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POLL: Franklin & Marshall Pennsylvania


Franklin & Marshall College

Pennsylvania
Clinton 44, Obama 32
Clinton 46, McCain 46... McCain 44, Obama 43

 

Comments
Shane:

The only other general election poll I've seen shows Obama doing way better than Clinton in PA vs. McCain. That's from Rasmussen, a couple days ago. I'm not trying to say its right, I'm just trying to say that there is not reason to interpret this result as indicative of more Clinton strength in PA.

As for the primary results, that sounds about right. Undecideds are the real battleground. If the race goes to PA, and I doubt it will, I expect this to end a lot closer than it starts.

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RS:

Some of the results fall in line with stereotypes (all voters):
Best represents change - Barack Obama 49%
War on terror - John McCain 64%
Health care - Hillary Clinton 64%

But somewhat surprisingly:
Best chance to win in November - Barack Obama 35%! (McCain 25%, Clinton 21%)
Reducing income gap between rich and poor Americans (Edwards voters?) - Barack Obama 42%! (Clinton 25%)

The candidate with the "best chance to win in November" was Senator Clinton in January with 30%. I guess the Super Tuesday tie and later victories for Senator Obama are creating a sense of (hush!) momentum... The poll was conducted Feb 13-18.

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Anonymous:

"The only other general election poll I've seen shows Obama doing way better than Clinton in PA vs. McCain."

There's a Quinnipiac poll from a week ago, showing Clinton leading McCain 46-40, and Obama leading McCain 42-41. So, this poll is somewhat in the middle of those two prior polls showing very different results.

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Shane:

All in all, I don't think PA is a very good state to assess Obama anyway. He hasn't really campaigned here yet, and not that many people around here have really jumped into the campaign. After all, we don't vote until late April....

Ohio, though, will soon become a really big state for assessing Obama's strength.

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C.S.Strowbridge:

Bit of a surprise here. I think Pennsylvania will be close enough that both sides will spend money they, but I think the Democrats will keep it blue by a large enough margin that it will be called relatively early.

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Steve:

It's going to be over long before Penn.

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David :

Shane said:

"All in all, I don't think PA is a very good state to assess Obama anyway. He hasn't really campaigned here yet, and not that many people around here have really jumped into the campaign. After all, we don't vote until late April...."


Exactly Shane!


Anywhere Obama campaigns at length, he instantly changes the poll numbers. Just look at the past few weeks. That's why Super Tuesday was a huge disadvantage for him. He wasn't able to campaign for enough time in the big states (although his grass roots program saved him in a lot of the smaller and caucus states).


I see him winning not only Texas but Ohio as well - by 5% in Ohio, and by 10% in Texas.


Then, I will savor Billary leaving the political landscape - hopefully for good.

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Do people just not know what Mike Huckabee is promising? To get rid of the IRS and cancel the privately owned Federal Reserve's money lending scam to the American Government?

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Do people just not know what Mike Huckabee is promising? To get rid of the IRS and cancel the privately owned Federal Reserve's money lending scam to the American Government?

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mary:

If 2 people are pursuing the same
position, the most important position in the world,and this was a huge company corporation, no doubt the CEO would choose the best person, the one with experience, which should mean something, not nothing. When you take your child to the doctor, do you take him to the guy fresh out of medical school and can talk nice or someone that has seen alot in their career? Think before you Vote.! As our lives depend on it. Thank you.

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