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POLL: InsiderAdvantage SC Primary


A new InsiderAdvantage/Majority Opinion automated survey of registered voters in South Carolina (conducted 5/8 through 5/9) finds:

  • Among 500 Democrats, Sen. Barack Obama runs at 31%, Sen. Hillary Clinton runs at 27%, and former Sen. John Edwards runs at 16% in a statewide primary.

  • Among 500 Republicans, former Mayor Rudy Giuliani leads former Speaker Newt Gingrich (22% to 15%) in a statewide primary; former Gov. Mitt Romney trails at 10%, Sen. John McCain at 9%, and former Sen. Fred Thompson at 8%.

 

Comments
ST:

Apparently Democrats will never learn.

If either Hillary Clinton or Barak Obama wins the SC primary and the nomination, they are just going to abandon the state and never set foot there again, especially during the General Election cycle. Not even the same SC Democrats who supported them are going to want either one to show up to campaign for them, because they'd probably do more damage than good in the General Election cycle.

This opposed to John Edwards who would actually try to win the state in a General Election, and have a much better chance of winning the state in the general than in the primary, because in the general, there'd be Independents and moderate Republicans who might vote for him, as opposed to the Democrats in the primaries who are basically falling all over themselves because of the media darlings that are Barak Obama and Hillary Clinton, even though Edwards usually does better than either of those two in matchups against Republicans.

And yes, that includes the latest Newsweek poll that's been incorrectly touted as an indication of Obama's alleged strength.

In that Newsweek Poll John Edwards actually beat the 3 Republicans by a greater average than Obama did.

Edwards beat them by an average of 17.67%, compared to Obama and HRC beating them by an average of 16.33% and 10.33%, respectively.

So, apparently Democrats are ready to screw up again, just like they did in 2004. When are these states going to stop nominating people who are just going to ignore them after they win their primaries? Kerry won every primary last time except for a handfull of them. Conversely, he only campaigned in a handfull of states during the General Election, basically ignoring most of the states that nominated him, or being shunned by the Democrats who were afraid to be seen with him.

Apparently, South Carolina Dems wants to do the same with Obama or Clinton. Give them endorsements, give them money, help them win your primary, and then either never hear from them again or tell them "no thanks" if they want to campaign with you because you fear that they are dragging candidates down in southern and midwestern states.

When will they ever STRATEGICALLY nominate candidates who can not only help them raise money, but help them up and down the ticket (coattails)? John Edwards could do that for SC Democrats in a GENERAL ELECTION in a way that neither Hillary Clinton or Barak Obama would even be advised to try to do.

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Anonymous:

John Edwards would actually try to win SC? You mean like he tried to win NC in 2004? Let's not. We need someone to win the election, not win SC. Neither Hillary (because of widespread loathing) nor Edwards (because of $$$) can do that. I like Edwards, but I think if he could carry a Southern state, he should have carried NC in 2004.

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ST:

John "KERRY" did not try to win NC in 2004.

Tell me, Anonymous, do you know anything about politics? You do realize that the Presidential candidate is the one with all of the decision-making power, and the VP candidate basically does what they are told?

You do realize that people vote for the candidate at the top of the ticket, not the one at the bottom, because if they voted for the one at the bottom instead of the one at the top, then JOHN EDWARDS WOULD HAVE DESTROYED DICK CHENEY!

So, tell me again, anonymous. Do you know anything about politics? Doesn't look to me like you know much of anything.

No, NC was never going to vote for Kerry, regardless of who was on the ticket with him. But, NC did vote for John Edwards in 1998, statewide, when he was elected to the Senate. Which does mean something. He's the only Democrat running who has won in the south, and if the GOP nominates Guiliani, McCain, or Romney, Edwards would probably win a handful of southern states.

VP candidates don't carry tickets, and the next time that you fool yourself into believing something that stupid, ask yourself whether the 2004 election was a competition between John Edwards and Dick Cheney, or if the 1996 election was one between Al Gore and Jack Kemp.

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