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POLL: Hart (D)/McLaughlin (R) Iowa Survey


A new Hart Research (D) and McLaughlin & Associates (R) statewide survey of 509 past Democratic caucus attendees or new registrants who say they are likely to attend a Democratic presidential caucus in Iowa (conducted 8/2 through 8/3) and sponsored by One Vote 08 finds former Sen. John Edwards leading Sen. Hillary Clinton (30% to 22%) in a statewide caucus; Sen. Barack Obama trails at 18%, Gov. Bill Richardson at 13%, Sen. Joe Biden at 5%. All other candidates receive less than five percent each.

 

Comments
Anonymous:

why is this only a two day poll? isn't the margin of error greater unless the sample is spread over at least three days? also who paid for this poll? who is peter hart working for this cycle?

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it's sponsored by ONE vote '08... there'll be a R poll out this week for IA. Also, the same group did NH last week.

In addition to candidate polling, there's polling on attitudes toward eradicating global poverty in all the ONE vote polling. See:

http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/8/14/85939/3284
http://www.dailykos.com/storyonly/2007/8/16/16641/9592

Regardless of pollster, IA caucuses are difficult to poll. The mechanism of a caucus (non-secret ballot, second round shift to first tier candidates from drop-out lower tier candidates, voting in front of your neighbors, etc) makes this a guide more than a snapshot.

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