Investory's Business Daily/TIPP
8/4-9/08; 925 RV, 3%
Mode: Live Telephone Interviews
Obama 43, McCain 38 (July: Obama 40, McCain 37)
Is Investory a cross between Investor's and Inventory? :-)
Posted on August 14, 2008 12:38 PM
I'm guessing a mix between invest and story.
Posted on August 14, 2008 1:25 PM
Seeing allot of 5% RV and 3% LV. I would really love to see every pollster's modeling of the LV at this point. Is it by historic norms, is it based on 04's RV's and LV's? I think that alot of the current LV is based on the % of Rep,=. and Dems from 04 and the RV's voting habits from 04. Certainly if that is the case, it will be a close, close race. If this election breaks that mold though - college kids and AA's actually get out and vote (assuming they have not been purged from the rolls) the lead is and will be far larger than it currently appears.
Posted on August 14, 2008 1:41 PM
I am not gaining anything much from these national polls.
I like building models from a compendium of state polls that I think actually gives a more accurate picture.
If you look at the Pollster map for example is it reflecting +3% or +5% Obama?
A lot of the polls including this one I am so uncertain as to the methodology.
Do you know when the next Indiana and Ohio polls are being published?
Posted on August 14, 2008 1:52 PM
IBD is Investor's Business Daily.
This is the poll i cited early today that when broken down explains the almost 50% of non committed voters. the highest it has ever been. period.
so take this obama lead with a grain of salt.
Posted on August 14, 2008 2:12 PM
Give it up, unless you can find something in the methodology that commends it, waste of time. you are better to take the average of the George & Ras daily tracker.
If you think about it that is what the Pew gave us!
Posted on August 14, 2008 2:18 PM
Where's stillow and boskop with the inevitable, "this is bad news for obama" rap??
Posted on August 14, 2008 2:33 PM
I love it.....
every poll that shows obama ahead is biased or wrong and every one that shows mccain ahead is right. oooo-kaay.
Hmmm, we'll see in november I guess.
Posted on August 14, 2008 2:36 PM
Yes, the number of undecided/not sure is increasing not decreasing. This is not "typical" when compared to past presidential election years.
Posted on August 14, 2008 7:47 PM
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