focus on the revelations that Senator Clinton has been shown by her records to have been a strong advocate of NAFTA, continue to speak on the Iraq Wars effects on the economy, and to show Sen. McCain as an agent of lobbyists.
In fact, the revelation about his meetings with the Paxson lobbyist was interesting, not so much for the "supposed affair"...but for the fact that McCain was willing to pressure the FCC to allow Paxson to buy the local Pittsburgh Public TV Station. So Obama should point that out...how McCain was willing to ignore local concerns and eliminate the only Educational TV Station in the city.

TRhat's boith a local angle, and exposes how lobbyist influence on thie supposed "straight-shooter" is bad for the public.

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the_truth:

What did Obama promised Richardson? a VP spot? What would make this man join such a viotile presidential run? Where is Howard dean? He needs to be replaced. The democratic party have gone mad.

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Pat:

McCain spiritual guide accused government of enabling Black Genoside:

Double Standard? Where is the outrage on this?

Reverend Rod Parsley of the World Harvest Church of Columbus, Ohio -- whom Sen. John McCain hails as a spiritual adviser -- has suggested on several occasions that the U.S. government was complicit in facilitating black genocide.

See video link:

www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/03/21/mccain-spiritual-guide-ac_n_92757.html

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