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POLL: IBD/TIPP National (8/4-9)


Investory's Business Daily/TIPP
8/4-9/08; 925 RV, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews

National
Obama 43, McCain 38 (July: Obama 40, McCain 37)

 

Comments
David_T:

Is Investory a cross between Investor's and Inventory? :-)

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josephj:

I'm guessing a mix between invest and story.

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1magine:

Seeing allot of 5% RV and 3% LV. I would really love to see every pollster's modeling of the LV at this point. Is it by historic norms, is it based on 04's RV's and LV's? I think that alot of the current LV is based on the % of Rep,=. and Dems from 04 and the RV's voting habits from 04. Certainly if that is the case, it will be a close, close race. If this election breaks that mold though - college kids and AA's actually get out and vote (assuming they have not been purged from the rolls) the lead is and will be far larger than it currently appears.

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thoughtful:

@1magine

I am not gaining anything much from these national polls.

I like building models from a compendium of state polls that I think actually gives a more accurate picture.

If you look at the Pollster map for example is it reflecting +3% or +5% Obama?

A lot of the polls including this one I am so uncertain as to the methodology.

Do you know when the next Indiana and Ohio polls are being published?

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boskop:

IBD is Investor's Business Daily.
This is the poll i cited early today that when broken down explains the almost 50% of non committed voters. the highest it has ever been. period.

so take this obama lead with a grain of salt.

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thoughtful:

@boskop

Give it up, unless you can find something in the methodology that commends it, waste of time. you are better to take the average of the George & Ras daily tracker.

If you think about it that is what the Pew gave us!

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TheVoice_99:

Where's stillow and boskop with the inevitable, "this is bad news for obama" rap??


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TheVoice_99:

I love it.....

every poll that shows obama ahead is biased or wrong and every one that shows mccain ahead is right. oooo-kaay.

Hmmm, we'll see in november I guess.


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Undecided:

Yes, the number of undecided/not sure is increasing not decreasing. This is not "typical" when compared to past presidential election years.

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