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POLL: Gallup SCHIP


Additional results from the most recent USA Today/Gallup national survey of 1,009 adults (conducted 10/12 through 10/14) finds:

  • Among a half-sample of 507 adults, 52% of adults say they have "more confidence" in the Democrats in Congress to handle the SCHIP issue; 32% say George W. Bush.
  • Among a different half-sample of 502 adults, when prompted with "As you may know, the Democrats want to allow a family of four earning about $62,000 to qualify for the program. President Bush wants most of the increases to go to families earning less than $41,000," 52% favor Bush's position while 40% favor the Democrats'.
  • "At this point, the Democrats seem to be winning -- though not dominating -- the public relations battle."

 

Comments
C Wilson:

Hmm. Not a word on the Reuters/Zogby poll showing Bush at 24%. Oh, I'm sure that's an "outlier." They always are.

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J.R.:

Prof. Franklin's trend line has Bush's approval at 33% across all national polls, so yes, this happens to be an outlier. If you would kindly read what he HAS in fact written on the subject, (see Bush approval: trend at 33%) you might learn that Zogby uses a different poll methodology than most others and that his numbers tend to come in lower as a result.

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Andrew Perez:

This Gallup poll is very crappy and misleading. It tells reader that Bush "wants most of the increases to go to families earning less than $41,000".
But turns out that under the Democratic SCHIP bill, 70% of those benefited would be those earning at or below 200% of the poverty line. 70% is a majority, or isn't it? Source: The Urban Institute.
Why does Gallup only tells us that Democrats want to cover those making "about $62,000".?

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Andrew:

A New York Times editorial set to be published tomorrow, "Saved SCHIP", reminds us that "Republican Senator Orrin Hatch, a key sponsor, estimates that some 92 percent of the children who would benefit would come from families with incomes below twice the poverty level.

How is this relevant to the Gallup poll? Well, like I said, Gallup only specified that Bush wanted "most of the increases to go to families earning less than $41,000", when in fact 70-92% of those covered under this congressional bill --depending on whether you cite the Urban Institute and Orrin Hatch, belong to this same income bracket.

Memo to Gallup: 70% is a majority. So is 92%.

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